Uneven-Globe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$567

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-08 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 0% $-21

Other

48% 11% $-71

Politics

2% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$75	16,291	0	+16,291	open	—	04-27 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$39	286	74	+212	open	—	05-17 17:19
btc updown 5m 1780680000	3	$38	183	50	+133	open	—	06-05 17:24
btc updown 15m 1780676100	3	$34	169	164	+5	open	—	06-05 16:29
btc updown 5m 1780676100	3	$27	1,122	0	+1,122	open	—	06-05 16:19
btc updown 5m 1780678500	2	$27	67	67	+0	open	—	06-05 16:59
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$26	2,518	0	+2,518	Yes	$-26	05-12 15:12
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$26	433	0	+433	open	—	05-13 23:09
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 22:41
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$15	1,296	0	+1,296	open	—	05-14 19:45
btc updown 15m 1780680600	1	$14	173	0	+173	open	—	06-05 17:40
Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$13	186	0	+186	Yes	$-13	05-12 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$13	26	26	+0	open	—	05-17 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$11	98	0	+98	Down	$-11	05-13 23:13
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	296	0	+296	open	—	05-14 21:38
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$10	39	0	+39	No	$-10	05-12 18:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$9	218	0	+218	open	—	05-20 19:27
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$9	112	0	+112	No	$-9	05-12 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$8	230	0	+230	open	—	05-17 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	7	$8	1,929	0	+1,929	open	—	05-17 16:59
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$8	198	0	+198	Yes	$-8	05-12 14:56
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	05-12 21:31
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$7	199	0	+199	open	—	05-14 19:44
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$7	116	0	+116	open	—	05-14 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$6	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 21:49
Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$6	119	0	+119	open	—	05-14 21:37
btc updown 15m 1780940700	4	$6	168	0	+168	open	—	06-08 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$6	148	0	+148	Down	$-6	05-12 21:33
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-28 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$4	415	0	+415	open	—	05-14 22:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:58:30	btc updown 15m 1780940700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x73ff5a…
06-08 17:57:13	btc updown 15m 1780940700	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xec9700…
06-08 17:53:58	btc updown 15m 1780940700	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5d209c…
06-08 17:51:12	btc updown 15m 1780940700	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xccd48b…
06-05 17:40:01	btc updown 15m 1780680600	Down	BUY	173	8¢	$14	0x222834…
06-05 17:24:27	btc updown 5m 1780680000	Up	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x1eff39…
06-05 17:23:51	btc updown 5m 1780680000	Down	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x7bacd2…
06-05 17:22:54	btc updown 5m 1780680000	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x4fcf98…
06-05 17:13:39	btc updown 5m 1780679400	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x75ef23…
06-05 17:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780678800	Up	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x7c340b…
06-05 16:59:37	btc updown 5m 1780678500	Down	SELL	67	21¢	$14	0xbd1e57…
06-05 16:59:10	btc updown 5m 1780678500	Down	BUY	67	19¢	$13	0xc70c99…
06-05 16:44:10	btc updown 5m 1780677600	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x173e31…
06-05 16:39:46	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Down	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x14a47b…
06-05 16:39:21	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xeab13f…
06-05 16:39:03	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x74891d…
06-05 16:29:42	btc updown 15m 1780676100	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x028030…
06-05 16:28:58	btc updown 15m 1780676100	Down	SELL	164	16¢	$26	0x04838f…
06-05 16:23:19	btc updown 15m 1780676100	Down	BUY	164	5¢	$8	0x1accfb…
06-05 16:19:46	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xb13def…
06-05 16:18:49	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xb5eb02…
06-05 16:18:25	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	31	24¢	$8	0x1048e9…
06-05 16:14:07	btc updown 5m 1780675800	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x66c385…
05-28 19:33:42	World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia	Latvia	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xe2e9d4…
05-21 18:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	51	5¢	$3	0x19b4e4…
05-20 22:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xa5e888…
05-20 20:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x22cdb6…
05-20 19:27:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	218	4¢	$9	0x9318b1…
05-17 17:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	179	2¢	$4	0xc63db8…
05-17 17:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x85965a…
05-17 17:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x23e09d…
05-17 17:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1aca54…
05-17 17:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x76f3e3…
