Exalted-Emergent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$276

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-14 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$79

Other

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.7K	857	857	+0	open	—	05-14 00:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	3	$1.6K	823	823	+0	No	+$71	05-11 01:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$1.4K	730	730	+0	No	+$8	05-08 03:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$1.3K	744	744	+0	open	—	04-28 02:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$890	469	469	+0	open	—	04-16 02:16
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$838	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	05-14 00:44
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$689	403	403	+0	open	—	04-22 18:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$420	270	270	+0	open	—	03-08 22:59
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$302	225	225	+0	open	—	04-05 20:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$253	163	163	+0	open	—	02-28 08:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	03-13 04:59
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	3	$99	56	56	+0	open	—	02-28 08:58
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	02-28 08:58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 00:44:04	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,061	79¢	$838	0xa21c8f…
05-14 00:42:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	857	99¢	$846	0x8222c7…
05-11 01:34:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	857	96¢	$819	0x92dd0a…
05-11 01:33:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	823	100¢	$819	0x68a30e…
05-08 03:39:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	778	91¢	$708	0xa751e2…
05-08 03:38:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	730	97¢	$708	0xa1dac6…
05-07 22:45:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xd8ec2f…
05-07 21:31:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	730	96¢	$700	0x2875dc…
04-28 02:52:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	744	100¢	$741	0xa4fe6d…
04-22 23:25:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	428	94¢	$403	0x379051…
04-22 18:02:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	403	100¢	$403	0x0c8f9e…
04-17 21:57:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	403	71¢	$286	0x448b23…
04-17 17:45:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x842d0a…
04-16 02:28:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x64bc6d…
04-16 02:16:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	469	98¢	$461	0x2980a7…
04-05 20:45:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4024cf…
04-02 00:06:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$193	0xd0c126…
04-02 00:05:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0xd60319…
03-21 21:49:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	147	67¢	$99	0xbe0c5b…
03-13 21:54:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	269	88¢	$237	0x36b880…
03-13 21:51:27	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x7a81a5…
03-13 04:59:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xc3715a…
03-09 21:14:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x57b295…
03-08 22:59:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0xf6a203…
03-05 00:13:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x80245b…
03-04 22:17:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x9c9382…
02-28 08:58:53	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xaef616…
02-28 08:58:45	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x732c43…
02-28 08:58:05	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xe3921a…
02-27 00:39:40	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	55¢	$90	0x67a1a9…
02-20 05:42:22	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x62f54d…
02-20 05:39:34	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x20602c…
02-12 10:13:07	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xdaac1f…
01-25 05:16:06	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x390e46…
01-14 03:37:22	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x0df1ba…