Cheap-Pinafore — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

94% 50% $-221

Crypto

6% 43% $-35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$470	3,708	0	+3,708	open	—	05-10 21:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$405	5,743	5,743	+0	No	$-375	05-09 01:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	2	$354	7,032	7,032	+0	No	+$154	05-07 19:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$336	850	850	+0	open	—	05-07 19:49
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$100	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-06 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$31	269	19	+250	Down	+$1	05-10 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$20	44	0	+44	Up	$-20	05-10 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$10	83	0	+83	Up	$-10	05-09 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	441	0	+441	Up	$-5	05-10 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-09 02:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 21:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x5895db…
05-10 21:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0x27a6f8…
05-10 21:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x313f59…
05-10 21:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x35a86a…
05-10 21:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xac3a81…
05-10 21:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa73335…
05-10 21:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	441	1¢	$5	0xd4b22b…
05-10 21:17:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x34037a…
05-09 02:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x9632ae…
05-09 01:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x450629…
05-09 01:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc7a3b5…
05-09 01:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb92c9b…
05-09 01:51:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	5,743	0¢	$15	0x0e0540…
05-08 17:05:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3,601	2¢	$90	0xf6eb90…
05-07 21:33:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,186	17¢	$200	0x97fb44…
05-07 19:49:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	850	16¢	$136	0xa79190…
05-07 19:37:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	956	10¢	$100	0x7422b1…
05-07 19:36:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	SELL	7,032	4¢	$254	0x429f36…
05-07 02:31:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,083	12¢	$370	0x22f77f…
05-06 23:39:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	24¢	$200	0xc84862…
05-06 19:26:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	7,032	1¢	$100	0xf57301…
05-06 19:21:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x3af03d…