Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
18
lifetime
Volume
$73
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$36
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-05 22:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
91%
Politics
9%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 07-03 22:16
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 $-8 84¢ $-8 +$0 06-07 05:52
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 09:16
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 06-20 17:18
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No -5 $-4 91¢ $-5 $-0 06-05 02:17
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-14 09:45
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +18 $2 $1 $-1 06-09 23:51
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 05-29 08:59
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-16 15:38
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-1 06-28 21:27