Quintessential-Cycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.4%

Resolved

Trades

474

lifetime

Volume

$3.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-08 06:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

46% 75% $-15

Other

29% — —

Sports

22% — —

Politics

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	12	$311	336	200	+136	Down	+$23	05-07 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$279	259	193	+65	Down	+$15	05-07 04:39
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$227	412	0	+412	open	—	02-18 02:29
btc updown 15m 1770253200	10	$204	2,808	308	+2,500	open	—	02-05 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	10	$194	146	146	+0	Up	+$39	05-07 04:18
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	2	$160	187	187	+0	open	—	01-29 04:31
btc updown 15m 1770255900	1	$134	406	0	+406	open	—	02-05 01:53
nhl utah fla 2026 01 27	2	$122	98	98	+0	open	—	01-28 02:27
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$120	0	179	-179	open	—	01-26 04:25
nhl buf tor 2026 01 27	2	$117	82	82	+0	open	—	01-28 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$93	186	0	+186	Down	$-93	05-08 06:00
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1400plus	4	$88	150	0	+150	open	—	01-30 04:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 29	7	$81	200	0	+200	open	—	01-29 08:29
will super bowl lx have at least 140m viewers	6	$67	600	600	+0	open	—	02-09 20:04
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	2	$64	400	0	+400	open	—	01-31 02:07
Will Arsenal win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	1	$50	103	0	+103	open	—	01-23 08:13
will powell say inflation 50 times during january press conference	3	$46	11	50	-39	open	—	01-28 19:52
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	1	$44	200	0	+200	open	—	01-23 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$39	80	0	+80	open	—	04-30 02:53
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$35	500	0	+500	open	—	01-28 19:51
btc updown 15m 1770254100	6	$35	100	0	+100	open	—	02-05 01:15
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	80	$33	1,395	0	+1,395	open	—	02-01 22:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 29	3	$32	100	0	+100	open	—	01-28 18:55
will powell say median during january press conference 776	3	$32	0	80	-80	open	—	01-28 19:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on february 3	1	$30	200	0	+200	open	—	01-29 14:37
will trump say palestine or palestinian this week december 29 january 4	1	$30	150	0	+150	open	—	01-02 14:30
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	5	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	01-23 18:24
will trump say kevin or warsh during fed chair announcement	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	01-30 11:58
will chromakopia tyler the creator win best rap album at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$25	631	0	+631	open	—	02-01 23:47
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 380 399	19	$25	500	0	+500	open	—	01-08 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 06:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xca8909…
05-08 06:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	50¢	$19	0x72d5b4…
05-08 06:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	143	50¢	$71	0x6399c2…
05-07 04:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xbbc80d…
05-07 04:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	39	76¢	$30	0x5c545d…
05-07 04:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	152	76¢	$116	0xc3b0b5…
05-07 04:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	259	51¢	$132	0x8e170b…
05-07 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0x2dcbee…
05-07 04:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x95364f…
05-07 04:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xd6f069…
05-07 04:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x68e215…
05-07 04:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x645c3d…
05-07 04:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	44	65¢	$29	0x631790…
05-07 04:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x62caa1…
05-07 04:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x4ef1d0…
05-07 04:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb06e2a…
05-07 04:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xa9bada…
05-07 04:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	61	45¢	$27	0xa8d498…
05-07 04:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x3e8d14…
05-07 04:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	53	80¢	$42	0x1e4df8…
05-07 04:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xe1de0c…
05-07 04:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xc5a8e7…
05-07 04:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9f883d…
05-07 04:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x729dcf…
05-07 04:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x57be5b…
05-07 04:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x3b0c7d…
05-07 04:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x19e9e7…
05-07 04:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x14ab1a…
05-07 04:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	146	53¢	$77	0x4e6915…
04-30 02:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0x10aa60…
02-18 02:29:13	will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	412	55¢	$227	0xcefe21…
02-09 20:04:01	will super bowl lx have at least 140m viewers	Yes	SELL	560	3¢	$19	0x9ca31d…
02-09 06:30:29	will super bowl lx have at least 140m viewers	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x4f73ff…
