Serpentine-Piccolo-Objection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$125

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-08 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 44% $-11

Other

27% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-13 18:10
Will Vance say "China" during Bangor visit?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 17:33
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	5	$6	5	3	+2	Up	$-0	05-14 04:14
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	$-5	05-13 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	open	—	05-17 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 17:35
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$4	13	13	+0	open	—	05-13 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	$-0	05-13 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$4	10	2	+7	open	—	05-16 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Up	$-1	05-13 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 23:13
Will Vance say "Taxpayer" during Bangor visit?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 17:40
btc updown 5m 1780952400	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 14:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$2	12	0	+12	Down	$-1	05-14 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-16 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-13 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-13 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-13 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-13 13:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$1	22	0	+22	Down	$-1	05-13 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	+$2	05-13 13:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:55:46	btc updown 5m 1780955700	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf14286…
06-08 21:05:24	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x944b37…
06-08 21:02:22	btc updown 5m 1780952400	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x32d587…
05-17 23:27:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5f701b…
05-17 23:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x493a2e…
05-17 23:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x352d97…
05-17 23:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x3f6ab9…
05-17 23:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb8310…
05-17 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x25fc52…
05-17 00:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xbe4fe3…
05-17 00:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6038bb…
05-16 23:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xd43dbf…
05-16 23:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x150377…
05-16 23:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e2a25…
05-16 23:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xfa4adc…
05-16 23:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe7d949…
05-16 23:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6c7f38…
05-16 23:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xa68227…
05-16 23:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcc371b…
05-16 06:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0fed1d…
05-16 05:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd92729…
05-16 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x243e1a…
05-16 05:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x85037c…
05-16 05:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd6e073…
05-16 05:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x244560…
05-16 05:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf29f88…
05-16 04:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb54aec…
05-14 17:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x882360…
05-14 17:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x84e0bf…
05-14 17:33:54	Will Vance say "China" during Bangor visit?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0614bf…
05-14 17:24:41	Will Vance say "Taxpayer" during Bangor visit?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x69ee6e…
05-14 04:21:40	Will Vance say "China" during Bangor visit?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x73e8b8…
05-14 04:19:55	Will Vance say "Taxpayer" during Bangor visit?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x04fca4…
05-14 04:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xc79c33…
05-14 04:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x319dab…
05-14 04:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xb28973…
05-14 04:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9893c5…
05-14 04:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf0dbc9…
05-14 04:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb9f61f…
05-14 03:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x74b258…
05-14 03:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x676d6a…
05-14 03:54:59	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x798d4f…
05-14 03:44:47	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf504f9…
05-13 23:59:54	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea93b2…
05-13 22:43:08	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6eea9f…
05-13 22:39:47	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xeb18ef…
05-13 18:53:57	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf8ee55…
05-13 18:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd7da3e…
05-13 18:10:08	Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x68fbdb…
05-13 17:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x97b728…
05-13 17:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x94532d…
05-13 17:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x481c2a…
05-13 17:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc28eb1…
05-13 17:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1a1d73…
05-13 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x84d559…
05-13 16:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x132433…
05-13 16:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x2ecf0b…
05-13 16:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2f169d…
05-13 16:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5ed68d…
05-13 16:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf0c7ef…
05-13 16:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3adab9…
05-13 16:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0ad322…
05-13 16:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf22408…
05-13 15:54:04	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x38fd75…
05-13 15:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x372e66…
05-13 14:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x259158…
05-13 14:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x3ca34f…
05-13 14:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x396bf5…
05-13 14:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb09141…
05-13 14:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x151229…
05-13 13:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x34518f…
05-13 13:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3cb003…
05-13 13:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x021784…
05-13 13:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd8bf3f…
05-13 13:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c865d…
05-13 13:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x5d40e3…
05-13 13:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x94e795…
05-13 13:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9c1bff…
05-13 13:11:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	14¢	$2	0x1d4c5b…
05-13 12:07:02	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x8fd661…
05-13 12:03:06	Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1afc14…
05-13 05:10:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xa28f2a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	44	$4.57K	494	06-08 21:59
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	43	$24.9K	4,642	06-08 21:59
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	43	$8.02K	1,564	06-08 21:59
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	43	$5.36K	2,407	06-08 21:59
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	43	$4.87K	318	06-08 21:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	41	$21.1K	1,579	05-17 23:28
(anonymous) 0x8176…709a	41	$1.69K	313	05-17 23:28
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	41	$1.55K	288	06-08 21:59