Wary-Metal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.8%

Resolved

Trades

190

lifetime

Volume

$727

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-14 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 30% $-12

Other

23% — —

Politics

10% — —

Sports

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770754500	2	$48	29	28	+0	open	—	02-10 20:30
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$44	34	34	+0	open	—	03-08 19:06
btc updown 5m 1772996400	5	$44	43	28	+15	open	—	03-08 19:03
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	4	$43	2,005	45	+1,960	open	—	03-22 17:06
btc updown 15m 1770753600	2	$35	1,606	0	+1,606	open	—	02-10 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	5	$27	72	36	+36	Down	$-3	05-07 22:04
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	03-13 19:31
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	1	$21	115	0	+115	open	—	02-11 22:32
btc updown 15m 1770752700	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	02-10 19:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	03-15 18:38
fl1 nan str 2026 03 22 str	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 21:47
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$14	24	24	+0	open	—	03-16 19:03
f1 chinese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 15	2	$14	34	34	+0	open	—	03-14 11:18
btc updown 5m 1771272600	2	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	02-16 20:15
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-17 21:22
btc updown 5m 1780763100	6	$13	21	12	+8	open	—	06-06 16:27
btc updown 5m 1771272000	5	$11	613	3	+610	open	—	02-16 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 22:00
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-17 20:41
will france strike iran by march 31	1	$10	46	0	+46	open	—	03-01 14:41
f1 australian grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 07	1	$10	78	0	+78	open	—	03-07 15:44
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-15 18:32
will uae strike iran by march 31	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-01 14:43
nba cha phx 2026 03 08	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-08 19:07
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$10	131	131	+0	open	—	03-16 19:03
btc updown 5m 1771272900	3	$9	8	7	+1	open	—	02-16 20:21
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	03-17 21:23
btc updown 5m 1783373400	3	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	07-06 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$7	11	1	+9	Up	$-5	05-10 20:29
btc updown 5m 1771276200	3	$6	9	6	+3	open	—	02-16 21:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:24:16	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x05dcc1…
07-14 18:46:20	btc updown 5m 1784054700	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x03618f…
07-14 18:45:14	btc updown 5m 1784054700	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x82a0bc…
07-14 18:43:13	btc updown 5m 1784054400	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x617c4c…
07-14 18:41:59	btc updown 5m 1784054400	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x19fffb…
07-14 18:41:35	btc updown 5m 1784054400	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2d19d7…
07-14 18:41:17	btc updown 5m 1784054400	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x14490e…
07-14 11:35:49	btc updown 5m 1784028900	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x39e09f…
07-14 11:32:04	btc updown 5m 1784028600	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x863f67…
07-14 11:31:40	btc updown 5m 1784028600	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x921dc4…
07-14 11:31:29	btc updown 5m 1784028600	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb01f8e…
07-14 11:25:28	btc updown 5m 1784028300	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe9472c…
07-14 11:23:08	btc updown 5m 1784028000	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0509a9…
07-14 11:21:49	btc updown 5m 1784028000	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3baebe…
07-14 11:21:01	btc updown 5m 1784028000	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe7f3a6…
07-14 11:20:20	btc updown 5m 1784028000	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe6976e…
07-14 11:19:43	btc updown 5m 1784027700	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x957f04…
07-06 21:32:02	btc updown 5m 1783373400	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x74908d…
07-06 21:30:58	btc updown 5m 1783373400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf806c7…
07-06 21:30:38	btc updown 5m 1783373400	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3f4c01…
07-06 21:11:56	btc updown 5m 1783372200	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xab49f7…
07-06 21:11:20	btc updown 5m 1783372200	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x3a081d…
07-06 21:10:26	btc updown 5m 1783372200	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x805312…
06-29 19:32:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x22357b…
06-07 10:17:46	btc updown 5m 1780827300	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc90b57…
06-07 09:36:36	btc updown 5m 1780824900	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8fdd29…
06-06 16:56:34	btc updown 5m 1780764900	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb509fb…
06-06 16:55:31	btc updown 5m 1780764900	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97fe7c…
06-06 16:55:19	btc updown 5m 1780764900	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x646006…
06-06 16:54:52	btc updown 5m 1780764600	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x11505c…
06-06 16:50:25	btc updown 5m 1780764600	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6dd698…
06-06 16:47:21	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe883b4…
