Qualified-Integration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$461

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-06 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$1

Politics

22% 100% +$0

Tech

22% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	06-06 06:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$-0	06-06 06:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	+11	$10	60¢	$7	$-3	06-06 06:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	2	$60	52	10	+41	open	—	04-21 06:19
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-24 13:55
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	4	$22	22	22	+0	open	—	04-26 20:18
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	3	$22	30	10	+20	open	—	05-22 09:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 20:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 01:01
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 11:00
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-24 08:24
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$15	4	12	-8	open	—	04-29 20:47
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?	3	$14	11	10	+1	open	—	04-23 09:10
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 18:32
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-06 06:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-01 18:10
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-20 17:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-06 06:50
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 16:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 22:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-06 06:55
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-23 09:28
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-20 17:12
Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-30 14:16
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:22
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 09:29
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 11:28
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 17:11
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 08:12
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 23:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 10:41
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 16:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-11 06:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 06:55:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe4926d…
06-06 06:51:39	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x45bc23…
06-06 06:50:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe74bf5…
05-22 09:02:32	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xddea51…
05-22 09:01:34	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x67f726…
05-21 17:11:26	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2c088c…
05-18 01:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x3e66b1…
05-15 23:22:08	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbee363…
05-15 23:01:59	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4f4b1a…
05-12 11:55:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x91b21e…
05-12 03:38:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x32a527…
05-11 08:12:39	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xe8bfd8…
05-11 06:28:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xdcce54…
05-10 19:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x9b7dbd…
05-07 21:42:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xbca97c…
05-07 21:16:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5be786…
05-05 11:22:36	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ba665…
05-03 18:04:02	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x0e825f…
05-03 15:21:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8e1cdc…
05-01 18:10:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf88c2d…
05-01 12:34:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2b7a63…
04-30 14:16:18	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4c777b…
04-29 22:22:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x39bb6b…
04-29 20:56:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x224840…
04-29 20:47:16	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x087dd6…
04-29 16:03:18	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x5f40b5…
04-29 16:03:00	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x61886e…
04-29 07:25:16	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x70cef7…
04-28 16:56:54	Will King Charles say "Independence" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x18717e…
04-28 16:40:40	Will King Charles say "Honor" during the joint meeting of Congress?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x894c29…
04-27 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x692103…
04-27 05:57:38	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x16f663…
04-26 20:18:58	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0343f0…
04-26 20:18:08	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x6a653f…
04-26 20:17:40	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xab70a5…
04-25 10:41:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x0a53cb…
04-24 20:25:58	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xff0db9…
04-24 19:49:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0ae916…
04-24 19:29:50	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x56d8e0…
04-24 19:22:40	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0xb88d6b…
04-24 13:56:36	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xa9a5de…
04-24 13:55:38	Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x59dcc8…
04-24 11:00:52	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfb3f0a…
04-24 08:24:46	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x8bd2cb…
04-23 13:26:34	Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0671b1…
04-23 11:28:56	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x6212a1…
04-23 09:30:34	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x69ecdc…
04-23 09:29:46	Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8a04fd…
04-23 09:28:38	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6cbce4…
04-23 09:10:52	Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x127e81…
04-23 09:10:32	Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x57a9d9…
04-22 11:24:28	Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$8	0x5c14b6…
04-21 18:32:46	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd14cac…
04-21 06:20:42	Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xefaf07…
04-21 06:19:32	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x7f91eb…
04-20 18:26:00	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x40664c…
04-20 17:20:40	Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5f5e33…
04-20 17:12:00	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x65b0c9…
04-20 16:59:20	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x37371f…
04-20 13:34:32	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x47c5f3…