Next-Hedge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$161

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-03 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 50% +$6

Politics

24% — —

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+13	$3	22¢	$3	$-0	06-03 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	01-07 15:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$9	24	24	+0	open	—	04-10 16:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$8	163	0	+163	open	—	03-04 14:24
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	01-08 09:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	03-04 00:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	03-05 07:23
epl ars liv 2026 01 08 ars	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	01-08 09:43
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	01-09 16:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	03-01 16:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	01-07 15:40
chi ton ron 2026 03 21 spread away 1pt5	2	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	03-20 15:30
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	05-15 06:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	04-01 13:08
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	1	$3	8	0	+8	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	+$4	05-08 17:35
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$3	94	0	+94	open	—	03-18 07:54
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-19 06:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	03-17 14:00
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-29 06:39
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	04-17 00:36
chi ron hai 2026 03 15 spread home 2pt5	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	03-15 11:18
efl ars mnc 2026 03 22 ars win	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	03-22 10:08
chi bgu ron 2026 04 12 ron	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-10 16:28
chi bgu ron 2026 04 12 draw	2	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-12 13:12
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	06-03 15:01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$2	15	15	+0	open	—	04-22 07:35
chi ron yun 2026 04 21 draw	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-19 08:31
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 06:32
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 draw	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	03-14 17:18
chi wsz ron 2026 04 17 spread away 2pt5	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 00:39
epl che mac 2026 04 12 che	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-12 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 15:01:12	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xa8da09…
05-29 06:39:48	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x06d6da…
05-23 07:53:57	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x30b6e4…
05-19 06:11:27	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3bf235…
05-19 06:11:13	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x309f81…
05-15 06:32:23	Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xfdf15c…
05-15 06:32:07	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x394adf…
05-08 17:35:57	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x64fd3e…
05-08 17:35:36	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x7a72fc…
05-04 15:28:10	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3d4024…
05-04 15:27:30	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdb2e74…
04-25 17:32:58	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb5197a…
04-25 06:47:52	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa62db4…
04-25 06:47:32	Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe7f99b…
04-22 07:35:54	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x41270b…
04-19 08:31:54	chi ron yun 2026 04 21 draw	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8691ef…
04-18 09:04:36	epl tot bri 2026 04 18 tot	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa91cdd…
04-18 09:03:48	epl che mun 2026 04 18 mun	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa3a1b4…
04-17 00:44:24	chi ygb hen 2026 04 18 draw	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa529a7…
04-17 00:44:14	chi zhe bgu 2026 04 17 draw	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x07b57d…
04-17 00:40:40	chi wsz ron 2026 04 17 spread away 1pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xeba1c4…
04-17 00:39:36	chi wsz ron 2026 04 17 spread away 2pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x808272…
04-17 00:36:10	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x6ae766…
04-12 13:50:23	epl che mac 2026 04 12 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf11ff6…
04-12 13:49:53	epl che mac 2026 04 12 che	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x14d4d5…
04-12 13:12:23	chi bgu ron 2026 04 12 draw	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x432988…
04-12 12:35:07	chi jin hai 2026 04 12 hai	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4f42a6…
04-12 09:57:23	chi bgu ron 2026 04 12 draw	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x68de87…
04-10 16:57:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x473f85…
04-10 16:29:27	chi bgu ron 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x94f616…
04-10 16:28:55	chi bgu ron 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5c72a0…
04-10 16:28:31	chi bgu ron 2026 04 12 ron	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xe80758…
04-03 15:39:15	chi shp yun 2026 04 04 yun	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb3c1c3…
04-01 13:14:35	chi ron qin 2026 04 03 draw	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd69e0f…
04-01 13:14:17	chi ron qin 2026 04 03 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9d05f0…
04-01 13:09:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x82a6a5…
04-01 13:08:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x8d67db…
03-22 10:11:31	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb0546b…
03-22 10:10:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x673f2f…
03-22 10:08:49	efl ars mnc 2026 03 22 ars win	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xfea478…
03-20 15:40:45	chi yun sha 2026 03 21 draw	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9de63a…
03-20 15:40:27	chi yun sha 2026 03 21 yun	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8fe94d…
03-20 15:37:29	chi bgu sgr 2026 03 21 sgr	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2419fe…
03-20 15:30:31	chi ton ron 2026 03 21 spread away 1pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xfadeb5…
03-20 15:20:49	chi ton ron 2026 03 21 spread away 2pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbfc2c9…
03-19 17:05:21	chi ton ron 2026 03 21 spread away 1pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x50e3c3…
03-19 17:04:59	chi ton ron 2026 03 21 spread away 2pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd363df…
03-18 07:54:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0x5b656a…
03-18 05:43:33	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 spread home 2pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf476ea…
03-18 05:37:41	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0f0dc7…
03-18 05:35:07	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 draw	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa96026…
03-17 14:00:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd27a56…
03-17 06:55:23	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xff8f34…
03-17 06:53:03	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 spread home 2pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1a7775…
03-17 06:42:51	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6cdb08…
03-17 06:41:55	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf96a54…
03-15 13:52:13	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 draw	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe69879…
03-15 11:18:31	chi ron hai 2026 03 15 spread home 2pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd4b92e…
03-14 18:53:33	chi ron hai 2026 03 15 draw	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5f9016…
03-14 18:52:49	chi hen yun 2026 03 15 draw	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa38624…
03-14 18:52:33	chi hen yun 2026 03 15 yun	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaf4416…
03-14 17:29:19	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 spread home 2pt5	Arsenal FC	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc3a6f7…
03-14 17:18:41	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 eve	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3fba7f…
03-14 17:18:19	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x95d937…
03-05 07:23:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x7731b2…
03-04 14:24:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x3e941b…
03-04 00:22:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x123832…
03-01 18:18:55	epl ars che 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc7f75d…
03-01 16:57:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xac0a73…
03-01 16:51:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xdabb5f…
01-09 16:37:02	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb2696d…
01-08 09:46:57	will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd21504…
01-08 09:43:51	epl ars liv 2026 01 08 ars	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x89da08…
01-07 15:40:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc4fbb0…
01-07 15:35:07	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x050643…