Ill-Lending — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$59

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-06 08:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 47% $-9

Sports

19% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	3	$8	7	4	+3	Thunder	$-0	05-06 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$5	25	0	+25	Up	$-5	05-06 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$4	6	2	+3	Down	$-2	05-06 03:49
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$3	10	1	+9	Thunder	$-1	05-06 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	05-06 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-06 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-06 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-06 08:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-06 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-06 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-06 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-06 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-06 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 08:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x1fe93e…
05-06 08:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x525f08…
05-06 08:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x428377…
05-06 08:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaf0e82…
05-06 08:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe4dd66…
05-06 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf2ace0…
05-06 07:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbe551f…
05-06 07:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd3213b…
05-06 07:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xf662c6…
05-06 07:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x441b40…
05-06 07:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x371556…
05-06 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0e6f58…
05-06 07:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x022fb3…
05-06 07:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8f4fc3…
05-06 07:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6fdb7a…
05-06 07:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0x896b10…
05-06 07:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd29933…
05-06 07:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9a5136…
05-06 07:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd989d2…
05-06 07:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xd58935…
05-06 07:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x283961…
05-06 06:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb1241b…
05-06 06:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xced9dd…
05-06 06:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xdfe8e0…
05-06 06:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd6da41…
05-06 06:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x615902…
05-06 05:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x82dd0c…
05-06 05:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x836aac…
05-06 04:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9226bc…
05-06 04:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x560360…
05-06 04:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x999835…
05-06 03:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5f3dad…
05-06 03:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xd21c91…
05-06 03:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6acc52…
05-06 03:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x06c9b6…
05-06 03:08:52	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8b4b80…
05-06 03:08:40	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf74f69…
05-06 03:04:30	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x1ccde1…
05-06 03:03:04	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Lakers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x309f12…
05-06 02:07:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8b357e…
05-06 02:00:48	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x84468e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	20	$44.0K	959	05-06 08:15
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	20	$8.50K	1,154	05-06 08:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	20	$7.96K	962	05-06 08:14
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	19	$33.1K	1,478	05-06 08:15
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	19	$19.5K	285	05-06 08:14
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	19	$19.3K	2,763	05-06 08:14
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	19	$14.3K	907	05-06 08:13
(anonymous) 0x3375…a69c	19	$11.4K	1,714	05-06 08:15