Double-Fleck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-14 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

82% — —

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

7% 60% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	4	$1.8K	898	898	+0	open	—	01-05 06:07
will zai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$1.4K	687	687	+0	open	—	01-10 10:27
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$895	448	448	+0	open	—	01-05 06:54
will paulo portas win the 2026 portugal presidential election 423	2	$774	387	387	+0	open	—	01-10 07:51
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$772	387	387	+0	open	—	01-10 08:51
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$761	381	381	+0	open	—	01-10 06:46
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$387	389	0	+389	open	—	01-10 06:47
bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	3	$307	1,360	639	+721	open	—	04-20 03:18
bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	2	$92	140	0	+140	open	—	03-17 10:50
btc updown 15m 1767595500	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-05 06:59
eth updown 15m 1767597300	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-05 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	4	$9	14	14	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	5	$7	15	0	+15	Up	$-7	05-14 05:19
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 5am et	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-14 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-14 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 05:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x098ab4…
05-14 05:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe7bb66…
05-14 05:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaeb198…
05-14 05:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbbe9a0…
05-14 05:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x003737…
05-14 04:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x099a80…
05-14 04:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb243ee…
05-14 02:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x12b0ff…
05-14 02:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d4dea…
05-12 02:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x35b526…
05-12 02:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1ed0e4…
05-12 02:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9423bf…
05-12 02:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x58fd09…
04-20 03:18:46	bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	Up	SELL	639	14¢	$89	0x8365d8…
04-20 03:17:08	bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	680	16¢	$109	0xe5edb6…
04-20 03:16:36	bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	680	16¢	$109	0x2e4557…
03-17 10:50:05	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	131	66¢	$87	0xde46b6…
03-17 10:49:37	bitcoin up or down on march 17 2026	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xe0355a…
03-17 09:11:13	ethereum up or down march 17 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xe3f829…
01-10 10:27:08	will zai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xbc6507…
01-10 10:14:32	will zai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x33d9f5…
01-10 08:51:58	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	387	100¢	$386	0x02c256…
01-10 08:18:14	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0xc8fc09…
01-10 08:17:14	will zai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	387	100¢	$386	0x97fd3c…
01-10 07:55:54	will zai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	387	100¢	$387	0x0ce318…
01-10 07:51:08	will paulo portas win the 2026 portugal presidential election 423	No	SELL	387	100¢	$387	0x615afc…
01-10 07:30:04	will paulo portas win the 2026 portugal presidential election 423	No	BUY	387	100¢	$387	0x4acf07…
01-10 06:47:26	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	389	100¢	$387	0x7d2a8f…
01-10 06:46:04	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	381	100¢	$380	0x8b12bc…
01-10 06:26:02	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	381	100¢	$381	0x0c20c0…
01-05 07:28:55	eth updown 15m 1767597300	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x700443…
01-05 07:24:09	eth updown 15m 1767597300	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe75531…
01-05 06:59:29	btc updown 15m 1767595500	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x9af59f…
01-05 06:56:21	btc updown 15m 1767595500	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x29a1e2…
01-05 06:54:41	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	448	100¢	$447	0x772c95…
01-05 06:39:57	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	448	100¢	$447	0x0324eb…
01-05 06:07:05	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	SELL	449	100¢	$448	0x115bb5…
01-05 05:49:41	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	449	100¢	$448	0xe55090…
01-05 05:43:19	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	SELL	449	100¢	$448	0xb8d3ff…
01-05 05:32:55	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	449	100¢	$449	0xb11ca8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	7	$1.34M	5,563	01-28 23:25
(anonymous) 0x1584…71b6	7	$693.5K	166	01-27 13:30
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	7	$404.0K	760	01-22 18:56
Vivid-Macrofauna 0x63d4…a2f1	7	$373.9K	846	01-27 10:27
Impossible-Architecture 0xa3ad…6866	7	$365.3K	1,054	01-28 05:27
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	7	$292.3K	3,982	01-28 02:47
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	7	$57.1K	245	01-26 19:09
Quick-Behaviour 0x1d8c…757a	7	$21.2K	140	01-28 23:25