Bustling-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

137

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-29 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

45% — —

Other

43% 0% $-1

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	12	$2.7K	1,356	1,356	+0	open	—	04-07 18:02
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.3K	633	633	+0	open	—	04-05 04:05
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$927	465	465	+0	open	—	04-05 23:40
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	4	$926	464	464	+0	open	—	03-24 09:42
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$919	461	461	+0	open	—	04-01 18:08
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$900	450	450	+0	open	—	03-06 06:25
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$886	445	445	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$854	428	428	+0	open	—	04-08 17:15
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$838	419	419	+0	open	—	03-05 08:22
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	4	$830	417	417	+0	open	—	04-07 22:42
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$798	399	399	+0	open	—	03-02 06:57
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$698	349	349	+0	open	—	02-21 18:53
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$662	331	331	+0	open	—	03-01 15:02
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$530	266	266	+0	open	—	03-28 20:39
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$528	264	264	+0	open	—	03-12 01:04
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$523	263	263	+0	open	—	04-04 22:10
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$498	249	249	+0	open	—	02-11 23:56
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$486	243	243	+0	open	—	02-25 01:07
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$476	238	238	+0	open	—	04-18 17:10
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$468	234	234	+0	No	$-0	03-29 13:15
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	03-24 22:21
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$458	229	229	+0	open	—	03-04 18:25
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$450	226	226	+0	open	—	02-15 22:23
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$444	223	223	+0	open	—	04-03 09:21
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$444	222	222	+0	open	—	04-12 07:31
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$442	221	221	+0	open	—	04-12 21:11
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	03-29 17:01
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	03-22 02:20
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	3	$435	218	218	+0	open	—	03-07 14:04
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$430	215	215	+0	open	—	03-27 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 06:55:18	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf2aa06…
04-18 17:10:08	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	238	100¢	$238	0x23ee85…
04-18 15:06:10	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0xba75d5…
04-16 21:36:36	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0x8dea34…
04-16 14:55:10	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x4b0400…
04-15 23:11:24	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xfa5fa1…
04-15 21:26:46	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0xa2f5b5…
04-15 16:09:22	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xf96ff3…
04-15 06:48:16	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x53c82a…
04-15 02:06:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x4a45ad…
04-14 17:07:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0xfb6e2b…
04-12 21:11:25	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0x8d4e22…
04-12 18:07:51	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0x389ff7…
04-12 07:31:39	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0xc709c5…
04-12 00:54:39	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x8399b1…
04-08 17:15:51	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0xa0f3fd…
04-08 13:08:21	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x76bc52…
04-07 22:42:25	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$190	0x31a0dd…
04-07 18:02:43	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x497bf0…
04-07 18:02:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0x8179b5…
04-07 14:37:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x27f3b3…
04-07 14:36:45	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$225	0xdaa37f…
04-07 10:21:39	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$225	0x706b83…
04-06 11:15:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x2106ba…
04-06 07:33:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xf9f7ab…
04-06 04:47:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0xc00738…
04-06 01:22:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0x2460be…
04-05 23:40:57	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xfa0ea2…
04-05 18:28:05	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x5908da…
04-05 13:38:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x8c4f2f…
04-05 10:16:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x076770…
04-05 04:05:55	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x4ac3a6…
04-05 00:47:57	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0xd06bd0…
04-04 22:10:31	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$261	0x47aea1…
04-04 15:15:25	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0xe79b5a…
04-04 06:17:13	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0x3f0ec2…
04-04 03:08:05	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xb6c9aa…
04-03 09:21:41	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	223	100¢	$222	0x3f03fb…
04-03 02:55:11	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x7d664d…
04-02 14:53:19	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0x7e5068…
04-02 11:20:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0xb84008…
04-01 18:08:33	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0x06b116…
04-01 14:17:35	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0xdac4e0…
04-01 01:53:59	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0xb381fa…
03-31 22:02:17	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x1721c1…
03-31 08:25:57	will silver si hit low 50 by end of march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x957b1d…
03-30 15:29:35	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x63936a…
03-30 12:01:54	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0x28cb4a…
03-30 08:17:02	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0x00536e…
03-29 17:01:40	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x78227f…
03-29 13:16:14	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xa754c0…
03-29 13:15:56	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0x68fd19…
03-29 09:31:12	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xd023cb…
03-29 05:44:24	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	209	100¢	$209	0x6baeca…
03-28 20:39:20	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	209	100¢	$209	0xcc7dc4…
03-28 20:39:04	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0x868182…
03-28 12:31:01	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0xc9e4a5…
03-28 01:27:57	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x634a3b…
03-27 19:18:25	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0x629960…
03-27 19:18:03	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0xab5fc4…
03-27 12:30:03	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x3095e5…
03-26 05:30:17	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0x9172f5…
03-25 23:15:45	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xc888cb…
03-25 16:50:15	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	270	100¢	$268	0x216037…
03-25 10:42:03	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0xfd586e…
03-24 22:21:03	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0x9293da…
03-24 16:01:27	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x81c0ec…
03-24 09:42:37	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x7bc312…
03-24 03:31:01	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0xcb59e6…
03-23 21:22:47	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0x9f2542…
03-23 15:11:51	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x90c78e…
03-23 09:01:03	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0xe1ed24…
03-23 02:53:25	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xcb18a5…
03-23 02:53:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x21fa36…
03-22 20:43:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$195	0x59d16b…
03-22 02:20:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x4cc5e7…
03-21 19:57:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x988765…
03-19 00:49:33	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x08ee95…
03-18 17:10:33	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xa26578…
03-12 15:51:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0x36442a…
03-12 07:36:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	275	100¢	$275	0xe06af3…
03-12 01:04:23	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	264	100¢	$264	0x997649…
03-11 16:02:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0xa1b9bc…
03-07 14:04:51	nba uta mil 2026 03 07	Bucks	BUY	45	79¢	$35	0x83e832…
03-07 14:04:21	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Magic	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x67eee0…
03-07 14:04:01	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	218	100¢	$217	0x1defc9…
03-07 13:45:31	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xc943d2…
03-07 13:44:07	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf81ae2…
03-06 06:25:53	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$251	0x95938a…
03-05 23:09:59	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x0e8481…
03-05 08:22:57	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x74e262…
03-05 01:46:05	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x74f7a7…
03-04 18:25:37	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0xdda360…
03-04 11:16:57	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x514685…
03-03 23:32:49	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Suns	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x397d05…
03-03 23:32:21	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xe8ef9d…
03-03 23:31:53	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x9cc483…
03-03 13:20:35	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xa05019…
03-03 13:20:05	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	38	22¢	$8	0x889ea2…
03-03 13:19:45	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x412059…