Occasional-Hail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

340

lifetime

Volume

$3.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-69

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$828	967	779	+188	Down	+$104	05-12 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$365	403	403	+0	Up	+$41	05-12 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	6	$277	177	177	+0	Up	+$77	05-11 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	25	$260	523	78	+445	Down	$-182	05-12 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$174	458	0	+458	Down	$-174	05-12 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	9	$159	100	100	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$156	303	303	+0	Up	$-10	05-12 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$110	220	0	+220	Up	+$110	05-10 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	10	$88	66	66	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$87	315	0	+315	Down	$-87	05-12 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	8	$70	80	0	+80	Up	+$10	05-10 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	4	$66	49	49	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$64	41	41	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$53	116	0	+116	Down	$-53	05-10 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$45	83	0	+83	Down	+$38	05-10 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$45	74	0	+74	Down	+$29	05-10 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	11	$45	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	05-10 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$40	51	0	+51	Down	+$11	05-10 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	6	$30	37	0	+37	Down	+$7	05-10 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	8	$29	71	0	+71	Down	$-29	05-10 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	7	$29	38	0	+38	Down	$-29	05-10 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	5	$28	78	0	+78	Down	+$50	05-10 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$27	30	0	+30	Up	+$3	05-10 08:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	9	$26	32	19	+13	Down	+$3	05-09 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$25	35	0	+35	Down	+$10	05-10 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	9	$23	37	0	+37	Up	$-23	05-10 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$23	29	0	+29	Up	+$6	05-10 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$23	55	0	+55	Up	$-23	05-10 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$21	41	0	+41	Up	+$20	05-10 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 14:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1044cc…
05-12 14:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x238d95…
05-12 14:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xde255f…
05-12 14:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xaef4a5…
05-12 14:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	268	31¢	$83	0xffe966…
05-12 14:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	31	51¢	$16	0x19a9b3…
05-12 14:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	272	21¢	$57	0xa432bf…
05-12 14:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	303	27¢	$83	0x330592…
05-12 14:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	189	39¢	$74	0x6961e5…
05-12 14:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	189	44¢	$83	0x7c93a8…
05-12 14:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	215	60¢	$129	0x268562…
05-12 14:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	215	37¢	$79	0x87e921…
05-12 14:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xb61780…
05-12 14:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	382	43¢	$164	0x43129e…
05-12 14:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	188	5¢	$10	0x5e8486…
05-12 14:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	206	97¢	$201	0x49ba0e…
05-12 14:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	206	87¢	$180	0x02be1a…
05-12 14:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	539	47¢	$255	0x3f6c78…
05-12 14:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0xd46771…
05-12 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	573	30¢	$172	0x127e18…
05-12 13:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	137	15¢	$20	0x81f998…
05-12 13:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x27a3f8…
05-12 13:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x21e566…
05-12 13:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa8c577…
05-12 13:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa663d0…
05-12 13:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd47f22…
05-12 13:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xefb54f…
05-12 13:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4ec3e6…
05-12 13:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x23c639…
05-12 13:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x299327…
05-12 13:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x52bccc…
05-12 12:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xec95bf…
05-12 12:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9c9800…
05-12 12:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xed2ac6…
05-12 12:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x240494…
05-12 12:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xeb7f12…
05-12 12:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8372a6…
05-12 12:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe85f42…
05-12 12:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x42a1da…
05-12 12:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1e60d2…
05-12 12:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9f5cd2…
05-12 12:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3604a7…
05-12 12:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	78	50¢	$39	0xffdd00…
05-12 12:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xd4a283…
05-12 12:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x98e0bd…
05-11 13:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x8dc23e…
05-11 13:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xeb3ec5…
05-11 13:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc04a65…
05-11 13:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x9ead53…
05-11 13:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x2fc26f…
05-11 13:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x1bf76c…
05-11 12:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xa3c332…
05-11 12:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb57f1e…
05-11 12:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xdadca2…
05-11 12:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x80868b…
05-11 12:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4bfed0…
05-11 12:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x360964…
05-11 12:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1df6ee…
05-11 12:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x519abc…
05-11 12:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8b53bc…
05-11 12:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa4d9a0…
05-11 12:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6b8fab…
05-11 12:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x442b85…
05-11 11:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa1a692…
05-11 11:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xefcadb…
05-11 11:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfed04a…
05-11 11:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb25b22…
05-11 11:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x099b81…
05-11 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8d90e3…
05-11 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x73528c…
05-11 09:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3257cf…
05-11 09:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4aaa42…
05-11 09:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x38608d…
05-11 09:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5ce5be…
05-11 09:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xf67754…
05-11 09:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc2c8fd…
05-11 09:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xb99b05…
05-11 09:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfd442a…
05-11 09:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf1bbd2…
05-11 09:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xaa73d9…
05-11 09:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfb300a…
05-11 09:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaa1850…
05-11 08:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x92a1f6…
05-11 08:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3ffc00…
05-11 08:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfd9c89…
05-11 08:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x75705f…
05-11 08:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf4373f…
05-11 08:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbf86b9…
05-11 07:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa1ad84…
05-10 12:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x056793…
05-10 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x78b156…
05-10 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x34f7e3…
05-10 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2fa9a8…
05-10 12:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x2e94bd…
05-10 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xeb7eb4…
05-10 12:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbf5ffd…
05-10 12:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdb88f7…
05-10 12:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8fa0ac…
05-10 12:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf22bf4…
05-10 12:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x95680f…