Realized P&L
-$122
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
42.2%
Resolved
35
Trades
24,642
lifetime
Volume
$155.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$179
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
67% 14% $-104
Politics
17% 60% +$44
Sports
9%
Tech
4%
Crypto
3% 38% $-62
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +78 $24 28¢ $21 $-3 07-02 21:52
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No -25 $-9 80¢ $-20 $-11 06-03 15:27
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -166 $-23 11¢ $-17 +$6 06-07 16:08
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -59 $-22 26¢ $-15 +$7 06-25 01:10
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -317 $-47 $-14 +$33 06-07 00:52
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +167 $15 $14 $-1 06-25 10:40
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? Yes +125 $14 11¢ $13 $-1 06-25 06:56
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes -82 $-13 16¢ $-13 +$0 06-25 10:00
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +40 $8 21¢ $8 +$0 07-02 18:31
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -65 $-8 10¢ $-7 +$1 06-23 19:13
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -30 $-5 18¢ $-5 $-1 06-22 08:34
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $3 30¢ $3 $-0 06-04 07:23
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes +21 $4 13¢ $3 $-1 06-07 23:16
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +4 $2 72¢ $3 +$1 06-04 21:30
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? No -15 $-2 17¢ $-3 $-0 06-25 20:22
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -5 $-3 50¢ $-2 +$0 06-23 08:37
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -76 $-3 $-2 +$0 07-02 22:44
Haiti elections delayed again? No +8 $3 30¢ $2 $-0 06-25 14:30
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 $-3 17¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 14:07
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -10 $-3 23¢ $-2 +$0 06-23 17:10
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? Yes -67 $-4 $-2 +$1 06-08 16:24
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes -6 $-3 34¢ $-2 +$1 06-08 05:17
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-08 11:37
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes -17 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-22 07:57
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 06-26 11:47