Silent-Fledgling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,676

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-30 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

79% 97% +$1

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	06-30 00:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Will Mikes Evans play for New York Jets in 2026-27?	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 06:11
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 11:42
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 15:23
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:55
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 05:20
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	1	$10	10	0	+10	Texas Rangers	+$0	05-10 20:59
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 11:25
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 02:46
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 02:16
cricpsl que mul 2026 04 05	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 17:23
nor vif vik 2026 04 06 total 3pt5	3	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 14:51
lol gx fnc 2026 03 28 game handicap away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-28 17:21
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 18:13
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e3490…
06-29 22:39:16	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals kai havertz gte2	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81ea60…
06-29 20:20:32	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb3d36…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90dc70…
06-29 18:55:22	cs2 pre masq 2026 06 29 map handicap away 1pt5	Prestige	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7337fd…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dec0d…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9ba16…
06-28 21:19:04	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25f617…
06-28 12:40:19	kbo kt sam 2026 06 28	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a8ad9…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd4692…
06-28 03:00:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cd3db…
06-28 01:32:02	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb31aa9…
06-27 23:02:19	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f49e5…
06-27 22:56:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e652d…
06-27 22:56:41	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc9d1e…
06-27 20:38:37	Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b2af5…
06-27 19:07:47	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27 go the distance	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e76f2…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c4540…
06-27 14:56:02	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a3362…
06-27 13:00:19	cs2 mis wbt 2026 06 27 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8a2ac…
06-26 21:00:32	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7315d4…
06-26 20:12:50	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd03181…
06-26 18:06:20	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5058b…
06-26 12:36:11	kbo han ssg 2026 06 26	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x334974…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x05ffdb…
06-26 08:58:44	val t1a soswee 2026 06 26	T1 Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd23c2…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62956a…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3c1817…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e490a…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x569d79…
06-25 00:04:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fc947…
06-24 21:13:58	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners team home 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf586ca…
06-24 20:58:34	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde80a2…
06-24 13:07:17	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61c5b8…
06-24 09:08:35	cs2 mana1 hon1 2026 06 24 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc10f93…
06-24 04:00:19	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3835f6…
06-24 03:09:10	mlb bos col 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc42fc4…
06-24 00:26:11	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5481b8…
06-23 20:00:55	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc79565…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75c48d…
06-23 19:02:40	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x376455…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38be3c…
06-23 18:11:34	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdebb0f…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e9772…
06-21 21:16:11	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 corners second half total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbedd00…
06-21 20:32:50	mlb cws det 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb85a2d…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb05a29…
06-21 18:12:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce8957…
06-21 18:04:58	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9b07e…
06-21 16:54:26	mar1 mad rsb 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27415b…
06-20 14:10:50	wta zarazua thamm 2026 06 20	Renata Zarazua	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c1e42…
06-20 12:43:56	cs2 echo ice 2026 06 20 game1	ECHO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14659b…
06-20 05:14:14	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a30d0…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe525b1…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cc44c…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadf99f…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ecb3e…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cdebc…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7c075…
06-17 17:29:58	atp feldbau gulin 2026 06 17	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x326588…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf891f6…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76dd3e…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cfea3…
06-17 00:03:32	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9ed8b…
06-16 14:06:23	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5d6d9…
06-16 12:37:39	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4cb7b2…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36e903…
06-15 21:02:45	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5878a0…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd401cf…
06-15 12:41:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeddf94…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb89828…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ddd34…
06-14 19:23:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfbb70…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x448365…
06-13 11:58:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x046ebe…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bc742…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x994f87…
06-12 20:26:52	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48a69a…
06-12 20:18:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62f568…
06-12 20:17:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe39097…
06-12 13:30:07	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x449d78…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73c0fc…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2aeec…
06-11 18:11:25	cs2 kol heroa 2026 06 11 game1	HEROIC Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22f83d…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x360458…
06-10 20:16:57	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc03836…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc76a68…
06-09 17:38:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeec020…
06-09 14:20:34	kbo ssg lg 2026 06 09	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x176e9d…
06-08 23:26:34	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6611c…
06-08 21:37:07	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a0b2e…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a09d3…
06-07 21:09:33	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d84ca…
06-07 19:10:43	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60b593…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd310e8…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc59204…
06-07 13:09:46	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25f01e…
06-06 23:10:01	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68aa6e…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x939de3…
06-06 12:06:00	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f1882…