Ultimate-Headlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$141

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-25 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 57% +$0

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$10	304	4	+300	open	—	05-19 19:09
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-24 05:18
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 21:22
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-21 14:39
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-19 19:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	05-21 13:57
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 02:24
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-21 14:52
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-22 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-20 01:11
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 05:24
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 14:49
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-19 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 21:12
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 19:24
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 14:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 14:01
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-22 22:53
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 13:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x816ef6…
05-25 13:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x470d4d…
05-24 05:24:33	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x3962fa…
05-24 05:20:16	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xbc969f…
05-24 05:18:29	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x70181c…
05-24 05:17:24	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x781920…
05-24 05:16:54	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x4bbe38…
05-24 05:15:13	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8d9eb5…
05-24 05:14:20	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x04cc4d…
05-24 05:13:24	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x35be0f…
05-22 22:53:44	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x19831f…
05-22 22:52:13	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x57cfe2…
05-22 21:37:27	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x39a62e…
05-22 21:33:49	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x0a0b9d…
05-22 21:33:03	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5935c1…
05-22 21:28:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x12018e…
05-22 21:27:55	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdddbfe…
05-22 21:27:50	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbe18e7…
05-22 21:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x7b7890…
05-22 21:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3f92b7…
05-22 21:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xff83c7…
05-22 21:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf96819…
05-22 21:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x637b2a…
05-22 21:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x783e9f…
05-22 21:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xf90e75…
05-22 21:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa131ad…
05-22 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x7be3a6…
05-22 21:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb37270…
05-22 14:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x808e95…
05-22 14:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4253f6…
05-22 13:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x85c016…
05-22 13:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x77619a…
05-22 13:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x02bacf…
05-21 15:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x078f1d…
05-21 15:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2729d…
05-21 14:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xeeb1d8…
05-21 14:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd8f4d7…
05-21 14:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x15f1c8…
05-21 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa5e521…
05-21 14:52:29	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x4c34ca…
05-21 14:50:48	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe9d8fe…
05-21 14:50:39	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x2050b1…
05-21 14:50:15	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0eddb2…
05-21 14:49:13	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xab7b76…
05-21 14:47:25	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf28653…
05-21 14:45:43	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1bf2bd…
05-21 14:40:44	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x034beb…
05-21 14:39:01	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbbbfae…
05-21 14:38:49	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8ea46e…
05-21 14:38:21	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xe48bcd…
05-21 14:35:13	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x775286…
05-21 14:33:21	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x28b2d1…
05-21 14:30:16	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8f22b9…
05-21 14:27:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x13ad52…
05-21 13:57:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xec5701…
05-21 13:56:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcc79c7…
05-21 13:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x11b07a…
05-21 13:55:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf80968…
05-21 13:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x58f353…
05-21 13:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7ee07…
05-20 01:20:48	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xcb293d…
05-20 01:20:30	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x5369ba…
05-20 01:20:18	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x670977…
05-20 01:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xce7c82…
05-20 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x1477fd…
05-20 01:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3de223…
05-19 19:59:37	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xa658dd…
05-19 19:55:58	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0a37f5…
05-19 19:26:25	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x21ebf9…
05-19 19:25:20	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd44cff…
05-19 19:24:07	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5a187d…
05-19 19:22:13	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6086be…
05-19 19:16:53	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xf92668…
05-19 19:15:52	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x307025…
05-19 19:13:23	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x862c67…
05-19 19:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbdfa4c…
05-19 19:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xca7ba8…
05-19 19:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc1083b…
05-19 19:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe6ac33…
05-19 19:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xce840a…
05-19 19:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7d98fd…
05-19 19:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x950a2b…
05-15 20:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0x0e0515…
05-15 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x80735a…
05-15 20:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xb51785…
05-15 20:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa492dc…
05-07 02:24:10	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xadd288…
05-07 02:23:07	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x1279e2…
05-07 02:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xe84b8b…
05-07 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6b78e6…
05-06 16:38:32	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x73de1c…
05-06 16:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2a9938…
05-06 16:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x91457e…
05-06 16:29:19	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x0c09bf…
05-06 16:25:51	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0b5dc8…
05-06 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x39dd82…
05-06 16:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x030395…
05-06 16:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xccb52c…