Specific-Icebreaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$382

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-07 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 54% $-16

Politics

14% — —

Sports

5% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 09:11
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	2	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	03-07 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$21	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	04-27 06:49
will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	2	$19	14,874	0	+14,874	open	—	03-07 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	05-05 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$13	32	32	+0	Up	$-7	05-05 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$12	21	0	+21	Down	$-12	05-05 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Down	$-10	05-05 09:36
btc updown 5m 1780812300	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	06-07 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	Down	$-10	05-05 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$9	17	0	+17	Up	+$8	05-05 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-05 10:08
will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	1	$8	150	0	+150	open	—	03-13 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 05:44
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$6	35	0	+35	open	—	03-27 09:15
nhl car las 2026 06 09	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-07 16:21
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	03-11 21:55
nhl wsh phi 2026 03 11	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-11 21:49
btc updown 5m 1780848000	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	06-07 16:02
btc updown 5m 1780818300	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-07 07:48
btc updown 5m 1780818000	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 07:44
btc updown 5m 1780847700	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-07 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 16:21:27	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7a9465…
06-07 16:02:06	btc updown 5m 1780848000	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0eca37…
06-07 15:59:43	btc updown 5m 1780847700	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0c4b93…
06-07 07:48:28	btc updown 5m 1780818300	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf29385…
06-07 07:44:40	btc updown 5m 1780818000	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbcde2a…
06-07 06:15:00	btc updown 5m 1780812600	Up	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x378cb7…
06-07 06:06:30	btc updown 5m 1780812300	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb510fe…
06-07 06:06:28	btc updown 5m 1780812300	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x41a17c…
05-07 15:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfe2b20…
05-05 15:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x246781…
05-05 15:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3b4c83…
05-05 10:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x41fc7a…
05-05 10:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x2ec391…
05-05 10:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x4a52ff…
05-05 10:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xd369cb…
05-05 09:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xecad23…
05-05 09:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc2919f…
05-05 09:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf6081d…
05-05 09:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4eb238…
05-05 09:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x6e6d7c…
05-05 09:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xc53726…
05-05 09:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	32	9¢	$3	0x982a39…
05-05 09:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xeeacbc…
05-05 09:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x933a5c…
05-05 09:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x16d3ff…
04-27 06:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0x31d2d7…
04-27 06:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0x415a69…
04-27 06:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x542971…
04-27 06:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xf81cb3…
04-27 06:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc1aca8…
04-27 05:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa6606d…
04-27 05:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x5cf9fe…
04-27 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8cde5b…
04-27 05:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x40aec2…
04-27 04:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x041d54…
04-27 04:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x1541d5…
04-27 02:02:02	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7b2231…
04-27 01:50:32	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x847a32…
03-27 09:15:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x956d30…
03-13 06:22:31	will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	No	BUY	150	5¢	$8	0x48c456…
03-11 21:55:05	nhl mon ott 2026 03 11	Canadiens	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xbba993…
03-11 21:49:41	nhl wsh phi 2026 03 11	Capitals	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x698c01…
03-07 06:18:47	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	4,874	0¢	$9	0xb522c5…
03-07 06:13:01	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xefcedd…
03-07 06:12:43	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x356e80…
03-03 20:02:01	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xd64fc2…