Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$175

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-19

last 10-25 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

41% 64% -$14

Crypto

41% 74% -$181

Politics

16% 67% +$11

Sports

2% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	16	$3.4K	2,160	2,160	+0	No	+$213	09-16 18:08
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	9	$851	2,599	1,809	+790	No	-$53	09-24 10:27
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$814	431	431	+0	Yes	+$38	09-21 06:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$743	708	708	+0	open	—	10-25 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$635	581	581	+0	Down	+$8	09-22 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 10:00 UTC	6	$616	689	689	+0	Down	-$167	09-23 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$556	282	282	+0	Up	+$3	09-22 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$540	414	414	+0	Up	+$31	09-22 20:30
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$447	315	315	+0	Yes	+$26	09-21 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$361	217	217	+0	Down	+$61	09-23 10:25
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?	2	$347	455	455	+0	No	-$253	09-18 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	4	$339	345	345	+0	Up	+$39	09-22 21:12
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?	5	$337	179	179	+0	Yes	+$17	09-18 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$250	252	0	+252	Down	+$3	09-23 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$245	123	123	+0	Down	+$1	10-16 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	8	$234	137	137	+0	Down	+$4	09-22 19:45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$222	116	116	+0	Yes	+$9	07-19 22:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	2	$200	213	0	+213	No	+$13	08-24 17:50
Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	4	$167	113	113	+0	Yes	+$31	10-02 20:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	7	$154	151	151	+0	Down	+$4	09-30 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$134	85	85	+0	Down	+$34	09-22 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	6	$124	101	101	+0	Up	+$4	09-23 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$123	171	171	+0	Down	-$77	09-23 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 09:45 UTC	2	$112	64	64	+0	Up	+$5	09-29 09:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	3	$111	142	52	+91	Down	-$9	09-29 15:14
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	1	$109	279	0	+279	Yes	-$109	08-22 17:57
Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?	2	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$3	09-28 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$103	54	54	+0	Down	+$3	09-23 20:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:30 UTC	2	$102	53	52	+1	Down	+$3	09-23 09:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$100	132	0	+132	Yes	+$32	07-24 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 07:57:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	308	95¢	$292	0x654408…
10-25 07:57:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0x989c63…
10-16 08:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xc13e42…
10-16 08:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x5c417a…
10-16 08:03:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	150	13¢	$20	0x034f70…
10-03 17:22:42	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xe558fb…
10-02 20:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x725f38…
10-02 20:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x04585b…
10-02 20:46:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x33fbc6…
10-02 20:39:53	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb2eed1…
10-02 20:37:23	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6e851e…
10-02 20:36:48	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	102	86¢	$88	0x63a4fc…
10-02 20:26:50	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0x900963…
10-02 20:25:32	Will France vs. Italy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	102	57¢	$58	0xb9e462…
10-02 20:03:44	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xd1dd45…
10-02 07:30:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x564ad2…
09-30 16:59:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x186a5c…
09-30 16:57:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa7af4e…
09-30 16:56:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	109	49¢	$53	0x4b95de…
09-30 16:55:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xce5c7d…
09-30 16:53:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0x647069…
09-30 16:49:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8fa9ed…
09-30 16:45:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7c3c5b…
09-29 15:14:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb86e1d…
09-29 15:14:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x6ee1db…
09-29 15:10:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x4a0bd9…
09-29 15:08:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x55066f…
09-29 09:48:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	64	92¢	$59	0x157726…
09-29 09:47:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	64	84¢	$54	0x3873a0…
09-28 20:43:48	Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x80298b…
09-28 20:43:44	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x054aec…
09-28 20:41:08	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x610257…
09-28 20:40:20	Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw?	No	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x91a64d…
09-28 20:30:02	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	43	27¢	$11	0xf858da…
09-28 20:29:14	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 France?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x191212…
09-28 19:12:24	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xb14203…
09-25 13:38:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0xc32644…
09-25 13:36:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x583fe5…
09-25 13:33:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbdbc6b…
09-25 10:53:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	19	62¢	$11	0x615192…
09-25 10:48:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6dc7c4…
09-24 19:57:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x2619d8…
09-24 19:53:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x22c10c…
09-24 10:27:39	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	1,296	0¢	$2	0x70ce9b…
09-23 20:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x7ae178…
09-23 20:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x64d0bf…
09-23 11:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	171	14¢	$23	0x4903d3…
09-23 11:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x71b346…
09-23 11:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0xba5433…
09-23 10:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x642617…
09-23 10:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xc9041b…
09-23 10:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x241659…
09-23 10:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xdc0319…
09-23 10:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x348ebd…
09-23 10:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	45	34¢	$15	0xc648ae…
09-23 10:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x225d05…
09-23 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcbb04e…
09-23 10:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	217	97¢	$211	0x714302…
09-23 10:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0x427736…
09-23 10:14:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	334	14¢	$48	0xbb15d3…
09-23 10:12:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	310	49¢	$153	0x838216…
09-23 10:11:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	310	55¢	$171	0xcb9d27…
09-23 10:09:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	334	60¢	$200	0x720351…
09-23 10:07:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	44	53¢	$24	0xb5dd6a…
09-23 10:01:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xba9ee8…
09-23 09:52:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xe586b1…
09-23 09:46:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x186dc0…
09-23 09:41:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x3e251e…
09-22 21:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xcdf776…
09-22 21:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x2c206e…
09-22 21:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x397b4a…
09-22 21:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x913440…
09-22 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	145	78¢	$113	0x66a08f…
09-22 21:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x4d2f8c…
09-22 20:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	581	55¢	$321	0xbffdc3…
09-22 20:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	417	51¢	$214	0xb18d63…
09-22 20:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xfa2ce3…
09-22 20:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	226	100¢	$225	0xe9e75d…
09-22 20:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0xb2a017…
09-22 20:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	188	32¢	$60	0x03fceb…
09-22 20:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x285eaf…
09-22 20:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x663b1a…
09-22 20:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	81	60¢	$48	0x1b2371…
09-22 20:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xa8f49d…
09-22 19:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	24	81¢	$20	0xc50a96…
09-22 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x0fbff2…
09-22 19:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xfb7ccd…
09-22 19:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x7cbdb2…
09-22 19:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4f9efa…
09-22 19:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdb9484…
09-22 19:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf53719…
09-22 19:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5d1f6e…
09-22 19:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x28f6db…
09-22 19:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6e633d…
09-22 19:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	282	99¢	$280	0x2dcf39…
09-22 19:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	282	98¢	$277	0x28ce26…
09-22 09:42:27	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	2,086	3¢	$60	0x978e96…
09-21 11:55:32	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x716023…
09-21 11:54:27	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	236	88¢	$207	0xd10331…
09-21 11:26:09	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	237	85¢	$200	0x1b670f…