Good-Arrogance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$33.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 04-27 11:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

43% — —

Other

42% 0% $-1

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	6	$2.0K	982	982	+0	No	$-1	04-13 19:25
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$1.9K	945	945	+0	open	—	04-06 09:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	6	$1.7K	863	863	+0	open	—	04-16 10:27
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.5K	737	737	+0	open	—	04-01 17:40
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$1.4K	724	724	+0	open	—	03-18 19:20
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.3K	665	665	+0	open	—	04-26 11:34
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-25 09:38
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$1.1K	564	564	+0	open	—	02-17 23:51
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$950	475	475	+0	open	—	03-13 17:35
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$828	414	414	+0	open	—	02-28 03:34
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$776	388	388	+0	open	—	03-26 22:45
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	2	$770	385	385	+0	open	—	03-23 14:13
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$768	385	385	+0	open	—	03-27 17:06
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$748	375	375	+0	No	$-0	04-08 18:36
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$746	374	374	+0	open	—	03-17 21:42
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$744	372	372	+0	open	—	03-22 00:58
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$726	364	364	+0	open	—	04-05 01:31
will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$716	359	359	+0	open	—	04-03 19:26
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$714	357	357	+0	open	—	03-12 04:25
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$668	335	335	+0	open	—	04-07 15:20
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$664	333	333	+0	open	—	04-04 19:26
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$628	314	314	+0	open	—	03-24 21:08
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$626	314	314	+0	open	—	04-14 15:26
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$614	308	308	+0	open	—	02-14 23:42
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$610	305	305	+0	No	$-0	03-25 22:09
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$606	303	303	+0	open	—	03-30 06:53
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$600	300	300	+0	open	—	03-29 07:44
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$600	300	300	+0	open	—	04-17 05:19
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$593	298	298	+0	open	—	04-12 07:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$574	287	287	+0	open	—	03-16 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-27 11:32:48	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	278	100¢	$277	0x3e8296…
04-27 09:57:26	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0x0c0b86…
04-26 11:34:24	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	323	100¢	$322	0x3276a5…
04-26 08:58:52	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	323	100¢	$322	0xc192aa…
04-17 05:19:42	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x87286f…
04-16 21:53:18	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe292c7…
04-16 10:27:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x65c1a4…
04-16 06:04:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x51c64c…
04-14 20:16:30	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0x427052…
04-14 15:26:59	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0x9831cf…
04-14 15:26:43	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	314	99¢	$313	0xda3eb0…
04-14 12:03:35	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0x5da9ca…
04-14 12:03:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	325	100¢	$324	0xb3f805…
04-14 09:58:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	325	100¢	$324	0xdaaa9f…
04-13 19:25:41	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	336	100¢	$335	0xc3505a…
04-13 15:50:13	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0x2efc87…
04-12 07:27:23	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$296	0x17eef7…
04-12 03:41:01	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0x5a419f…
04-12 03:40:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	286	100¢	$285	0xfbc5e9…
04-12 00:37:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x026e64…
04-11 18:49:27	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	283	100¢	$282	0x44a32f…
04-10 10:38:37	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$282	0x0a4db6…
04-10 10:38:21	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	342	100¢	$341	0x63eaeb…
04-08 22:05:41	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	342	100¢	$341	0x3c9693…
04-08 18:36:09	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	375	100¢	$374	0xe54711…
04-08 15:45:53	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	375	100¢	$374	0x0c79c1…
04-07 15:20:39	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	335	100¢	$334	0x91c3b0…
04-07 11:10:11	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$334	0x255af5…
04-06 09:44:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$321	0x5cf57d…
04-06 06:10:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$321	0x272c73…
04-05 18:07:51	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	262	100¢	$261	0x05a13a…
04-05 12:58:57	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0xd5bd24…
04-05 01:31:59	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	364	100¢	$363	0x4aa41e…
04-04 19:26:19	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$363	0x47776b…
