Cold-Stress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

249

lifetime

Volume

$4.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-31 06:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-12

Politics

19% — —

Crypto

18% — —

Tech

11% — —

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	10	$220	310	310	+0	open	—	03-16 02:07
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	14	$197	200	200	+0	open	—	06-20 00:10
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	6	$172	150	150	+0	Michael	$-12	04-28 07:53
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$162	94	94	+0	open	—	02-16 23:44
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	2	$160	500	500	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$0	05-10 03:00
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	02-12 13:13
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	10	$151	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 14:16
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$139	84	84	+0	open	—	02-06 13:40
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	2	$136	139	0	+139	open	—	02-20 20:48
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	10	$125	200	150	+50	open	—	04-26 21:59
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	6	$119	150	150	+0	open	—	06-28 23:07
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$117	130	130	+0	open	—	03-16 00:56
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	3	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	02-15 13:01
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 21:39
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	3	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 15:16
will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	4	$89	50	50	+0	open	—	07-18 05:35
will tabi launch a token by december 31 2027	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 02:14
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	07-16 08:25
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	4	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 03:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	04-25 14:12
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 21:21
us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	2	$80	76	76	+0	open	—	07-21 02:15
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	5	$75	51	51	+0	open	—	06-14 16:12
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	2	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	07-17 07:53
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	4	$72	50	100	-50	open	—	06-11 09:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$70	100	50	+50	open	—	06-18 00:38
will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	06-20 05:07
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	3	$68	70	70	+0	open	—	03-16 02:08
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	2	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 00:28
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	2	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	04-25 14:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 06:42:56	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xf08c3c…
07-21 02:15:49	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	76	53¢	$40	0x55e186…
07-21 02:15:42	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	76	53¢	$40	0x0185c6…
07-19 19:57:42	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x2b75ac…
07-19 06:51:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x95f494…
07-18 08:01:33	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x6c8d47…
07-18 05:35:57	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	SELL	35	89¢	$31	0x7c9db2…
07-18 05:14:22	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xa6df41…
07-18 05:08:13	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x96c9c9…
07-18 04:43:39	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xefbca3…
07-18 04:11:48	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xe8203a…
07-17 07:53:33	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xa4ccf5…
07-17 05:42:48	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x0fc3c7…
07-16 11:39:38	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x412add…
07-16 08:25:59	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x4ce5f9…
07-16 08:12:28	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0x0890c7…
07-16 08:12:04	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x63d204…
07-16 06:12:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x345642…
07-15 08:02:59	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x27f20f…
07-15 07:51:40	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x5bb123…
07-15 07:48:13	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xd6dfe5…
07-15 07:12:35	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x6fdb49…
07-15 07:12:34	will there be at least 3000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153974	No	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0x825921…
07-15 02:56:13	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x9b0112…
07-15 02:15:01	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x8bd9e0…
07-14 01:01:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x25b11e…
07-14 01:01:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x7e8975…
07-14 00:44:49	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	No	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x83034e…
07-14 00:44:43	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x04fc04…
07-14 00:44:37	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 manuel elvira	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x29a6b4…
07-14 00:44:29	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xc1f863…
07-14 00:44:23	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ben martin	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x8c98f9…
07-13 23:48:35	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 ben martin	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xebb841…
07-13 23:47:41	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x7b6487…
07-13 23:17:29	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 manuel elvira	Yes	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x3c49a3…
07-13 23:17:28	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 manuel elvira	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x72dbff…
07-13 23:12:05	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 rico hoey	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xf3030b…
07-13 23:09:28	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 stephan jaeger	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x874795…
06-28 23:07:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xa8191a…
06-28 21:44:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9a826e…
06-28 21:21:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x8f8c81…
06-28 19:56:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xc55b7d…
06-28 19:52:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0x191c03…
06-28 19:52:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x191c03…
06-28 19:46:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x100870…
06-28 18:45:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x500c70…
06-28 15:16:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	49	89¢	$44	0xb15a21…
06-28 15:16:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdc4831…
06-28 15:15:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xf26acb…
06-20 05:07:43	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x6f6a25…
06-20 04:48:29	will starmer say defense during the next pmq 20260610160650637 421 587	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xca1417…
06-20 00:10:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x41c7b3…
06-20 00:10:31	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xd1248d…
06-20 00:10:23	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x567600…
06-20 00:10:13	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xd04762…
06-19 16:33:23	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xef7db3…
06-19 16:33:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	28	45¢	$13	0x65ab2c…
06-19 16:24:52	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0x00db90…
06-19 16:24:50	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x74264a…
06-19 16:14:32	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x0c5410…
06-19 16:13:53	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xba8d2d…
06-18 00:38:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x753743…
06-17 23:13:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x82ae82…
06-16 05:58:10	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc27afb…
06-14 23:17:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x878927…
06-14 23:17:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6f4f91…
06-14 23:17:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6708c2…
06-14 23:17:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x1151d0…
06-14 23:17:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0439c1…
06-14 23:17:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd5f82f…
06-14 23:17:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xce6cf1…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xbd8588…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8ebfa7…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x4b7a6a…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x34177d…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x04317a…
06-14 23:17:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xaf6394…
06-14 23:17:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x566a63…
06-14 23:17:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x18b369…
06-14 23:13:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x65cbf4…
06-14 23:07:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xca81c7…
06-14 22:57:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xfe6ab0…
06-14 22:57:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x018f28…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf12cae…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8d380f…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7d23a5…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x47f6ef…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3472b1…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xcce56a…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xbb5344…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x97b217…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x505314…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x07d2a9…
06-14 21:16:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x331659…
06-14 20:43:28	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xf846c7…
06-14 18:05:36	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x212663…
06-14 18:01:31	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x404f93…
06-14 17:59:19	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe11732…
06-14 17:53:55	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x86e298…
06-14 17:53:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xae2095…