Arid-Cria — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$341

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-24 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 26% +$40

Other

22% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$104	318	318	+0	open	—	05-07 13:23
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?	2	$68	38	38	+0	Up	+$8	05-05 20:01
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	05-05 17:44
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$19	32	32	+0	open	—	05-06 15:45
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	05-24 10:52
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	05-06 15:46
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$8	45	45	+0	open	—	05-06 15:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	2	$8	21	21	+0	open	—	05-06 15:46
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$6	229	0	+229	Up	$-6	05-06 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$6	24	4	+20	Up	+$2	05-09 15:14
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Down	$-4	05-06 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	3	$3	22	2	+20	open	—	05-01 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$3	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	$-3	05-06 15:19
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$3	34	0	+34	Down	+$31	05-05 17:39
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	$-3	05-05 17:27
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-05 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$3	129	0	+129	open	—	05-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$3	21	0	+21	Up	+$18	05-06 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$2	100	0	+100	Up	$-2	05-06 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$2	50	0	+50	Down	$-2	05-06 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$2	12	0	+12	Down	$-2	05-06 16:04
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Down	$-2	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$2	50	0	+50	Up	$-2	05-05 20:59
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$2	200	0	+200	Up	$-2	05-06 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$2	21	0	+21	Up	$-2	05-09 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-06 07:29
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$3	05-06 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$2	22	0	+22	Up	$-2	05-06 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	Up	$-2	05-06 15:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 12:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9aae2c…
05-24 10:52:54	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x7353f5…
05-24 10:51:09	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x949ef4…
05-22 22:37:59	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1c150a…
05-22 22:37:36	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x403c00…
05-22 22:29:07	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa138df…
05-22 22:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x614620…
05-09 16:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x008f0f…
05-09 15:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd4fdc7…
05-09 15:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x120eb6…
05-09 15:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x3cd280…
05-09 15:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xef878e…
05-09 15:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$4	0xc43dd5…
05-09 15:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcdde66…
05-09 15:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb230dc…
05-09 15:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb6e5dc…
05-09 14:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd8dc95…
05-07 13:23:55	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	267	14¢	$38	0xb2701f…
05-06 19:50:59	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	267	18¢	$48	0x96bebb…
05-06 19:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbe2fb0…
05-06 19:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9b38e…
05-06 16:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xec0a23…
05-06 16:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3e52f8…
05-06 15:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x002fcc…
05-06 15:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd5e700…
05-06 15:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3555fe…
05-06 15:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe1ce20…
05-06 15:46:25	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x184419…
05-06 15:46:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0x2a2351…
05-06 15:46:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x024713…
05-06 15:46:00	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	17¢	$9	0xe94ccf…
05-06 15:45:22	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	32	28¢	$9	0xd5a8f1…
05-06 15:44:54	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd5920e…
05-06 15:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe07168…
05-06 15:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x26d8a7…
05-06 13:55:02	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8a5aeb…
05-06 13:55:00	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9a68a4…
05-06 13:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x5fbe43…
05-06 13:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe319e4…
05-06 12:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x22b4e4…
05-06 10:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xb6174b…
05-06 08:13:00	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x701793…
05-06 08:09:36	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe9932f…
05-06 08:09:24	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xdbf48f…
05-06 07:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x5e3cfc…
05-06 07:28:52	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc4d339…
05-06 07:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4b4e8a…
05-05 20:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5b5af7…
05-05 20:28:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x900ae6…
05-05 20:08:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7d1db3…
05-05 20:01:20	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x48487e…
05-05 18:56:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x25af43…
05-05 18:53:24	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x66fa01…
05-05 17:44:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd21241…
05-05 17:39:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x600f90…
05-05 17:31:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x6e33ae…
05-05 17:27:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x3421fd…
05-05 17:24:02	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa8c59b…
05-04 20:02:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc11380…
05-04 18:49:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfd2803…
05-04 18:27:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1b7034…
05-03 15:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6cbc50…
05-01 16:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5e6fef…
05-01 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xde6227…
05-01 16:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xcba812…
05-01 16:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5d59ef…
05-01 16:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x03c79e…
05-01 16:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xad9a3e…
05-01 16:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x70b6cf…
05-01 16:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xec4ba0…
05-01 16:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd7fd0d…