Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$199

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-14 16:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

54% 100% +$0

Other

41% 0% $-5

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-12	$-10	72¢	$-9	+$1	06-12 22:17
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+7	$5	80¢	$6	+$1	05-28 18:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	94¢	$4	+$3	06-01 05:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$2	98¢	$3	+$1	06-09 08:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$41	33	33	+0	open	—	05-13 13:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	05-20 04:35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	3	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	05-01 02:56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	05-01 02:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-31 12:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$10	0	12	-12	open	—	06-12 22:17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	04-27 20:10
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	04-27 20:12
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-30 14:09
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	1	$5	14	0	+14	No	$-5	05-02 11:08
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-28 18:01
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 11:05
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	1	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	05-06 22:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 16:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-01 05:20
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 05:47
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-09 09:14
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 second half total 1pt5	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-14 19:03
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-17 02:21
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-14 16:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	06-09 08:52
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-14 16:51
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 first half total 1pt5	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	06-14 19:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-09 08:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-09 08:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-05 16:24
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 18:16
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-15 05:00
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-14 19:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-01 05:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 19:45:46	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xda0c66…
06-14 19:03:46	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 second half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xeb8d1a…
06-14 19:01:28	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x071813…
06-14 16:54:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2863e6…
06-14 16:52:09	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Germany	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbdb2b8…
06-14 16:51:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Germany	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfa9308…
06-12 22:17:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x7196fb…
06-09 08:52:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x584301…
06-09 08:52:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x849171…
06-09 08:52:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa0dc72…
06-07 05:47:19	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x80d9e2…
06-01 05:20:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x49ea98…
06-01 05:20:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb20cd8…
05-31 12:35:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xa209cf…
05-28 18:01:53	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeb4e6c…
05-28 18:01:34	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xca70eb…
05-20 04:35:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x98b626…
05-17 02:51:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3a6e91…
05-17 02:51:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x8d0515…
05-17 02:51:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x05e6c9…
05-17 02:21:05	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x82ca92…
05-15 05:00:20	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4d5f96…
05-15 05:00:04	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0dd94e…
05-13 13:47:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0xe82e29…
05-13 13:46:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x83f259…
05-09 09:14:34	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3dea5e…
05-07 03:25:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x62c1ea…
05-06 22:12:30	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x783201…
05-05 16:25:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x33c93d…
05-05 16:25:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x15af10…
05-05 16:24:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xae3d9f…
05-04 11:05:48	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x82f19d…
05-03 15:08:02	Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd9d264…
05-02 19:58:36	Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x21c6e2…
05-02 11:08:24	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x941344…
05-02 06:45:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x98edcd…
05-01 02:56:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xff7e7d…
05-01 02:55:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2e6a8c…
05-01 02:24:28	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x15fd83…
04-30 14:09:02	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc303a9…
04-29 02:34:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc06d92…
04-29 02:33:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x45e57b…
04-28 12:02:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc52f8d…
04-27 20:12:32	Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x60e97b…
04-27 20:10:34	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x0e5a40…
04-27 18:43:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x1edd9f…
04-27 18:43:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xed1af8…
04-27 18:16:38	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x81377f…
04-27 18:12:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x928b26…