Roasted-Announcement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$631

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-22 19:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$1

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	4	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-12 02:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-13 14:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 23:34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	05-22 19:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	1	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	05-06 21:07
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 14?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 20:25
btc updown 15m 1775249100	7	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-03 20:58
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	7	$8	1,832	0	+1,832	open	—	04-30 23:38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$7	100	90	+10	open	—	04-24 05:02
btc updown 5m 1776390600	3	$5	6	4	+2	open	—	04-17 01:54
btc updown 15m 1776394800	4	$5	12	11	+1	open	—	04-17 03:13
btc updown 5m 1774905000	3	$3	6	2	+4	open	—	03-30 21:12
btc updown 15m 1775953800	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-12 00:40
btc updown 5m 1776652200	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-20 02:34
btc updown 15m 1775331000	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776303300	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 01:37
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$1	94	0	+94	open	—	03-30 21:27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-21 19:34
btc updown 5m 1776390900	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	04-17 01:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$1	62	0	+62	open	—	04-21 19:34
btc updown 5m 1776492300	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-18 06:10
btc updown 5m 1775838000	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-10 16:20
btc updown 5m 1774905300	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	03-30 21:19
btc updown 5m 1774905600	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-30 21:21
btc updown 5m 1776653100	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	04-20 02:47
btc updown 15m 1775250000	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-03 21:09
btc updown 15m 1775954700	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-12 00:45
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-30 21:26
btc updown 5m 1776392700	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-17 02:26
btc updown 5m 1776491100	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 19:49:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x746c46…
05-14 20:25:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0e4de…
05-13 14:27:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x141a25…
05-13 13:33:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x241a5c…
05-12 02:43:38	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7bd08c…
05-12 02:42:11	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xa5360d…
05-12 01:49:36	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xa47679…
05-12 01:41:12	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x42ff47…
05-06 21:07:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x8b23d2…
05-06 21:07:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x8b289d…
04-30 23:38:08	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe83142…
04-30 22:24:12	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfa8080…
04-30 20:52:24	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x656098…
04-30 17:19:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x02f868…
04-30 17:05:54	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1b0796…
04-30 15:33:46	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x7ee77c…
04-28 02:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0a94fa…
04-27 22:24:22	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xce7011…
04-25 23:34:22	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb31760…
04-24 05:02:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xe5d1a8…
04-24 04:06:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x71fd6c…
04-24 00:53:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	7¢	$4	0x1e9736…
04-24 00:23:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x9402f8…
04-22 16:06:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x30c378…
04-21 19:34:30	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb2cc29…
04-21 19:34:00	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x303a4f…
04-20 02:47:22	btc updown 5m 1776653100	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2fb8dd…
04-20 02:34:48	btc updown 5m 1776652200	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x20e50b…
04-18 06:10:00	btc updown 5m 1776492300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc03a18…
04-18 05:49:36	btc updown 5m 1776491100	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3468a7…
04-17 03:13:18	btc updown 15m 1776394800	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x0657ae…
04-17 03:11:38	btc updown 15m 1776394800	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd5f6ab…
04-17 03:10:38	btc updown 15m 1776394800	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xe8b3fb…
04-17 03:07:20	btc updown 15m 1776394800	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x83ed7c…
04-17 02:26:42	btc updown 5m 1776392700	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4d55dd…
04-17 01:57:00	btc updown 5m 1776390900	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf000c1…
04-17 01:54:50	btc updown 5m 1776390600	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1a4263…
04-17 01:52:30	btc updown 5m 1776390600	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x9dcc17…
04-17 01:51:24	btc updown 5m 1776390600	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4abe36…
04-16 01:37:10	btc updown 5m 1776303300	Up	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x1f35a4…
04-16 01:36:36	btc updown 5m 1776303300	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3cb405…
04-12 00:45:19	btc updown 15m 1775954700	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x63b367…
04-12 00:40:19	btc updown 15m 1775953800	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xa4d48c…
04-12 00:34:05	btc updown 15m 1775953800	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x43974b…
04-10 16:34:09	btc updown 5m 1775838600	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5b2bc8…
04-10 16:20:25	btc updown 5m 1775838000	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe7e432…
04-09 18:39:33	btc updown 5m 1775759700	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0409bb…
04-09 18:33:27	btc updown 5m 1775759400	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x67d924…
04-09 18:29:01	btc updown 5m 1775759100	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfddfbd…
04-09 18:22:33	btc updown 5m 1775758800	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc74ce4…
04-04 19:40:01	btc updown 15m 1775331000	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xee6e4a…
04-04 19:40:01	btc updown 15m 1775331000	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x5fbf2f…
04-03 21:09:45	btc updown 15m 1775250000	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9321c4…
04-03 20:58:51	btc updown 15m 1775249100	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbe94b5…
04-03 20:58:25	btc updown 15m 1775249100	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x209814…
04-03 20:57:19	btc updown 15m 1775249100	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x60777c…
04-03 20:55:59	btc updown 15m 1775249100	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x312871…
04-03 20:55:23	btc updown 15m 1775249100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0de4f2…
04-03 20:47:23	btc updown 15m 1775249100	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x640e71…
04-03 20:46:11	btc updown 15m 1775249100	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc5d019…
03-30 21:27:25	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x815d2d…
03-30 21:26:17	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76f4f8…
03-30 21:21:51	btc updown 5m 1774905600	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x08597d…
03-30 21:19:37	btc updown 5m 1774905300	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8767dd…
03-30 21:12:55	btc updown 5m 1774905000	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa23f03…
03-30 21:11:29	btc updown 5m 1774905000	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x798485…
03-30 21:10:25	btc updown 5m 1774905000	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x231e66…