Mammoth-Initial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$545

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 05-13 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 25% $-41

Politics

19% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$69	38	38	+0	open	—	03-31 13:46
uef swe pol 2026 03 31 swe	3	$69	48	47	+1	open	—	03-31 20:41
uef bih ita 2026 03 31 draw	5	$46	34	33	+0	open	—	03-31 20:42
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	2	$43	69	0	+69	No	$-43	05-13 20:42
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 draw	3	$35	88	86	+2	open	—	04-14 20:52
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-31 13:45
uef swe pol 2026 03 31 btts	2	$28	19	18	+0	open	—	03-31 19:36
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	2	$24	16	16	+0	open	—	03-31 21:42
uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-26 21:50
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	1	$20	35	0	+35	Yes	+$15	05-11 23:23
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	4	$18	203	105	+98	open	—	04-14 20:55
sea rom juv 2026 03 01 juv	2	$15	93	0	+93	open	—	03-01 20:56
btc updown 4h 1770469200	1	$12	30	0	+30	open	—	02-07 16:59
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	04-29 20:12
uef cze den 2026 03 31 den	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	03-31 18:36
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 1	2	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	04-15 10:42
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	2	$8	12	12	+0	Under	$-8	05-13 21:18
btc updown 5m 1774104300	2	$7	132	0	+132	open	—	03-21 14:47
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	52	0	+52	open	—	05-13 20:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	05-01 17:39
sea rom juv 2026 03 01 draw	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	03-01 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	open	—	05-01 17:24
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 1 1	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	04-15 10:43
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	02-07 12:36
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 3 1	1	$5	56	0	+56	open	—	04-15 10:40
uef ita nir 2026 03 26 btts	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	03-26 20:10
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5	1	$5	11	0	+11	Under	$-5	05-09 18:57
uef ita nir 2026 03 26 nir	1	$3	38	0	+38	open	—	03-26 20:25
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	1	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	02-07 12:27
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 2	1	$3	43	0	+43	open	—	04-15 10:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 21:18:37	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x22b706…
05-13 20:42:02	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	54	61¢	$33	0xbe51c8…
05-13 20:38:32	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x085105…
05-11 23:31:00	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x76fed1…
05-11 23:30:14	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x177415…
05-11 23:23:58	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x63a8c2…
05-09 18:57:28	US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2b14bd…
05-01 17:39:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa28154…
05-01 17:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x5eb1b5…
04-29 20:12:00	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xecddf6…
04-15 10:46:34	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 2	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x0494ab…
04-15 10:43:06	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 1 1	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x95f7ee…
04-15 10:42:26	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 1	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x69d9d8…
04-15 10:40:26	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 3 1	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x91bf2e…
04-15 10:40:24	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 1	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3f4184…
04-15 10:19:52	barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xb770f6…
04-14 20:55:04	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x0a6d0a…
04-14 20:53:34	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x5570d8…
04-14 20:52:52	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	SELL	86	23¢	$20	0x3c36ea…
04-14 20:11:52	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x73a233…
04-14 20:11:38	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdb6c06…
04-14 20:06:22	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 atm1	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0xe5b772…
04-14 20:05:52	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x38c429…
04-07 23:38:37	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe7d184…
03-31 21:42:15	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x641957…
03-31 20:42:33	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xf4f50f…
03-31 20:41:17	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 swe	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x844ee6…
03-31 20:40:39	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xa3623c…
03-31 20:40:21	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x7d8759…
03-31 20:40:03	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x584fe8…
03-31 20:08:19	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x61a1ae…
03-31 19:36:13	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 btts	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2424ad…
03-31 18:44:05	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 ita	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xd459c7…
03-31 18:43:25	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 draw	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0xa4c8be…
03-31 18:41:51	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 swe	Yes	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x5e8ff7…
03-31 18:39:25	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 tur	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x8cee0b…
03-31 18:36:27	uef cze den 2026 03 31 den	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd75460…
03-31 18:34:11	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 swe	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9b8a46…
03-31 18:33:57	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 btts	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc530c7…
03-31 13:46:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x024d04…
03-31 13:45:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x5ee9ae…
03-29 22:45:28	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x3ae927…
03-26 21:50:35	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x500b5b…
03-26 20:25:01	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 nir	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x742dca…
03-26 20:12:57	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x665a76…
03-26 20:10:01	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 btts	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xcb3bb7…
03-25 09:08:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x440952…
03-21 15:06:19	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x9bb3fa…
03-21 14:47:37	btc updown 5m 1774104300	Up	BUY	124	4¢	$5	0xbde0dc…
03-21 14:47:07	btc updown 5m 1774104300	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb6bb55…
03-15 16:21:55	btc updown 5m 1773591600	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7c3f74…
03-01 20:56:21	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 juv	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xd4b37c…
03-01 20:54:51	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 juv	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc3cc47…
03-01 20:44:51	btc updown 5m 1772397600	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1a03e4…
03-01 20:40:17	sea rom juv 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5e973f…
02-07 16:59:51	btc updown 4h 1770469200	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xf3053a…
02-07 12:36:53	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x924f28…
02-07 12:29:09	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x41d3c1…
02-07 12:27:31	will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x3d1394…