05-17 17:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x7d7f29…
05-17 17:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	74	28¢	$20	0xada9ec…
05-17 17:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	74	11¢	$8	0x7674fb…
05-17 17:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9bcbef…
05-17 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x7b03f8…
05-17 17:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x5f4d77…
05-17 17:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4fe155…
05-17 17:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0xd7f6ee…
05-17 17:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x5d5b08…
05-17 17:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	13¢	$4	0xf453f3…
05-17 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	363	0¢	$1	0xdccdd5…
05-17 16:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6107e9…
05-17 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	622	0¢	$1	0xf75b9c…
05-17 16:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x096cbe…
05-17 16:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	192	1¢	$1	0x73ebad…
05-17 16:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	169	1¢	$1	0x5276c1…
05-17 16:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9de493…
05-17 16:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x288a23…
05-17 16:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4f885f…
05-17 16:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x3b666c…
05-17 16:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf356b2…
05-16 22:41:03	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$19	0xd2f263…
05-15 21:03:34	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8299ed…
05-14 22:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	415	1¢	$4	0xdcb35f…
05-14 21:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3e909e…
05-14 21:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6bd7ea…
05-14 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe208bc…
05-14 21:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x0d36dd…
05-14 21:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x18616b…
05-14 21:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x634a92…
05-14 21:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x0d2f2f…
05-14 21:38:22	Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	296	3¢	$10	0x31ba4e…
05-14 21:37:51	Will Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	5¢	$6	0x902229…
05-14 21:37:33	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	6¢	$7	0x80d064…
05-14 19:45:30	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xcf2ac4…
05-14 19:45:05	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xe3c4e7…
05-14 19:44:53	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	199	4¢	$7	0x94df17…
05-14 19:43:54	Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xa2da0d…
05-13 23:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x7bd336…
05-13 23:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x40951a…
05-13 23:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb49b11…
05-13 23:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x5dca35…
05-13 23:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	67	7¢	$5	0xd38b6f…
05-13 23:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x0c12a6…
05-13 23:12:30	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0x71d4d8…
05-13 23:10:35	Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x41f286…
05-13 23:09:32	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	433	6¢	$26	0xa52eee…
05-13 23:09:16	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	704	1¢	$6	0x7a238a…
05-12 21:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	148	4¢	$6	0xa640a1…
05-12 21:31:27	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x316ff0…
05-12 20:47:35	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x9c5e06…
05-12 20:46:53	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xc2d829…
05-12 20:45:57	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x5c56a6…
05-12 20:45:10	Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x80c745…
05-12 18:00:09	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x2a88af…
05-12 15:12:42	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xdd41a0…
05-12 14:57:16	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	192	4¢	$7	0xd7526b…
05-12 14:56:17	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	198	4¢	$8	0x02ab5a…
05-12 14:56:01	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xfa5ed7…
05-12 14:55:52	Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x509f11…
05-12 14:55:07	Will Croatia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	186	7¢	$13	0xfddaea…
05-12 14:54:40	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2,407	1¢	$25	0xa332b4…
04-27 09:10:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8,695	0¢	$17	0x79f020…
04-24 09:26:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6,135	1¢	$37	0x24bfb5…
04-14 20:10:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,461	1¢	$20	0x4e0d63…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	37	$32.5K	1,124	06-08 17:52
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	34	$9.40K	1,165	06-08 17:56
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	33	$10.7K	2,592	06-08 17:56
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	33	$9.81K	2,491	06-08 17:56
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	33	$6.52K	1,188	06-08 17:55
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	33	$3.12K	335	06-08 17:53
Joyful-Utilisation 0x8fa7…8c7a	33	$3.10K	669	06-08 17:57
Petty-Notoriety 0x3139…096e	33	$2.97K	705	06-08 17:57