Realized P&L
-$122
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
42.2%
Resolved
35
Trades
24,860
lifetime
Volume
$156.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$230
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
67% 14% $-104
Politics
17% 60% +$44
Sports
8%
Tech
4%
Crypto
3% 38% $-62
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +40 $8 87¢ $35 +$27 07-02 18:31
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -59 $-22 52¢ $-31 $-9 06-25 01:10
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +100 $32 26¢ $26 $-6 07-10 05:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +243 $18 $22 +$4 07-07 07:11
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No -25 $-9 66¢ $-16 $-7 06-03 15:27
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? Yes +125 $14 11¢ $14 +$0 06-25 06:56
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes -67 $-14 18¢ $-12 +$2 07-22 07:56
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -317 $-47 $-11 +$36 06-07 00:52
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +167 $15 $11 $-4 06-25 10:40
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes -82 $-13 12¢ $-9 +$4 06-25 10:00
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -104 $-2 $-5 $-3 07-05 14:57
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -30 $-5 16¢ $-5 +$0 06-22 08:34
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 $-3 28¢ $-4 $-1 06-07 14:07
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -65 $-8 $-3 +$4 06-23 19:13
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $3 30¢ $3 $-0 06-04 07:23
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes +21 $4 15¢ $3 $-1 06-07 23:16
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No -15 $-2 20¢ $-3 $-1 06-25 20:22
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B? Yes -22 $-4 13¢ $-3 +$1 07-08 21:53
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +4 $2 74¢ $3 +$1 06-04 21:30
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes -6 $-3 34¢ $-2 +$1 06-08 05:17
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? Yes -67 $-4 $-2 +$2 06-08 16:24
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? Yes -18 $-2 $-2 +$0 07-09 09:04
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes -17 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-22 07:57
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 16¢ $1 +$1 06-26 11:47
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-08 11:37
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026? No -6 $-0 16¢ $-1 $-0 07-08 16:50
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-23 17:10
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 07-07 10:00
Epic Games IPO before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-07 18:19
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Yes +10 $2 $0 $-2 07-22 06:44