Spirited-Kind — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$4.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-02 20:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% 100% +$13

Tech

20% — —

Sports

14% — —

Politics

10% 50% +$1

Pop-Culture

10% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	18	$763	598	593	+5	open	—	04-24 05:24
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	11	$545	280	280	+0	open	—	04-23 18:16
will los angeles c beat seattle in super bowl lx	2	$320	321	0	+321	open	—	01-12 04:45
will kanye release bully by april 3	6	$304	171	151	+20	open	—	03-26 06:11
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	3	$282	142	141	+0	open	—	04-23 18:17
will kathy hochul say ai or artificial intelligence during the state of the state address	4	$175	88	88	-0	open	—	01-13 23:31
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?	6	$173	88	88	+0	open	—	04-02 16:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$157	100	100	+0	open	—	04-05 14:36
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	8	$145	346	150	+196	open	—	01-12 14:14
will kanye release bully by march 27	7	$119	205	0	+205	open	—	03-27 05:35
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$102	82	82	+0	open	—	03-20 22:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-28 13:36
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	18	$88	160	50	+110	open	—	04-14 00:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	1	$87	100	0	+100	Down	+$13	05-04 17:22
will kathy hochul say healthcare during the state of the state address	2	$81	71	10	+61	open	—	01-13 20:40
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	4	$62	49	51	-2	open	—	04-14 14:01
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$54	100	0	+100	open	—	05-06 15:10
will kathy hochul say crypto or bitcoin during the state of the state address	2	$53	44	10	+34	open	—	01-13 20:36
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	3	$52	50	50	-0	open	—	04-02 14:42
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	4	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-24 05:16
will los angeles c face chicago in super bowl lx	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-12 04:31
will los angeles c face san francisco in super bowl lx	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	01-12 04:31
deepseek v4 released by april 24	16	$38	1,059	1,044	+15	open	—	04-24 06:00
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	02-28 06:59
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	01-17 23:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 15:08
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	02-18 01:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 15:08
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$20	500	0	+500	open	—	03-06 03:47
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	01-11 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:53:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	778	1¢	$7	0x97f7f3…
05-13 17:22:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xf33db1…
05-06 15:10:43	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xe8d099…
05-06 15:08:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0ff325…
05-06 15:08:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xfbdb38…
05-04 20:27:46	Will Trump say "Farmer" during Small Business Summit?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xd2105f…
05-04 20:09:52	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0953b0…
05-04 19:56:48	Will Trump say "Farmer" during Small Business Summit?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xba4ed4…
05-04 19:55:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaf021a…
05-04 19:52:04	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Small Business Summit?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x23ecde…
05-04 18:37:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4ed155…
05-04 17:22:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xf410e0…
05-04 16:27:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x708827…
05-04 16:07:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x21f0e6…
05-04 16:03:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb261d1…
05-04 16:02:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x30b701…
04-28 13:36:22	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x0744ff…
04-24 06:00:54	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$5	0x97ff09…
04-24 05:24:16	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x11c0ec…
04-24 05:24:10	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x9789f4…
04-24 05:16:28	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x910d2a…
04-24 05:15:36	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2ffbaf…
04-24 05:14:30	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe23acc…
04-24 05:00:08	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf52b5b…
04-24 04:59:04	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	794	1¢	$10	0x304ea4…
04-24 04:30:40	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0xd937fb…
04-24 04:30:14	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x039da6…
04-24 04:29:36	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	24	10¢	$2	0xf13480…
04-24 04:29:36	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x555869…
04-24 04:28:42	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0xe4b61b…
04-24 04:28:40	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x348227…
04-24 04:28:34	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xb236e2…
04-24 04:28:34	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x9d303e…
04-24 04:28:32	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd04b26…
04-24 04:15:20	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xbc8ff2…
04-24 04:13:54	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xaf3624…
04-24 04:13:34	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0x2e2ca1…
04-24 04:13:14	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x3c05f1…
04-24 04:01:16	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7ef9ce…
04-24 04:01:08	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x1be450…
04-24 04:00:46	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x593966…
04-24 04:00:34	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	21	22¢	$5	0x875c7f…
04-24 03:58:26	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x9f7e11…
04-24 03:57:32	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xcbd86e…
04-24 03:57:30	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xfce73b…
04-24 03:40:50	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	69	11¢	$8	0xb16a62…
04-24 03:40:38	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x3ac04a…
04-24 03:35:00	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	No	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0xb2d69a…
04-24 03:34:38	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	378	89¢	$337	0x9b5aca…
04-24 03:29:02	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x8fe0cb…
04-24 03:27:14	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x1c7818…
04-24 03:23:12	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	98¢	$167	0xf08d7e…
04-24 03:18:20	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x356332…
04-24 03:17:48	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xa17d48…
04-24 03:17:38	Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	98¢	$127	0x431f65…
04-23 18:17:24	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x883af5…
04-23 18:16:20	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x2ec6c6…
04-23 18:08:48	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0xf2ed5e…
04-23 18:08:26	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x473f17…
04-23 16:50:28	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd67a50…
04-23 16:40:18	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x99ad16…
04-23 16:36:52	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x23f364…
04-23 16:16:50	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x5d22f7…
04-23 15:22:44	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x478d04…
04-22 22:01:26	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0x9e3e4d…
04-22 20:23:12	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xec3251…
04-22 16:25:46	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$34	0x112eef…
04-22 16:23:38	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2e7bb8…
04-22 16:22:56	Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xbb25ec…
04-21 18:17:34	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc99e86…
04-16 01:12:46	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf900d9…
04-14 14:01:27	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	SELL	51	71¢	$36	0xfac70c…
04-14 03:35:15	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x8937cd…
04-14 03:32:57	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x39ea9c…
04-14 03:31:09	Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x38ad53…
04-14 00:57:25	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xaeece7…
04-14 00:55:41	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xabd5db…
04-14 00:06:21	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xe44323…
04-12 00:40:53	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	SELL	49	72¢	$35	0x8b98be…
04-10 23:32:45	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x6a4075…
04-09 00:42:51	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Sabres	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x24debb…
04-05 14:36:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc9e79f…
04-02 16:18:59	Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x552ad3…
04-02 14:45:03	Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x62582d…
04-02 14:42:41	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xdaa002…
04-02 14:40:19	Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x0dfd40…
04-02 14:39:21	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xad40e0…
04-02 14:38:07	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0xb9eea6…
04-02 14:37:29	Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xc6d8bd…
04-02 14:35:31	Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x9bc282…
04-02 14:29:23	Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?	Girl	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x9f8cbd…
04-01 11:02:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xb4e0c7…
03-30 02:09:14	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x36a723…
03-30 02:08:56	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7fc26b…
03-30 02:00:30	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x52a2d9…
03-30 01:34:10	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xc68b5f…
03-28 20:36:56	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xb904d6…
03-28 20:36:56	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x6bcb7f…
03-28 20:36:56	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x477a0f…
03-28 20:36:56	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0083b7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	31	$51.2K	3,917	05-04 10:59
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	26	$9.87M	14,021	06-03 23:05
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	26	$137.5K	11,017	05-31 17:26
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	26	$49.8K	309	06-01 22:55
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	24	$217.2K	4,312	06-01 00:34
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	24	$44.4K	4,324	06-01 06:54
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	24	$8.18K	1,704	05-06 11:19
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	24	$861	625	06-01 13:52