Crowded-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$553

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-06 04:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 22% $-47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$60	83	82	+2	Down	+$41	05-05 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$52	311	0	+311	open	—	05-02 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$47	81	10	+71	open	—	05-02 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$45	77	56	+21	Down	+$25	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	3	$45	56	56	+0	Up	+$25	05-05 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$40	86	64	+21	Down	+$20	05-05 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$25	79	0	+79	open	—	05-02 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$19	181	0	+181	open	—	05-01 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$16	93	0	+93	Up	$-16	05-06 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$16	266	0	+266	Up	$-16	05-06 03:58
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$15	109	0	+109	Down	$-15	05-06 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$12	62	2	+60	Up	$-10	05-05 03:24
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$11	28	0	+28	Up	+$17	05-06 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$11	193	0	+193	Down	$-11	05-05 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$11	133	0	+133	Up	$-11	05-05 04:19
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$10	73	0	+73	Up	$-10	05-06 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	$-10	05-06 04:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$10	50	0	+50	Up	$-10	05-06 02:56
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$10	89	0	+89	Up	$-10	05-06 03:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$10	143	0	+143	Down	$-10	05-06 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$10	75	0	+75	Down	$-10	05-05 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$9	36	0	+36	open	—	05-01 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$8	62	0	+62	Down	$-8	05-05 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$7	21	0	+21	open	—	05-01 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$6	65	0	+65	Up	$-6	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$6	76	0	+76	Down	$-6	05-05 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$6	36	0	+36	Up	$-6	05-05 03:37
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$5	30	0	+30	Up	$-5	05-06 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	92	0	+92	open	—	05-01 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 04:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	93	18¢	$16	0x045adf…
05-06 04:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb2de94…
05-06 04:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x896d1e…
05-06 03:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x4c3528…
05-06 03:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc22496…
05-06 03:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	17¢	$6	0x6a7ddf…
05-06 03:36:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0x79de1a…
05-06 03:32:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xccf7c9…
05-06 03:27:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x6f273c…
05-06 03:27:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x968486…
05-06 03:24:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x5bf48d…
05-06 03:18:22	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x6ba329…
05-06 03:18:18	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x241e1f…
05-06 02:56:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe87066…
05-05 04:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x8ceb7f…
05-05 04:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x943595…
05-05 04:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa60e06…
05-05 04:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	82	61¢	$50	0xd40dd9…
05-05 04:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x8f7a39…
05-05 04:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x337c02…
05-05 04:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x822eed…
05-05 04:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa4a7f0…
05-05 04:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4740c6…
05-05 04:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xaf787b…
05-05 04:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	51	60¢	$31	0x0c0ede…
05-05 04:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xdd0e8e…
05-05 03:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x91f56e…
05-05 03:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	64	46¢	$30	0xc9a24b…
05-05 03:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0x77e9db…
05-05 03:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	65	10¢	$6	0x8e8886…
05-05 03:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0x5d6b96…
05-05 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	56	62¢	$35	0x4e9c18…
05-05 03:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x22cd11…
05-05 03:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xe45acb…
05-05 03:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x47dc4d…
05-05 03:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2d7634…
05-05 03:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3b1e47…
05-05 03:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x7a3696…
05-02 02:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x44bace…
05-02 02:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xedb67a…
05-02 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	79	31¢	$25	0x7a24a8…
05-02 01:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xb08430…
05-02 01:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5e19fd…
05-02 01:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x400346…
05-02 01:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x342753…
05-02 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc2052d…
05-01 21:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x351937…
05-01 21:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	154	6¢	$9	0xf0f3f2…
05-01 21:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x99ee95…
05-01 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x1889ba…
05-01 12:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x7adc37…
05-01 12:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc2abe6…
05-01 11:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6da1fb…