Hilarious-Bifocals-Subprime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.8%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$333

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 08-07 04:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 29% $-24

Politics

13% — —

Other

4% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1785691800	13	$28	47	30	+17	open	—	08-02 17:33
btc updown 5m 1786075500	12	$26	117	13	+104	open	—	08-07 04:08
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	10	$23	54	54	+0	open	—	08-07 04:04
btc updown 5m 1785604800	5	$20	43	43	+0	open	—	08-01 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	8	$19	38	38	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 07:20
btc updown 15m 1785604500	4	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	08-01 17:26
btc updown 5m 1777041300	7	$16	115	9	+106	open	—	04-24 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$15	69	5	+64	Down	$-5	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	3	$15	19	9	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 07:18
btc updown 5m 1786075200	6	$13	36	11	+25	open	—	08-07 04:04
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	6	$12	27	27	+0	open	—	08-05 11:10
btc updown 5m 1785604500	7	$12	291	0	+291	open	—	08-01 17:19
btc updown 15m 1785914100	5	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	08-05 07:15
btc updown 5m 1777041600	5	$8	14	6	+8	open	—	04-24 14:44
btc updown 5m 1785914100	3	$8	9	3	+6	open	—	08-05 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	4	$7	12	5	+7	open	—	05-14 07:26
btc updown 5m 1785691500	9	$6	246	0	+246	open	—	08-02 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$6	15	0	+15	Down	$-6	05-05 08:10
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	08-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	5	$5	18	0	+18	Down	$-5	05-11 15:36
btc updown 5m 1785913800	5	$5	67	0	+67	open	—	08-05 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	$-4	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-4	05-06 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-05 22:20
will marco rubio say nuclear during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534168	2	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	08-01 17:26
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	3	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	05-14 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-05 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-05 07:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 04:08:42	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x41a81a…
08-07 04:08:28	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf60a2d…
08-07 04:08:15	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xae0a62…
08-07 04:07:27	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xc694ec…
08-07 04:06:52	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xd10942…
08-07 04:06:40	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbc52f8…
08-07 04:06:31	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xf89e80…
08-07 04:06:31	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf89e80…
08-07 04:05:57	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9368c0…
08-07 04:05:49	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8ea667…
08-07 04:05:46	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x0beedb…
08-07 04:04:57	btc updown 5m 1786075200	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x419c47…
08-07 04:04:48	btc updown 5m 1786075200	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xcc7ae7…
08-07 04:04:40	btc updown 5m 1786075200	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb2b59c…
08-07 04:04:36	btc updown 5m 1786075200	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x89523b…
08-07 04:04:25	btc updown 5m 1786075200	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x23ed1a…
08-07 04:04:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x780e78…
08-07 04:03:43	btc updown 5m 1786075200	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf2c9b9…
08-07 04:03:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x6db962…
08-07 04:02:43	btc updown 5m 1786075500	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xef3175…
08-07 02:48:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0xae30ab…
08-07 02:47:43	btc updown 5m 1786070700	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4adcff…
08-05 11:10:51	btc updown 5m 1785928200	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x010783…
08-05 11:10:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x0c4b6e…
08-05 07:19:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7ebbda…
08-05 07:18:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0407ae…
08-05 07:18:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x98dda2…
08-05 07:18:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x22aec2…
08-05 07:18:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xd1333e…
08-05 07:16:54	btc updown 5m 1785914100	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x1f3e8c…
08-05 07:16:38	btc updown 5m 1785914100	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xd299bf…
08-05 07:16:00	btc updown 5m 1785914100	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x053e6d…
08-05 07:15:45	btc updown 15m 1785914100	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xa5bdff…
08-05 07:15:14	btc updown 15m 1785914100	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x559042…
08-05 07:14:44	btc updown 5m 1785913800	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe1ae1a…
08-05 07:14:02	btc updown 5m 1785913800	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x225831…
08-05 07:13:38	btc updown 5m 1785913800	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xdd45fe…
