Unwelcome-Lesson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-23 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 80% +$3

Sports

27% 33% $-27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. 76ers	9	$91	54	54	+0	Knicks	+$17	05-09 01:43
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$67	38	38	+0	Golden Knights	+$7	05-09 03:38
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5	6	$56	42	42	+0	Over	$-7	05-11 00:50
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$30	37	37	+0	Athletics	$-10	05-09 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-21 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$27	20	10	+10	open	—	05-18 00:24
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	05-23 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$26	20	10	+10	open	—	05-17 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$26	20	10	+10	open	—	05-19 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$26	20	10	+10	open	—	05-18 00:19
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$25	26	65	-39	open	—	05-23 02:46
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	3	$24	42	42	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	$-16	05-09 04:17
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	2	$21	43	43	+0	Spurs	$-19	05-09 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-21 06:40
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$16	0	16	-16	open	—	05-22 02:45
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-23 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 08:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 03:24:03	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc65e54…
05-23 02:46:44	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	65	15¢	$10	0xf8ba4a…
05-23 00:28:10	Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc1539b…
05-23 00:26:57	Spread: Spurs (-1.5)	Spurs	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x296e2c…
05-23 00:20:54	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x880074…
05-22 02:45:26	Spread: Knicks (-2.5)	Knicks	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x359b1b…
05-22 02:45:14	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x178b0f…
05-21 08:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x796092…
05-21 08:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd0e06c…
05-21 08:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x443cf9…
05-21 08:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe45a82…
05-21 08:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa23f40…
05-21 08:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe680c6…
05-21 07:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfc6da5…
05-21 07:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4895c…
05-21 07:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x48ac15…
05-21 07:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x222a60…
05-21 07:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5658b4…
05-21 07:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5243d8…
05-21 06:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb7f3c5…
05-21 06:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2ddcfd…
05-21 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x19a600…
05-21 06:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2a9f9a…
05-21 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xeffb45…
05-21 06:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe36b05…
05-21 06:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbfd47e…
05-21 06:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xbaf814…
05-21 05:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb77f61…
05-21 05:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x979fc5…
05-21 05:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x32e626…
05-21 05:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x22d60d…
05-21 05:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x7f2370…
05-21 05:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x563eb3…
05-21 05:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x34a89c…
05-19 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xc22f74…
05-19 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x131910…
05-19 01:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x428bd7…
05-19 01:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x2cbb20…
05-19 01:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x1f6e43…
05-19 01:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4df82b…
05-19 01:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa78023…
05-19 00:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xcfc658…
05-19 00:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6c8859…
05-19 00:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x99d3c4…
05-19 00:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2285c8…
05-19 00:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6e05c2…
05-19 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd67d2a…
05-19 00:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x37b2f0…
05-19 00:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8f87d7…
05-19 00:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x7b85d8…
05-19 00:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x32a27a…
05-19 00:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x03110d…
05-19 00:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe85144…
05-19 00:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4d40ba…
05-19 00:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x87ec23…
05-18 23:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4a77b3…
05-18 23:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x19d8bd…
05-18 13:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8cd92c…
05-18 13:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x19cb92…
05-18 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x37a2b8…
05-18 13:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xef6cd7…
05-18 13:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb3acc8…
05-18 13:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5df32e…
05-18 13:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa89a21…
05-18 13:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x989d3e…
05-18 13:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xff89b9…
05-18 13:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x467882…
05-18 12:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe33867…
05-18 12:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x65eb98…
05-18 12:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x61ca68…
05-18 12:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x5f5484…
05-18 12:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4da1d8…
05-18 12:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xce7c95…
05-18 12:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb749a5…
05-18 12:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x92b017…
05-18 00:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8d54de…
05-18 00:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xfddfc1…
05-18 00:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x00b1bf…
05-18 00:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0a35bd…
05-18 00:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x91b576…
05-18 00:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x14524b…
05-18 00:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9f9924…
05-18 00:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xab9510…
05-18 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x274f97…
05-18 00:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf0a072…
05-18 00:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x297226…
05-18 00:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x253f94…
05-18 00:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x845824…
05-18 00:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x01116a…
05-17 23:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0c24b2…
05-17 23:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7f51ba…
05-17 23:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdafb45…
05-17 23:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x55c219…
05-17 23:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2b41f4…
05-17 23:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x05c4dc…
05-17 23:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x306bc2…
05-17 23:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8da1d7…
05-17 22:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x80b0ed…
05-17 22:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x4e7a01…
05-17 22:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa82046…