06-06 16:46:15	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x815510…
06-06 16:45:55	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x6c9f02…
06-06 16:45:06	btc updown 5m 1780764300	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe4744f…
06-06 16:27:31	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x66e510…
06-06 16:27:16	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x9a1573…
06-06 16:26:57	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x33b801…
06-06 16:26:13	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x219aed…
06-06 16:25:49	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x526ff0…
06-06 16:25:22	btc updown 5m 1780763100	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0be0dc…
06-06 16:21:16	btc updown 5m 1780762800	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x69b3dd…
06-06 16:20:45	btc updown 5m 1780762800	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x578d59…
06-06 16:20:13	btc updown 5m 1780762800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcf20e9…
06-06 16:19:40	btc updown 5m 1780762500	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x547f0e…
06-06 16:16:40	btc updown 5m 1780762500	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7db73a…
06-06 16:14:43	btc updown 5m 1780762200	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x551369…
06-06 16:13:34	btc updown 5m 1780762200	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9eef52…
06-06 16:11:42	btc updown 5m 1780762200	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x648825…
06-06 16:10:57	btc updown 5m 1780762200	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x449d1c…
06-06 16:07:57	btc updown 5m 1780761900	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe157eb…
05-10 21:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x45f018…
05-10 21:09:29	Will Chainlink reach $14 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6e26a4…
05-10 21:09:01	Will Chainlink reach $16 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xba9ce7…
05-10 21:08:44	Will Chainlink reach $20 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x196c35…
05-10 20:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbc524e…
05-10 20:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb67dde…
05-10 20:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa4000e…
05-10 20:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x729b98…
05-10 20:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfe43e2…
05-10 20:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf87039…
05-10 20:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaf55e5…
05-10 20:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5728cf…
05-10 20:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd71a53…
05-10 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2e1787…
05-10 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf7f60c…
05-10 20:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2c6ae5…
05-10 20:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	154	3¢	$5	0x0de62f…
05-10 20:16:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xa283f6…
05-07 22:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0bc6ec…
05-07 22:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x1d509a…
05-07 22:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x4c1773…
05-07 22:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x31d828…
05-07 22:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x061e01…
05-07 22:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x084212…
05-07 22:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd710b6…
05-07 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7c22bf…
05-07 21:55:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x76a0ec…
05-07 21:54:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfca3ba…
05-07 21:52:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc5fe59…
04-07 19:49:45	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8bcbe8…
04-07 19:46:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1f97d3…
03-22 21:47:25	fl1 nan str 2026 03 22 str	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x58347d…
03-22 17:06:51	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	BUY	1,904	2¢	$38	0x285cbb…
03-22 17:04:33	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x95a798…
03-22 12:30:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe64c87…
03-22 12:30:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x97a941…
03-19 20:15:37	btc updown 5m 1773951300	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x273cc0…
03-19 20:15:27	btc updown 5m 1773951300	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4a309e…
03-19 20:12:01	btc updown 5m 1773951000	Up	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x8c656b…
03-19 20:10:45	btc updown 5m 1773951000	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x628866…
03-19 20:10:29	btc updown 5m 1773951000	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6e970f…
03-19 20:10:17	btc updown 5m 1773951000	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x21d2c2…
03-18 22:10:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	No	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x72ba40…
03-17 21:23:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x10b951…
03-17 21:22:47	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 psg1	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf8e03c…
03-17 21:20:37	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 17 23	No	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x293147…
03-17 20:41:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xa36f8a…
03-17 20:16:41	btc updown 5m 1773778500	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4cba2e…
03-17 20:13:35	btc updown 5m 1773778200	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaf6132…