Troubled-Worm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$441

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-17 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 100% +$12

Politics

7% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	06-17 15:43
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	3	$1.1K	550	550	+0	open	—	05-31 12:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	1	$1.0K	1,046	0	+1,046	open	—	05-17 23:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$1	05-12 01:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	05-11 01:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	1	$993	995	0	+995	Yes	+$2	05-05 17:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	2	$990	997	0	+997	No	+$7	05-08 14:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-13 14:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	10	$979	987	0	+987	open	—	05-02 21:39
bitcoin above 76k on march 13	1	$879	886	0	+886	open	—	03-13 08:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$878	879	0	+879	open	—	03-12 08:37
bitcoin above 74k on march 10	1	$844	857	0	+857	open	—	03-10 07:57
bitcoin above 72k on march 11	2	$837	857	0	+857	open	—	03-11 10:37
bitcoin above 64k on march 8	1	$812	824	0	+824	open	—	03-08 12:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	1	$811	812	0	+812	open	—	03-06 05:55
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 5	1	$808	811	0	+811	open	—	03-05 04:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 4	1	$805	808	0	+808	open	—	03-04 09:22
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	1	$804	805	0	+805	open	—	03-02 04:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 21	1	$790	791	0	+791	open	—	02-21 06:17
bitcoin above 62k on february 16	1	$789	790	0	+790	open	—	02-16 07:51
bitcoin above 74k on february 13	1	$788	789	0	+789	open	—	02-13 07:35
ethereum above 2300 on february 12	1	$787	788	0	+788	open	—	02-12 03:37
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$786	787	0	+787	open	—	02-02 06:20
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$785	786	0	+786	open	—	01-30 01:18
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$780	785	0	+785	open	—	01-29 07:54
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$764	787	0	+787	open	—	04-26 00:23
ethereum above 1700 on february 11	1	$713	713	0	+713	open	—	02-11 03:34
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	1	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	01-28 04:10
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	1	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	01-26 14:21
bitcoin above 66k on march 9	2	$600	619	0	+619	open	—	03-09 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:43:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,130	100¢	$1,127	0x1c8174…
05-31 12:52:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	561	98¢	$552	0x18631e…
05-31 12:52:23	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	550	100¢	$549	0x1826ef…
05-30 20:27:45	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xcb8c07…
05-29 03:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0x958156…
05-25 01:17:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x60c61f…
05-25 01:16:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0x5a58cf…
05-23 22:09:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	504	100¢	$502	0x99d4b7…
05-23 00:08:01	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xd96443…
05-22 23:02:16	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	429	99¢	$427	0xe9c2db…
05-19 00:55:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	470	97¢	$455	0x46cea0…
05-19 00:46:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9eabb8…
05-19 00:45:03	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x2232ac…
05-17 23:21:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	1,046	100¢	$1,044	0xfe2bba…
05-13 14:50:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0xd762cd…
05-12 01:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x969a25…
05-11 01:36:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x743fba…
05-08 14:26:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	991	99¢	$984	0xf93cce…
05-08 14:22:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7a3d1f…
05-05 17:42:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	995	100¢	$993	0x0cac91…
05-02 21:39:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xe0368e…
05-02 21:39:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xc6926a…
05-02 21:38:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$160	0x302097…
05-02 17:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0xfc31ed…
05-02 17:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xd96f26…
05-02 17:03:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	147	99¢	$145	0x32710f…
05-02 17:03:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x324dbc…
05-02 17:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x72a65f…
05-02 17:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x1eebac…
05-02 17:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xb58f26…
04-26 00:23:46	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	587	97¢	$570	0x43caa9…
04-26 00:23:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x979470…
