Cold-Stress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$3.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-18 00:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-12

Crypto

25% — —

Politics

18% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes		+50	$5	6¢	$3	$-2	06-16 05:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	10	$220	310	310	+0	open	—	03-16 02:07
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	13	$190	200	174	+26	open	—	06-14 18:01
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	6	$172	150	150	+0	Michael	$-12	04-28 07:53
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$162	94	94	+0	open	—	02-16 23:44
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	2	$160	500	500	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$0	05-10 03:00
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	02-12 13:13
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	10	$151	200	200	+0	open	—	04-26 14:16
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$139	84	84	+0	open	—	02-06 13:40
will gold gc hit high 6000 by end of february 957 635 788 121 773 745 586	2	$136	139	0	+139	open	—	02-20 20:48
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	10	$125	200	150	+50	open	—	04-26 21:59
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$117	130	130	+0	open	—	03-16 00:56
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	3	$107	55	55	+0	open	—	02-15 13:01
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 21:39
will tabi launch a token by december 31 2027	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-11 02:14
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?	4	$88	100	100	+0	open	—	04-26 03:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	04-25 14:12
us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	5	$75	51	51	+0	open	—	06-14 16:12
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	4	$72	50	100	-50	open	—	06-11 09:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	3	$70	100	50	+50	open	—	06-18 00:38
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 80 99	3	$68	70	70	+0	open	—	03-16 02:08
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	2	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 00:28
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	2	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	04-25 14:12
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	14	$58	231	231	+0	open	—	04-26 12:38
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-25 14:12
us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	2	$48	50	30	+20	open	—	06-14 20:43
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs RTT100 (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs	3	$36	158	158	+0	open	—	04-26 14:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	06-10 14:53
will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	3	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 12:06
Will Drake feature 2 Chainz on ICEMAN?	4	$35	40	40	+0	open	—	04-26 20:09
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	01-21 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 00:38:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x753743…
06-17 23:13:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x82ae82…
06-16 05:58:10	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc27afb…
06-14 23:17:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x878927…
06-14 23:17:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6f4f91…
06-14 23:17:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6708c2…
06-14 23:17:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x1151d0…
06-14 23:17:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0439c1…
06-14 23:17:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xd5f82f…
06-14 23:17:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xce6cf1…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xbd8588…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8ebfa7…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x4b7a6a…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x34177d…
06-14 23:17:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x04317a…
06-14 23:17:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xaf6394…
06-14 23:17:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x566a63…
06-14 23:17:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x18b369…
06-14 23:13:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x65cbf4…
06-14 23:07:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xca81c7…
06-14 22:57:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xfe6ab0…
06-14 22:57:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x018f28…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf12cae…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8d380f…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7d23a5…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x47f6ef…
06-14 22:57:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3472b1…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xcce56a…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xbb5344…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x97b217…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x505314…
06-14 22:57:09	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x07d2a9…
06-14 21:16:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x331659…
06-14 20:43:28	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0xf846c7…
06-14 18:05:36	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x212663…
06-14 18:01:31	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x404f93…
06-14 17:59:19	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe11732…
06-14 17:53:55	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x86e298…
06-14 17:53:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xae2095…
06-14 16:12:13	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xc121e8…
06-14 16:12:00	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	SELL	45	75¢	$34	0x7191f5…
06-14 14:33:25	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xc93b77…
06-14 12:06:13	will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xfb213b…
06-14 11:49:18	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x3c26b3…
06-14 11:48:27	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xf9ca63…
06-14 11:48:25	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0xba4a0a…
06-14 10:51:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x720085…
06-14 10:51:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x70e583…
06-14 10:47:09	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x60ad2a…
06-14 10:41:09	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x249cba…
06-14 10:33:58	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x78f6ec…
06-14 10:26:10	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xd7ace9…
06-14 10:23:58	will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	43	36¢	$16	0xcb0eb6…
06-14 08:32:40	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xa3aca4…
06-14 08:32:28	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x6d553f…
06-14 08:12:36	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xc66598…
06-14 07:00:58	will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x44b42d…
06-14 06:33:19	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xb4c700…
06-14 00:28:15	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x1219cb…
06-14 00:28:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xf324cb…
06-14 00:13:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xaff20f…
06-13 23:43:13	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0x983315…
06-13 23:43:10	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0xb0b675…
06-11 09:05:09	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0x5149b6…
06-11 02:14:40	will tabi launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x686ee1…
06-11 02:14:30	will tabi launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xd08fbe…
06-11 01:31:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x2c06c7…
06-11 01:31:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xba56cf…
06-11 00:42:34	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x78a9f9…
06-11 00:41:36	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0x0de2f2…
06-11 00:41:27	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0xe4ab69…
06-11 00:26:28	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x6df0d6…
06-10 15:51:54	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xe8cec5…
06-10 14:53:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x598142…
06-10 14:53:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x69a8ed…
05-10 03:00:10	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	DetonatioN FocusMe	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0xcbd782…
05-10 03:00:05	LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	DetonatioN FocusMe	BUY	500	16¢	$80	0xe77a99…
05-02 00:41:04	Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xb0bd5c…
05-02 00:41:02	Will Vitality make it to the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x3696c8…
04-30 12:31:28	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xc37592…
04-30 12:31:24	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xae8313…
04-30 11:32:42	Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0xffa67d…
04-30 00:40:28	Will Drake feature Tems on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc07dad…
04-28 07:53:34	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x689fd2…
04-28 07:52:42	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x1f58f5…
04-27 01:00:20	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xb00817…
04-27 00:56:08	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x22232b…
04-27 00:42:14	Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xbedb5c…
04-27 00:41:40	Will Drake feature DJ Khaled on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x9ab405…
04-27 00:32:56	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xdbc597…
04-26 21:59:36	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x23499c…
04-26 21:56:06	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0xa71920…
04-26 21:52:36	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x27d06d…
04-26 21:22:10	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xa6cdcb…
04-26 20:09:50	Will Drake feature Sampha on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x9525aa…
04-26 20:09:36	Will Drake feature 2 Chainz on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x7d7010…
04-26 20:07:38	Will Drake feature 2 Chainz on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xcc246c…
04-26 20:07:12	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x4e5ebc…
04-26 20:06:52	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xc90ddc…
04-26 19:59:34	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xfdfc26…