08-05 07:12:59	btc updown 5m 1785913800	Up	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xe78bc3…
08-05 07:12:24	btc updown 5m 1785913800	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x30769a…
08-05 07:11:42	btc updown 15m 1785914100	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xbc77e9…
08-05 07:11:18	btc updown 15m 1785914100	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xebed1f…
08-05 07:11:18	btc updown 15m 1785914100	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaedf91…
08-05 07:10:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x03eb7a…
08-05 06:55:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0xd1bd42…
08-05 06:55:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x425e58…
08-04 01:49:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6bf656…
08-04 01:49:41	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcb1e12…
08-02 17:33:35	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x47860f…
08-02 17:33:15	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x49fa69…
08-02 17:33:00	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xd28623…
08-02 17:32:48	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x11d6aa…
08-02 17:32:33	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xcb73ce…
08-02 17:32:20	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x7c6932…
08-02 17:32:20	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x203680…
08-02 17:32:18	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Up	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xd0ccea…
08-02 17:31:50	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x8241ec…
08-02 17:31:44	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7c92ae…
08-02 17:31:39	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3e5bf0…
08-02 17:31:32	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xea48b7…
08-02 17:30:17	btc updown 5m 1785691800	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe35db7…
08-02 17:29:24	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x58f28b…
08-02 17:29:14	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfdeb38…
08-02 17:27:39	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1a6bbe…
08-02 17:27:09	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xbdb3b3…
08-02 17:26:48	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x7b9765…
08-02 17:26:48	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x086711…
08-02 17:26:47	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x71467a…
08-02 17:26:47	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5fb5eb…
08-02 17:26:12	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd4238d…
08-02 17:26:08	btc updown 5m 1785691500	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x7cad1d…
08-02 15:45:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xf6477b…
08-02 15:44:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7f9253…
08-02 15:15:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x0483e7…
08-02 15:15:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6cc6b3…
08-02 15:14:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xea8501…
08-01 17:27:15	will marco rubio say ceasefire during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534175	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x6562f8…
08-01 17:26:56	will marco rubio say venezuela or maduro during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534170	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x9c4cf7…
08-01 17:26:42	will marco rubio say nuclear during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534168	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x81450d…
08-01 17:26:27	btc updown 15m 1785604500	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x35ea19…
08-01 17:26:18	will marco rubio say nuclear during fox news my view appearance 20260731183534168	No	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe87754…
08-01 17:25:27	btc updown 15m 1785604500	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x166298…
08-01 17:24:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x673b7c…
08-01 17:23:44	btc updown 15m 1785605400	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2c6de5…
08-01 17:23:35	btc updown 15m 1785604500	Up	SELL	13	28¢	$4	0xe9eeef…
08-01 17:23:26	btc updown 15m 1785604500	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x062a29…
08-01 17:22:36	btc updown 5m 1785604800	Down	SELL	43	22¢	$10	0xa0d4b4…
08-01 17:22:00	btc updown 5m 1785604800	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x9fc065…
08-01 17:20:48	btc updown 5m 1785604800	Down	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x15c265…
08-01 17:20:38	btc updown 5m 1785604800	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x3573aa…
08-01 17:20:32	btc updown 5m 1785604800	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x863f59…
08-01 17:19:56	btc updown 5m 1785604500	Up	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x231ba0…
08-01 17:19:29	btc updown 5m 1785604500	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xccd4a3…
08-01 17:19:11	btc updown 5m 1785604500	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0ae415…
08-01 17:19:00	btc updown 5m 1785604500	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x423f45…
08-01 17:18:39	btc updown 5m 1785604500	Up	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x987576…
08-01 17:18:08	btc updown 5m 1785604500	Up	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x24c319…
08-01 17:17:51	btc updown 5m 1785604500	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2f615c…
05-23 04:20:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x9adef5…
05-14 07:48:37	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc6dbdf…
05-14 07:27:09	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0046d3…