04-21 22:57:50	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	569	100¢	$569	0x88c320…
04-14 18:04:24	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x23a3f0…
04-14 17:57:16	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x412eab…
04-14 17:54:20	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x9441ca…
04-11 19:32:59	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	560	96¢	$535	0x6daa86…
04-11 19:25:47	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x3638c8…
04-09 16:48:05	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	510	99¢	$502	0x82a93c…
04-07 14:08:31	ethereum above 2000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	530	96¢	$511	0xe9250b…
04-03 13:01:39	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	513	100¢	$513	0x8e339c…
03-31 10:33:09	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	513	96¢	$492	0x893af8…
03-29 08:28:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 29	No	BUY	492	99¢	$489	0x84aa4d…
03-27 13:37:35	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	489	98¢	$480	0xe5d524…
03-26 07:17:57	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x825659…
03-25 09:41:25	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	Yes	BUY	506	100¢	$505	0x27da11…
03-23 20:52:11	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 23	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x2b96e9…
03-23 11:32:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	305	99¢	$302	0xe4d839…
03-21 20:32:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 22	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x014834…
03-20 06:49:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$301	0x3d3944…
03-18 19:42:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 19	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x4311d2…
03-17 23:59:55	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0xffe0c9…
03-17 10:29:19	bitcoin above 70k on march 17	Yes	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0x0f8494…
03-16 06:53:51	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x838368…
03-16 05:45:35	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xa0873b…
03-16 05:43:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 16	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x67a78d…
03-16 05:43:41	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xde18ad…
03-13 08:50:39	bitcoin above 76k on march 13	No	BUY	886	99¢	$879	0xcc38da…
03-12 08:37:03	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	879	100¢	$878	0x777220…
03-11 10:37:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 11	No	BUY	494	98¢	$482	0x8f8e32…
03-11 10:37:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 11	No	BUY	364	98¢	$355	0x485ca8…
03-10 07:57:15	bitcoin above 74k on march 10	No	BUY	857	98¢	$844	0xd6f1da…
03-09 13:14:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 9	Yes	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0xb0e04e…
03-09 13:14:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 9	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x00f088…
03-09 13:14:09	bitcoin above 66k on march 9	Yes	BUY	516	97¢	$500	0x8b8e91…
03-08 12:28:55	bitcoin above 64k on march 8	Yes	BUY	824	99¢	$812	0x118147…
03-06 05:55:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	No	BUY	812	100¢	$811	0x1a7a65…
03-05 04:37:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 5	No	BUY	811	100¢	$808	0x381be0…
03-04 09:22:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 4	No	BUY	808	100¢	$805	0x655b98…
03-02 04:54:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	No	BUY	805	100¢	$804	0x5b6575…
03-01 03:15:51	bitcoin above 62k on march 1	Yes	BUY	508	99¢	$502	0xead8a6…
03-01 03:15:23	bitcoin up or down on march 1	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x303b66…
02-28 07:14:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xef8d26…
02-28 07:14:41	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0xa32f04…
02-28 07:14:33	solana above 90 on february 28	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x37532c…
02-28 07:14:23	bitcoin above 70k on february 28	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x595a06…
02-21 06:17:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 21	No	BUY	791	100¢	$790	0xb7ee4a…
02-16 07:51:11	bitcoin above 62k on february 16	Yes	BUY	790	100¢	$789	0x6c62c0…
02-13 07:35:19	bitcoin above 74k on february 13	No	BUY	789	100¢	$788	0xd15f11…
02-12 03:37:05	ethereum above 2300 on february 12	No	BUY	788	100¢	$787	0xe69fc3…
02-11 03:34:23	ethereum above 1700 on february 11	Yes	BUY	713	100¢	$713	0x3e7547…
02-11 03:33:37	ethereum above 1600 on february 11	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x5ed394…
02-02 06:20:34	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	787	100¢	$786	0x898d39…
01-30 01:18:02	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	No	BUY	786	100¢	$785	0xf19926…
01-29 07:54:24	Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	785	99¢	$780	0xe93a6d…
01-28 04:10:13	bitcoin above 84k on january 28	Yes	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0xbc9e4e…
01-26 14:21:29	bitcoin above 84k on january 26	Yes	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0x53fcef…