Feisty-Sequel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

336

Trades

1,073

lifetime

Volume

$4.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-26 12:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 80% $-1

Politics

5% 0% $-0

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$120	169	0	+169	open	—	01-14 02:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$45	162	162	+0	open	—	05-12 00:37
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$40	133	0	+133	open	—	01-14 02:26
btc updown 5m 1772624400	2	$27	16	15	+1	open	—	03-04 11:43
btc updown 5m 1772645400	2	$24	33	0	+33	open	—	03-04 17:30
btc updown 5m 1772589900	2	$23	14	13	+0	open	—	03-04 02:10
btc updown 5m 1772585100	2	$22	14	13	+1	open	—	03-04 00:48
btc updown 5m 1772570700	2	$22	13	13	+1	open	—	03-03 20:48
btc updown 5m 1772570400	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	03-03 20:44
btc updown 5m 1772588700	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-04 01:47
btc updown 5m 1772643900	2	$21	18	17	+1	open	—	03-04 17:09
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$20	167	0	+167	open	—	01-14 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-30 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-30 18:14
btc updown 5m 1772728200	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$19	37	0	+37	open	—	04-30 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$17	18	6	+12	Up	$-13	05-08 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$17	18	6	+11	Up	$-2	05-08 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$17	20	0	+20	open	—	04-30 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$16	38	0	+38	open	—	04-30 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	04-29 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$14	11	10	+1	open	—	04-25 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$14	20	19	+1	open	—	04-25 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	7	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	5	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$12	11	10	+0	open	—	04-25 19:22
btc updown 5m 1772641500	1	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	03-04 16:25
btc updown 5m 1772633400	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	03-04 14:10
btc updown 5m 1772639100	1	$12	17	0	+17	open	—	03-04 15:45
btc updown 5m 1772645700	1	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	03-04 17:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 12:07:01	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	714	0¢	$2	0x8e3eab…
05-26 12:04:50	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x397b26…
05-14 00:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8fc395…
05-13 23:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd28f90…
05-13 23:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc3f5ea…
05-13 23:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x937a21…
05-13 23:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdc218c…
05-13 23:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x966f4a…
05-13 23:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb9a641…
05-13 23:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x546ab6…
05-13 22:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd69a25…
05-13 22:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe7cef4…
05-13 22:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2be2ce…
05-13 22:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0dbb33…
05-13 21:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd8080f…
05-13 21:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf31c0a…
05-13 20:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x604975…
05-13 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5668bd…
05-13 20:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd06b5c…
05-13 20:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6d054b…
05-13 20:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x65eec9…
05-13 20:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6bc15f…
05-13 20:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb293cd…
05-13 20:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xede254…
05-13 20:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3cf913…
05-13 20:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfef363…
05-13 20:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf1d86d…
05-13 20:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x54c6f5…
05-13 19:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd7d75e…
05-13 19:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x45ac1b…
05-13 19:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe3ddb9…
05-13 19:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3240b4…
05-13 19:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1403a7…
05-13 19:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x74ae4d…
05-13 19:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xda6f11…
05-13 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x119cc1…
05-13 19:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc2d3f6…
05-13 19:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x68f126…
05-13 19:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x0b8743…
05-13 19:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2c2c25…
05-13 19:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe217ff…
05-13 18:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0d09e9…
05-13 18:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x074db2…
05-13 18:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb6bf8d…
05-13 18:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2c6ae2…
05-13 18:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaf92e7…
05-13 18:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6ffda7…
05-13 18:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd3a28e…
05-13 18:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe68070…
05-13 17:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xabeaf3…
05-13 17:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb57236…
05-13 17:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3487f1…
05-13 17:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1cd61b…
05-13 17:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb04eeb…
05-13 17:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x090567…
05-13 17:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb27c57…
05-13 17:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x292df8…
05-13 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x94f5a8…
05-13 16:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x7bed20…
05-13 16:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x9e98b1…
05-13 16:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7ccd95…
05-13 16:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7fefd0…
05-13 16:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3c272d…
05-13 16:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc84055…
05-13 16:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6f0c67…
05-13 16:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3b67d8…
05-13 16:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb326dd…
05-13 16:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe38469…
05-13 16:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x8504a7…
05-13 15:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe2c6a3…
05-13 14:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf80325…
05-12 23:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3ef0c9…
05-12 23:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9595d8…
05-12 23:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2d3a8f…
05-12 22:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x4278f5…
05-12 22:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x072761…
05-12 22:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xad2c17…
05-12 22:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd604c4…
05-12 22:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6ecd50…
05-12 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x5a6066…
05-12 22:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4173aa…
05-12 00:37:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0xf670be…
05-12 00:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x955287…
05-12 00:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x93fbef…
05-11 20:16:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0x39cabd…
05-11 17:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x92aac5…
05-11 17:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa1db3e…
05-11 17:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x1a9f25…
05-11 17:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xc97182…
05-11 17:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0995f4…
05-11 17:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x5e8c82…
05-11 17:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc0015c…
05-11 17:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf12122…
05-11 17:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x205693…
05-11 17:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x326eee…
05-11 17:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc4409d…
05-11 16:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xccb190…
05-11 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbf5e5b…
05-11 05:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x86e716…
05-10 15:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x06cf4c…