Vigorous-Hearth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 04-20 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 20% $-1

Sports

28% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	6	$746	374	374	+0	open	—	04-18 16:28
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$556	279	279	+0	No	$-0	04-07 04:01
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$510	256	256	+0	open	—	03-23 12:02
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$508	254	254	+0	No	$-0	04-12 20:49
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$436	219	219	+0	open	—	04-15 13:28
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	2	$404	202	202	+0	open	—	03-12 00:48
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$386	193	193	+0	open	—	02-26 11:56
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$384	192	192	+0	open	—	02-27 22:16
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$356	178	178	+0	open	—	02-15 03:33
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$346	173	173	+0	open	—	03-20 10:41
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$336	168	168	+0	open	—	03-28 13:03
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$322	161	161	+0	open	—	02-27 11:37
Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$322	161	161	+0	open	—	02-12 00:21
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$316	158	158	+0	open	—	03-01 17:21
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$316	158	158	+0	open	—	04-06 02:01
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$298	150	150	+0	open	—	03-31 03:01
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$298	149	149	+0	open	—	03-28 20:58
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$288	144	144	+0	open	—	03-14 20:52
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$278	140	140	+0	No	+$0	04-03 09:30
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$276	138	138	+0	No	$-0	03-16 12:43
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$262	131	131	+0	open	—	03-26 07:17
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$256	128	128	+0	open	—	03-27 16:44
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	03-29 23:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$254	127	127	+0	open	—	04-04 01:49
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$246	123	123	+0	No	$-0	03-24 21:29
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	04-13 23:47
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$224	112	112	+0	open	—	04-20 04:38
ethereum above 2000 on february 28	1	$92	92	0	+92	open	—	02-28 10:56
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-20 06:37
nba was orl 2026 03 03	1	$35	39	0	+39	open	—	03-03 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-20 06:37:34	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x38ec21…
04-20 04:38:38	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xf2fa21…
04-19 18:19:04	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xf576fb…
04-18 16:28:48	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xa13d93…
04-18 10:29:22	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x7c7afd…
04-15 23:54:58	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xd807c6…
04-15 17:21:40	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xd01b8f…
04-15 13:28:28	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4f4823…
04-15 10:18:16	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9e1b0a…
04-13 23:47:49	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x015724…
04-13 20:17:49	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xfd3f5f…
04-12 20:49:57	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x0ba921…
04-12 14:39:29	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x1bcbf6…
04-08 08:47:15	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xc68b9d…
04-08 04:31:07	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x670481…
04-07 04:01:35	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdee102…
04-07 04:01:19	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x17dd3d…
04-06 19:38:13	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x20a3d1…
04-06 02:01:39	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x419f48…
04-05 18:43:23	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x8ee13f…
04-04 01:49:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x0a7726…
04-03 22:10:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xe87e94…
04-03 09:30:55	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0xef31aa…
04-03 03:23:11	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x009ef4…
03-31 15:20:31	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0554bc…
03-31 11:32:41	will solana dip to 60 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x488246…
03-31 03:01:17	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$149	0x93d1fc…
03-30 22:34:19	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xee8658…
03-29 23:41:42	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xa04116…
03-29 14:58:12	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x9bbdb0…
03-28 20:58:34	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x9d03e6…
03-28 16:45:25	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x184317…
03-28 13:03:39	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xf6146c…
03-28 08:45:55	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0x06b0e8…
03-27 16:44:05	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x958f44…
03-27 10:03:53	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xf6ccc1…
03-26 07:17:37	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x5738dd…
03-26 00:32:53	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xdb2f74…
03-24 21:29:31	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x51dbed…
03-24 14:44:59	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xaf261a…
03-24 14:44:39	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x1b8ada…
03-24 08:04:35	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xe39e57…
03-24 01:24:13	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x011b86…
03-23 18:42:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x51129c…
03-23 12:02:39	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x06a984…
03-23 05:24:59	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xaeac5b…
03-21 00:26:57	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0xb366ff…
03-20 17:33:35	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x4882ec…
03-20 10:41:49	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	173	100¢	$173	0x226d04…
03-19 21:15:25	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	173	100¢	$173	0x6e3155…
03-16 12:43:47	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0x72d2f9…
03-16 06:05:49	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x44c386…
03-15 23:24:57	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xbf8fad…
03-15 16:44:31	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xfad1c7…
03-14 20:52:29	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x265f60…
03-14 14:20:07	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xcddf71…
03-12 20:51:29	nba mil mia 2026 03 12	Bucks	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0x9772ab…
03-12 20:51:01	nba bos okc 2026 03 12	Celtics	BUY	43	29¢	$12	0xc84722…
03-12 20:50:29	nba phx ind 2026 03 12	Pacers	BUY	29	23¢	$7	0x326f88…
03-12 00:48:47	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x819ac0…
03-11 19:01:05	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xd8b881…
03-10 17:09:35	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Trail Blazers	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x8b1027…
03-10 17:09:07	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Bulls	BUY	48	32¢	$15	0xf62d67…
03-08 18:30:39	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xc45519…
03-07 15:41:23	nba gsw okc 2026 03 07	Warriors	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x27f6b6…
03-05 14:21:07	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Raptors	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x0d43a9…
03-05 14:20:37	nba det sas 2026 03 05	Spurs	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xe32b10…
03-04 22:11:19	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Pacers	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0x31d47c…
03-04 22:10:33	nba atl mil 2026 03 04	Bucks	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x0906ce…
03-03 15:42:05	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Magic	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x9872f8…
03-01 17:21:35	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x150427…
03-01 10:14:21	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x2beb57…
02-28 10:56:23	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xc62261…
02-27 22:16:11	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x0bfc68…
02-27 18:31:33	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0xa7a71d…
02-27 11:37:45	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xff19cd…
02-27 03:26:26	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x4f2267…
02-26 11:56:42	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0x1ac7e7…
02-26 04:53:14	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x800360…
02-24 21:18:16	bitcoin above 70k on february 25	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5a8ecd…
02-21 20:11:08	nba hou nyk 2026 02 21	Knicks	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x89702e…
02-15 03:33:09	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x1e9794…
02-14 17:29:27	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0xa84c9c…
02-12 00:21:31	Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xcd396f…
02-11 14:39:05	Will Hoffenheim win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x6dbc36…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	32	$123.3K	984	03-13 03:57
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	32	$2.58K	4,003	04-27 02:25
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	29	$561.6K	30,031	04-21 23:39
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	28	$16.2K	441	04-27 23:42
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	26	$501.8K	35,653	04-08 23:14
Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf	26	$188.7K	5,394	04-26 11:22
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	26	$658	803	04-10 13:54
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	25	$2.02M	40,014	04-28 09:31