Creative-Interferometer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

232

lifetime

Volume

$5.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-17 05:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Politics

44% 0% $-2

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-2

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+500	$17	2¢	$11	$-7	06-01 13:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$972	500	500	+0	open	—	04-08 02:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$590	300	300	+0	open	—	04-08 08:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$589	300	300	+0	open	—	04-14 08:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$522	300	300	+0	open	—	04-14 08:53
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	4	$213	225	225	+0	open	—	03-25 17:23
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	04-03 23:53
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$170	200	200	+0	Yes	$-2	04-27 06:05
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	7	$166	449	449	+0	open	—	05-16 06:22
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$146	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 01:10
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	3	$131	200	200	+0	open	—	03-28 02:01
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	12	$97	101	101	+0	open	—	07-17 05:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$93	829	829	+0	open	—	05-13 07:53
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	4	$73	40	40	+0	open	—	07-10 05:22
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	5	$70	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 12:12
will ewy reach 190 by july 13 2026	4	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	07-13 09:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	07-17 05:36
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	05-13 06:37
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$57	100	105	-5	open	—	03-19 19:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$48	1,180	80	+1,100	open	—	06-01 17:27
will rklb dip to 76 by july 13 2026	4	$43	40	40	+0	open	—	07-13 09:10
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	2	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 13:40
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 13:33
iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	6	$40	42	42	+0	open	—	07-15 12:23
will david beckham attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357119	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	07-17 04:41
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	2	$37	100	100	+0	open	—	05-16 07:28
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$36	300	300	+0	open	—	06-05 16:49
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	03-19 18:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	05-22 13:46
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?	2	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	06-01 11:54
will hood dip to 107 50 by july 13 2026	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	07-13 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 05:36:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x3b206e…
07-17 05:17:31	will lebron james attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357130	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xe1242d…
07-17 05:16:55	will lebron james attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357130	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xdbb13d…
07-17 05:16:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xd815a0…
07-17 05:16:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	16	77¢	$13	0xa6d66a…
07-17 05:11:39	will elon musk attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357128	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xca795c…
07-17 05:10:36	will the announcers say ronaldo during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956905	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xf52316…
07-17 05:10:00	will the announcers say ronaldo during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956905	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x52f3d0…
07-17 05:09:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x0d1773…
07-17 04:54:33	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956893	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x5f8c79…
07-17 04:50:09	will elon musk attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357128	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x060daa…
07-17 04:41:28	will david beckham attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357119	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x44cf01…
07-17 04:40:13	will david beckham attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357119	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x36a168…
07-17 04:38:45	will the announcers say vertical or verticality during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956893	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x01af55…
07-17 04:25:42	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xe417b3…
07-17 04:24:13	will the announcers say legacy during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956890	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4f6514…
07-15 12:23:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xdf4a86…
07-15 12:22:49	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f745f…
07-15 12:22:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa7cbc3…
07-15 12:20:29	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x8de898…
07-15 12:19:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x662564…
07-15 12:19:19	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd0cfc3…
07-15 12:06:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x8722d5…
07-15 12:05:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xa0628b…
07-15 12:05:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x5fc9a5…
07-15 12:05:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	No	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x203c8f…
07-15 12:05:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xaabfc7…
07-15 12:05:16	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x529647…
07-15 12:05:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc317b7…
07-15 12:04:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xea316b…
07-15 12:03:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd66fc3…
07-15 12:02:38	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9bdbf7…
07-15 11:57:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xd1b7a5…
07-15 11:56:10	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x82bb83…
07-15 11:35:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x19b103…
07-15 11:33:04	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xbd2904…
07-15 11:23:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xad6c22…
07-15 11:23:29	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x57cba6…
07-15 11:14:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x87f483…
07-15 11:13:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb0f645…
07-15 11:13:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xb0f645…
07-15 11:11:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xcdd9e0…
07-15 11:10:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x329af0…
07-15 11:10:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x4eba38…
07-15 11:03:32	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x809e61…
07-15 11:01:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 16 20260708212322941	No	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x162b86…
07-13 09:22:56	will meta dip to 660 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x655233…
07-13 09:20:50	will meta dip to 660 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xbdbee1…
07-13 09:17:34	will meta reach 670 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xfa1556…
07-13 09:15:28	will meta reach 670 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x039502…
07-13 09:10:08	will rklb dip to 76 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x3b4c56…
07-13 09:06:59	will rklb dip to 76 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd4e140…
07-13 09:03:08	will hood dip to 107 50 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xb32ed8…
07-13 09:02:52	will hood dip to 107 50 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x9cbf42…
07-13 09:02:13	will ewy reach 190 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x4f2c96…
07-13 09:00:35	will ewy reach 190 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x6894fa…
07-13 08:49:04	will rklb dip to 76 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xaa08b9…
07-13 08:47:23	will rklb dip to 76 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3dedc2…
07-13 08:44:19	will ewy reach 190 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x07624b…
07-13 08:44:01	will ewy reach 190 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5ae647…
07-13 08:33:08	will ewy reach 185 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x5c376e…
07-13 08:32:47	will ewy reach 185 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x089652…
07-13 08:29:07	will amzn dip to 240 by july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x6c9d73…
07-13 08:28:47	will amzn dip to 240 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x36e070…
07-10 05:30:35	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x39b1cd…
07-10 05:27:47	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x4c7dff…
07-10 05:22:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xabf69a…
07-10 05:21:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xedc59a…
07-10 05:06:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf63026…
07-10 05:06:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x98d8a0…
07-10 05:05:05	will the announcers say ronaldo during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901515	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x0ff840…
07-10 03:44:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xeb03d4…
07-10 03:16:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x905139…
07-10 03:15:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x618897…
07-10 02:51:38	will the announcers say pressure 7 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901496	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x546d7b…
07-10 02:50:28	will the announcers say ronaldo during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901515	No	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xa47786…
07-10 02:49:47	will the announcers say ronaldo during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901515	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x41991c…
07-10 02:49:25	will the announcers say ronaldo during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901515	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5f4b0f…
07-10 02:46:17	will the announcers say pressure 7 times during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901496	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x06103a…
07-10 02:45:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x429687…
07-10 02:41:35	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x347ffd…
07-10 02:38:32	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x22659f…
07-10 02:37:17	will the announcers say trump during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543754	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb52f39…
07-10 02:37:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0cf854…
07-10 02:30:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x618526…
07-10 02:29:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x09b09e…
07-10 02:27:37	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x9d123a…
07-10 02:26:37	will the announcers say var during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901503	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb189be…
07-10 02:25:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x5b9c83…
07-10 02:17:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x32d65a…
06-17 05:31:41	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xa2d652…
06-17 05:30:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x1f08f6…
06-16 12:21:37	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x28a75d…
06-16 12:20:01	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 19 20260615191216217	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x96ccfe…
06-16 12:12:42	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	51	35¢	$18	0x5860e2…
06-16 12:12:33	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x5a1262…
06-16 12:12:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	49	35¢	$17	0x995616…
06-16 12:11:46	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0xd3060a…
06-16 12:08:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x816cd7…
06-16 12:08:18	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x4abdb6…