Tremendous-Mayonnaise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-09 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 33% $-3

Other

1% — —

Politics

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776792900	3	$17	45	16	+29	open	—	04-21 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 05:39
btc updown 5m 1776792000	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-21 17:24
btc updown 5m 1776792600	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	04-21 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$5	14	13	+1	open	—	04-25 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$3	6	2	+4	Up	$-1	05-09 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	04-25 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	04-25 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-25 17:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$1	62	0	+62	open	—	05-09 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-09 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-25 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 17:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$1	24	0	+24	No	$-1	05-09 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-25 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 15:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x0952c0…
05-09 06:00:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8b0ce3…
05-09 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x8be4dd…
05-09 05:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd00b7a…
05-09 05:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x72f8b8…
05-09 05:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf11285…
05-09 05:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x0f7914…
05-09 05:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x474783…
05-09 05:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x143585…
05-09 05:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6ca2f0…
05-09 05:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6ffd9e…
05-09 05:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x171f5f…
05-09 05:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7519fa…
05-09 05:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf9e76f…
05-09 02:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x821f2c…
05-09 02:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x69b9ed…
05-09 02:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x92e039…
05-09 02:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdfa25b…
05-09 02:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0xde0d00…
05-09 02:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7c6699…
05-09 02:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbb2fc1…
05-09 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x475cf8…
05-09 01:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x15c214…
05-09 01:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4de8c4…
05-09 01:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1868bd…
05-09 01:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x602da4…
04-25 22:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0d6cc7…
04-25 22:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x32afb0…
04-25 22:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x368a5d…
04-25 22:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x170e0c…
04-25 22:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4ad797…
04-25 21:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc65522…
04-25 21:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x2bc6b7…
04-25 21:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6b6bd7…
04-25 21:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x0e8aa8…
04-25 21:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2a1168…
04-25 20:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xb48813…
04-25 20:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x273db6…
04-25 20:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf12ab2…
04-25 19:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6283ed…
04-25 17:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x7c30b7…
04-25 17:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x001361…
04-25 17:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xac7ad1…
04-25 17:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaa9a0d…
04-25 17:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa45f95…
04-25 17:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xf856f5…
04-25 17:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x965c5c…
04-25 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xd7eb54…
04-25 17:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xacca50…
04-25 17:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x60341b…
04-25 17:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x694790…
04-21 17:38:26	btc updown 5m 1776792900	Down	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x98b48d…
04-21 17:37:46	btc updown 5m 1776792900	Up	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x9b1d7c…
04-21 17:36:04	btc updown 5m 1776792900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x5ec734…
04-21 17:34:50	btc updown 5m 1776792600	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xf0973e…
04-21 17:34:00	btc updown 5m 1776792600	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x37c188…
04-21 17:24:14	btc updown 5m 1776792000	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x29cbd7…