02-05 01:53:43	btc updown 15m 1770255900	Up	BUY	406	33¢	$134	0x6c2c84…
02-05 01:15:37	btc updown 15m 1770254100	Up	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x3464f8…
02-05 01:15:35	btc updown 15m 1770254100	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xc2573a…
02-05 01:15:35	btc updown 15m 1770254100	Up	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x89b2f8…
02-05 01:15:35	btc updown 15m 1770254100	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x720a4b…
02-05 01:15:35	btc updown 15m 1770254100	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x354950…
02-05 01:15:35	btc updown 15m 1770254100	Up	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0x16a2df…
02-05 01:12:01	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x7cc2f1…
02-05 01:06:59	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0xb8cf1f…
02-05 01:04:05	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	SELL	249	40¢	$100	0x872dbe…
02-05 01:03:37	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	BUY	59	30¢	$18	0xac3323…
02-05 01:03:31	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xcb4cf0…
02-05 01:03:29	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0xbaff50…
02-05 01:03:29	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x0de2d6…
02-05 01:03:21	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x96bfb3…
02-05 01:03:21	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x3dd527…
02-05 01:03:21	btc updown 15m 1770253200	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x094f18…
02-05 00:56:51	btc updown 15m 1770252300	Up	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xd124f6…
02-01 23:47:34	will chromakopia tyler the creator win best rap album at the 68th annual grammy awards	Yes	BUY	631	4¢	$25	0x2df7c7…
02-01 23:47:10	will let god sort em out clipse pusha t malice win best rap album at the 68th annual grammy awards	Yes	BUY	129	16¢	$21	0xb4a8f2…
02-01 22:28:24	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x510db5…
02-01 22:26:40	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa63201…
02-01 22:24:58	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x496d9a…
02-01 18:28:00	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	285	6¢	$16	0xc59109…
02-01 17:28:56	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 343 693 775 861 153	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$24	0xa40861…
02-01 17:16:30	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x0e60ed…
02-01 14:10:58	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x4c30c2…
02-01 14:10:32	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x4fd814…
02-01 14:10:30	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb5c0cc…
02-01 14:09:50	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x0eb1b9…
02-01 14:08:56	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xe2d611…
02-01 14:08:12	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x386611…
02-01 14:04:50	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x4d84c4…
02-01 13:38:16	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x01e96a…
02-01 13:20:58	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x6c2a17…
02-01 13:17:10	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x82f0ce…
02-01 13:03:14	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xa90859…
02-01 13:02:48	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0xe5cc06…
02-01 07:55:22	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x634593…
02-01 07:49:46	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xc22e7b…
02-01 07:48:04	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x9702a0…
02-01 07:42:58	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0x876367…
02-01 07:33:54	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2c4159…
02-01 07:32:34	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa2af9f…
02-01 07:14:54	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4c49f6…
02-01 07:14:10	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x5034ce…
02-01 07:02:36	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf0bfe1…
02-01 06:27:20	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$3	0x2b0b79…
02-01 06:26:50	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x57ac58…
02-01 06:23:58	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0f428e…
02-01 06:16:40	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x3c6395…
02-01 06:16:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x5ba160…
02-01 06:10:58	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xda0c3a…
02-01 06:07:10	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x474e1a…
02-01 06:05:14	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xe798dd…
02-01 06:02:12	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x67e1b8…
02-01 05:53:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x1dcdd4…
02-01 05:46:12	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x007a2a…
02-01 05:36:18	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf811f8…
02-01 05:31:32	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x66c806…
02-01 05:23:00	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xda7d76…
02-01 05:22:28	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x3c8f41…
02-01 05:22:08	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x027c47…
02-01 05:21:08	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x8624f1…
02-01 05:18:56	Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x22f0f2…
02-01 05:13:42	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x74c9af…
02-01 05:12:56	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x0243fd…