Wild-Prelude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.3%

Resolved

Trades

930

lifetime

Volume

$2.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-22 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 52% $-2

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 150 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$80	2,127	0	+2,127	open	—	05-19 11:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$50	417	0	+417	open	—	05-19 11:21
btc updown 5m 1776844500	2	$7	4	5	-1	open	—	04-22 08:00
btc updown 5m 1776960300	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 16:09
btc updown 5m 1776869700	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-22 14:58
btc updown 5m 1776954600	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 14:34
btc updown 5m 1776952500	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 13:59
btc updown 5m 1776974400	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 20:04
btc updown 5m 1776963900	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 17:09
btc updown 5m 1777053300	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 17:59
btc updown 5m 1776958200	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 15:34
btc updown 5m 1776794100	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-21 17:59
btc updown 5m 1776977100	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 20:49
btc updown 5m 1777012200	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 06:34
btc updown 5m 1777058100	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 04:28
btc updown 5m 1776841500	3	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-22 07:09
btc updown 5m 1776972300	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 19:29
btc updown 5m 1777008000	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-03 11:14
btc updown 5m 1776937500	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	04-23 09:49
btc updown 5m 1777001400	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	04-24 03:34
btc updown 5m 1777044000	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	04-24 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-03 13:43
btc updown 5m 1776802200	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	04-21 20:14
btc updown 5m 1777010100	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	04-24 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-02 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-02 12:14
btc updown 5m 1776812400	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	04-21 23:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 07:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xf94b44…
05-22 02:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x20844a…
05-22 02:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2a29eb…
05-22 00:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xb5b1bc…
05-21 23:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x16b0b4…
05-21 20:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3863f2…
05-21 17:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0177af…
05-21 16:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb9b4a4…
05-21 16:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7ae666…
05-21 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x75d9d7…
05-21 14:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xe0e5ec…
05-21 13:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6948ae…
05-21 12:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa11097…
05-21 11:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6fb387…
05-21 10:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x7ddc65…
05-21 10:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9eb40f…
05-21 09:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xcb5e83…
05-21 07:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xc16629…
05-21 03:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xa9b6f4…
05-21 02:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3c7a30…
05-21 01:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x46b8bf…
05-20 23:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xfda8ab…
05-20 21:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xefda09…
05-20 21:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x25cd26…
05-20 19:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4a7fc0…
05-20 18:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xad9511…
05-20 18:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x585a2b…
05-20 18:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf08adf…
05-20 17:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x03c8a6…
05-20 16:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xef2c3a…
05-20 15:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x56b01b…
05-20 14:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5a67c2…
05-20 12:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8acf37…
05-20 10:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x56b469…
05-20 10:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x91e87e…
05-20 07:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x30bb83…
05-20 06:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfd9406…
05-20 06:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4b321e…
05-20 05:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6d8155…
05-20 05:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x97d2d9…
05-20 05:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa89f76…
05-20 05:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x40c42b…
05-20 04:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x874bd9…
05-20 02:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6ec9a6…
05-20 02:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0672d3…
05-20 01:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xf67b72…
05-19 23:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc295d8…
05-19 22:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x142bfc…
05-19 22:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd407e3…
05-19 22:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8cf239…
05-19 21:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8a32e9…
05-19 21:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1f0ca1…
05-19 21:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x6db181…
05-19 21:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf31356…
05-19 20:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe50b1b…
05-19 20:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd2783c…
05-19 20:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd9672e…
05-19 19:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb0dabc…
05-19 19:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa00974…
05-19 18:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd4e4ae…
05-19 17:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdef7e1…
05-19 17:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x622488…
05-19 17:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc8f526…
05-19 17:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x29b491…
05-19 17:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaaaa39…
05-19 17:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x41dc3a…
05-19 17:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xebccae…
05-19 16:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd4ec1a…
05-19 15:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb8df05…
05-19 15:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe776d5…
05-19 15:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x285d7f…
05-19 14:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x702ed0…
05-19 14:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xd9497f…
05-19 14:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1d10d1…
05-19 14:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0e0e09…
05-19 13:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x624a4a…
05-19 13:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x12f2d8…
05-19 13:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x256137…
05-19 12:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb93bc2…
05-19 11:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xacf8ec…
05-19 11:25:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,073	4¢	$41	0x265de5…
05-19 11:22:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,054	4¢	$39	0x574dad…
05-19 11:21:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xf0fa41…
05-06 04:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5627c3…
05-06 03:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x75baca…
05-06 00:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x48753a…
05-05 20:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6b84ce…
05-05 19:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xae8e82…
05-05 18:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x27eb5f…
05-05 17:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x80a651…
05-05 17:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x930655…
05-05 16:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x81c34a…
05-05 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcff97f…
05-05 15:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x809a66…
05-05 15:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2b6ac3…
05-05 14:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x0944f8…
05-05 14:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xf08911…
05-05 11:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb3b2db…
05-05 10:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd52988…
05-05 09:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x371ae7…