04-04 19:26:01	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	333	100¢	$332	0x4b897b…
04-04 09:45:21	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xfadfc3…
04-03 19:26:53	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	359	100¢	$358	0x36e8af…
04-03 15:40:27	will sergio garcia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	359	100¢	$358	0xa93d56…
04-03 01:19:55	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0x4602ff…
04-02 23:32:01	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0x6c9660…
04-01 17:40:47	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	372	99¢	$371	0x473b2e…
04-01 13:46:13	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	372	100¢	$371	0xcab0ca…
03-31 14:26:43	will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x79ea90…
03-30 06:53:22	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0xe19c2b…
03-30 03:00:34	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0xd947c1…
03-29 15:24:36	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0x6f50f2…
03-29 11:34:40	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0xe79806…
03-29 07:44:08	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x93f22e…
03-29 03:56:42	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xbe4568…
03-28 05:09:43	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0x6295ef…
03-27 22:54:53	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$292	0x466281…
03-27 17:06:07	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	385	100¢	$384	0xdefc15…
03-27 11:00:19	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	385	100¢	$384	0x111ba8…
03-26 22:45:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	388	100¢	$388	0x18223e…
03-26 16:35:01	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	388	100¢	$388	0x87455c…
03-26 10:25:47	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	353	99¢	$352	0x96bc46…
03-26 04:18:51	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0xf7095b…
03-25 22:09:03	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0xed4cf8…
03-25 15:49:29	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x5dbc39…
03-25 09:38:15	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	355	100¢	$355	0x8f9190…
03-25 03:27:13	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	355	100¢	$355	0xda49a7…
03-24 21:08:51	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0x393662…
03-24 14:57:31	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0x307eb0…
03-24 08:47:33	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	364	100¢	$363	0x45b593…
03-24 02:37:59	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$363	0xbf5eea…
03-23 14:13:05	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	SELL	385	100¢	$385	0xd796ea…
03-23 08:02:45	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	385	100¢	$385	0x21abca…
03-22 00:58:15	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	372	100¢	$372	0x64f644…
03-21 04:37:33	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	372	100¢	$372	0x98b77f…
03-18 19:20:25	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$322	0x85ea60…
03-18 12:06:27	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$322	0xbc423d…
03-17 21:42:05	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	374	100¢	$373	0xacb674…
03-17 14:30:39	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	374	100¢	$373	0xea5cdd…
03-17 14:30:23	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	402	100¢	$401	0xf5ea21…
03-17 07:21:35	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$401	0x78975b…
03-16 16:51:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$287	0xe154f9…
03-16 02:27:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0x50cb73…
03-15 05:03:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$293	0x9c4ed8…
03-14 21:55:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$293	0xf4697f…
03-13 17:35:55	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0x14dcd5…
03-13 09:30:17	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x4c904e…
03-12 19:42:31	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Mavericks	BUY	51	66¢	$34	0x1b38d0…
03-12 19:42:01	nba phx ind 2026 03 12	Suns	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x9dbb7d…
03-12 04:25:33	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	357	100¢	$357	0x671ec3…
03-11 21:06:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	357	100¢	$357	0x26e107…
03-10 15:59:05	nba phx mil 2026 03 10	Suns	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0x6e14a0…
03-08 23:29:21	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Kings	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0xbf5ef8…
03-08 23:28:49	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0xf22707…
03-07 15:15:19	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x39b75a…
03-05 15:28:27	nba dal orl 2026 03 05	Magic	BUY	53	79¢	$42	0x7d3c0b…
03-05 15:28:01	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0x302529…
03-05 06:00:57	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0xcef5e5…
03-04 22:00:51	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xb65f8f…
03-03 21:08:57	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	53	44¢	$23	0x0fe677…
03-03 21:08:35	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xc3e88b…
03-03 11:44:17	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Mavericks	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xeb025e…
03-03 11:43:45	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	Spurs	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xbc0e41…
03-02 20:28:39	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xf69d49…
03-02 05:51:09	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x858c16…
03-02 05:50:51	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0x0cc7f7…