Intrepid-Clarinet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$335

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-19 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 60% $-1

Politics

42% — —

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$65	48	48	+0	open	—	02-18 14:21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$39	48	48	+0	open	—	01-11 08:46
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	4	$37	72	42	+30	open	—	01-27 08:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$35	0	38	-38	open	—	01-23 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	7	$21	24	24	+0	open	—	05-22 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	12	$21	67	26	+40	open	—	05-22 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	6	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	05-22 03:23
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	03-22 08:08
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	1	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	02-11 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	4	$10	52	52	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$10	12	10	+3	open	—	05-22 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 14:05
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$5	30	0	+30	open	—	02-10 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	3	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	05-22 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	05-22 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 18:51
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	07-19 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$2	19	0	+19	open	—	05-22 13:24
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	07-19 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-22 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-22 03:34
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	07-19 19:07
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	07-19 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-22 03:03
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-19 19:07
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners team home 4pt5	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-19 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:10:12	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners team home 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5170ac…
07-19 19:10:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe51c68…
07-19 19:09:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcb35d7…
07-19 19:08:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0f032d…
07-19 19:07:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xba8ea6…
07-19 19:07:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa4b419…
07-19 19:07:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe15e54…
07-19 19:07:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2ec19a…
05-22 19:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xe7d363…
05-22 19:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x01f7fe…
05-22 13:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0b87d8…
05-22 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xbffc93…
05-22 13:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa36a4c…
05-22 13:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$3	0xfad0c1…
05-22 13:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x51b408…
05-22 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x674a2c…
05-22 13:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdc07d7…
05-22 05:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x0e4b29…
05-22 05:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x647bf3…
05-22 05:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x1bc98c…
05-22 05:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x11978d…
05-22 05:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xdffec3…
05-22 05:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x94ae48…
05-22 05:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x04871e…
05-22 05:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x4f5cab…
05-22 05:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xbeea75…
05-22 05:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x8b83b2…
05-22 05:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x006f6a…
05-22 05:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xd46d30…
05-22 04:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xbc2a4b…
05-22 04:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x96887e…
05-22 04:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x09667f…
05-22 04:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x700253…
05-22 04:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x166c34…
05-22 04:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0701ab…
05-22 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xba851c…
05-22 03:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x14b1db…
05-22 03:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x985b76…
05-22 03:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xb0e96d…
05-22 03:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x547e7c…
05-22 03:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x634a10…
05-22 03:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x4bed5d…
05-22 03:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5b2e03…
05-22 03:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2219db…
05-22 03:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2de2c9…
05-22 02:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x5e60f4…
05-22 02:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xcb6bea…
05-22 02:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb210d0…
05-22 02:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8a12b4…
05-22 02:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x200d6c…
05-22 02:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4969b8…
05-22 02:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf8a97e…
05-22 02:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9f1e71…
05-22 02:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x853ca9…
05-22 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x62b16f…
05-22 02:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7325b8…
05-13 14:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe900e1…
05-13 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1d844f…
05-13 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x264cf4…
05-13 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x06f623…
05-13 13:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7a2197…
05-13 13:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbadd5b…
05-13 13:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa234a4…
05-13 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x25d876…
05-13 13:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfe478a…
05-10 18:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa46d0c…
05-10 18:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x51709e…
03-22 08:08:25	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x42aa1e…
02-18 14:21:50	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	70¢	$34	0xea607f…
02-11 04:15:01	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xb7fa73…
02-10 14:41:07	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xf2fc36…
02-01 02:35:06	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0x7532fb…
01-29 21:15:18	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xb674fd…
01-27 08:59:07	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x35d583…
01-27 08:47:01	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xddfb36…
01-26 19:24:35	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	42	37¢	$15	0x590b1b…
01-23 22:56:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	38	94¢	$35	0x06710b…
01-23 11:43:58	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	42	31¢	$13	0x27e7d2…
01-23 11:43:38	spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x186f3f…
01-11 08:46:24	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	49¢	$24	0xc56b99…
01-05 14:05:57	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xf37599…