Realized P&L
-$122
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
42.2%
Resolved
35
Trades
24,566
lifetime
Volume
$154.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$251
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 17:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
67% 14% $-104
Politics
17% 60% +$44
Sports
9%
Tech
4%
Crypto
3% 38% $-62
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 758 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -317 $-47 16¢ $-51 $-4 06-07 00:52
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +62 $26 66¢ $41 +$16 06-01 16:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? No -101 $-23 32¢ $-32 $-9 06-01 15:56
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No -39 $-18 74¢ $-29 $-11 06-01 16:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes -41 $-16 46¢ $-19 $-3 06-09 14:00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -166 $-23 11¢ $-17 +$6 06-07 16:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes -34 $-25 46¢ $-16 +$9 06-02 12:57
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No -25 $-9 30¢ $-7 +$2 06-03 15:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No -184 $-5 $-5 $-0 06-02 16:42
Will Trump nationalize elections? Yes +21 $4 22¢ $5 +$1 06-07 23:16
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +9 $2 44¢ $4 +$2 06-09 13:02
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $3 36¢ $4 +$0 06-04 07:23
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? Yes -67 $-4 $-3 +$0 06-08 16:24
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 $-3 21¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 14:07
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes -6 $-3 46¢ $-3 $-0 06-08 05:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -90 $-3 $-2 +$0 06-01 19:07
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +4 $2 62¢ $2 +$1 06-04 21:30
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No -8 $-2 26¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 23:36
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes +6 $1 33¢ $2 +$1 06-08 11:37
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes -9 $-2 12¢ $-1 +$1 06-09 17:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes -121 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-04 11:55
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? Yes -167 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-05 02:43
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes -41 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-03 12:58
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes -21 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-08 16:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +0 $-2 12¢ $0 +$2 06-07 18:13