Unrealistic-Outback — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$477

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-30 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% 100% +$1

Sports

33% — —

Politics

21% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	8	$5.2K	4,152	4,151	+1	open	—	03-17 11:25
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	11	$4.8K	2,599	2,597	+2	open	—	03-17 11:39
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	5	$2.6K	1,377	1,377	+0	open	—	03-17 03:45
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	3	$2.5K	1,289	1,288	+1	open	—	03-17 05:33
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$2.5K	1,266	1,266	+0	open	—	03-16 14:58
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$2.4K	1,263	1,263	+0	No	$-3	03-16 11:01
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	5	$2.4K	1,262	1,261	+1	open	—	03-17 08:42
spl fat hil 2026 03 14 spread away 2pt5	2	$278	604	0	+604	open	—	03-14 15:41
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	2	$249	1,375	1,375	+0	open	—	03-17 09:32
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	4	$26	572	572	+0	open	—	03-17 06:34
spl fat hil 2026 03 14 fat	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	03-14 16:02
Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)	1	$16	17	0	+17	Hamburger SV	+$1	05-10 06:18
chi1 cuc edv 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	03-14 16:19
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-30 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 07:26:07	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0b627c…
05-10 06:18:02	Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)	Hamburger SV	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x655a94…
03-17 11:39:15	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	389	92¢	$359	0xadf648…
03-17 11:39:15	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	994	92¢	$916	0x9a501b…
03-17 11:33:33	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xf3bf5f…
03-17 11:33:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	459	91¢	$419	0x5cc129…
03-17 11:33:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	298	91¢	$272	0x32f2ce…
03-17 11:33:27	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	625	91¢	$570	0x31a4aa…
03-17 11:25:11	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	Yes	SELL	652	6¢	$42	0x774de6…
03-17 11:25:11	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	Yes	SELL	886	6¢	$57	0x73d1b4…
03-17 11:17:31	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	669	5¢	$33	0x8e8dba…
03-17 11:17:31	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	870	5¢	$44	0x856feb…
03-17 11:07:07	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	1,333	96¢	$1,277	0x421b1b…
03-17 11:00:43	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	1,333	96¢	$1,276	0xc61998…
03-17 10:53:17	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	1,280	96¢	$1,224	0x752fea…
03-17 10:45:53	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	1,280	96¢	$1,226	0x3a7a4f…
03-17 09:32:57	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	SELL	1,375	9¢	$120	0xa18905…
03-17 09:25:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	BUY	1,375	9¢	$129	0x474efe…
03-17 08:42:09	Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	85	96¢	$81	0xe4ece8…
03-17 08:42:09	Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,005	96¢	$961	0x4c56a9…
03-17 08:42:09	Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	171	96¢	$163	0x402d65…
03-17 08:35:55	Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	900	94¢	$849	0xf95998…
03-17 08:35:55	Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	362	94¢	$341	0xdf708e…
03-17 06:34:47	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xee6ed4…
03-17 06:34:47	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0xb6e1c5…
03-17 06:34:47	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	435	2¢	$10	0x7ab0c2…
03-17 06:27:53	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	572	2¢	$14	0x48a432…
03-17 05:33:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	SELL	1,288	96¢	$1,238	0xf097d1…
03-17 05:24:25	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	273	96¢	$262	0xfe64fc…
03-17 05:24:25	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	1,016	96¢	$976	0x45f1b3…
03-17 04:10:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	796	94¢	$752	0xf44a88…
03-17 04:10:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	SELL	418	94¢	$395	0x173eb4…
03-17 04:01:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	1,127	95¢	$1,068	0x5277a4…
03-17 04:01:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x483f9a…
03-17 04:01:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x120d9d…
03-17 03:45:27	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	No	SELL	691	93¢	$642	0x45b7d7…
03-17 03:45:25	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	No	SELL	105	93¢	$98	0x09d874…
03-17 03:45:23	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	No	SELL	581	93¢	$540	0xc4f4f4…
03-17 03:34:59	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	No	BUY	883	93¢	$821	0xf95f1d…
03-17 03:34:59	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1200 1239	No	BUY	494	93¢	$459	0x8672ad…
03-16 14:58:31	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	1,266	97¢	$1,225	0x054d82…
03-16 14:51:17	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	1,266	97¢	$1,225	0x8a6fbe…
03-16 11:01:11	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1,263	95¢	$1,200	0x4b2591…
03-16 10:53:17	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	1,263	95¢	$1,202	0x585be2…
03-14 16:19:25	chi1 cuc edv 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x424610…
03-14 16:02:29	spl fat hil 2026 03 14 fat	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0xc93ec0…
03-14 15:41:57	spl fat hil 2026 03 14 spread away 2pt5	Al Fateh Saudi Club	BUY	201	62¢	$125	0x1510fb…
03-14 14:45:39	spl fat hil 2026 03 14 spread away 2pt5	Al Hilal Saudi Club	BUY	403	38¢	$153	0x782c9a…