Occasional-Excuse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$296

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-05 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	6	$26	24	23	+1	open	—	04-27 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	04-27 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	10	$11	16	8	+8	open	—	04-29 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$10	515	0	+515	open	—	04-29 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$10	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	05-19 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	05-20 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	04-27 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-28 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-27 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-28 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	3	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-27 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	open	—	05-02 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	04-29 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	3	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-4	05-13 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 05:29:03	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb17d85…
06-03 05:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd3a2d4…
05-28 12:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe98a9c…
05-28 10:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7272f6…
05-22 13:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xf52159…
05-21 05:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xff9d6f…
05-20 05:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xac7d2d…
05-19 06:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x91ca94…
05-13 16:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1f3090…
05-13 16:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3e2164…
05-13 16:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0fa833…
05-12 20:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbb8323…
05-12 18:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x05aef9…
05-04 07:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xdf269c…
05-02 15:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x936b9a…
05-01 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x63de11…
04-30 07:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd0bbd7…
04-30 06:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbd4a5c…
04-29 18:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe39806…
04-29 15:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x072c3f…
04-29 13:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa876e3…
04-29 13:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x751353…
04-29 13:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7d87f6…
04-29 12:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfda781…
04-29 12:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf049ef…
04-29 12:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5c7dfa…
04-29 12:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x93931e…
04-29 12:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe2b1c8…
04-29 12:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x706445…
04-29 12:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x27692c…
04-29 12:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xf79633…
04-29 12:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x82cc3c…
04-29 12:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x598cbd…
04-29 12:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc07fa1…
04-29 12:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x44a8dc…
04-29 12:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6babf8…
04-29 12:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdaff4d…
04-29 12:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6dfdf6…
04-29 12:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3c3bff…
04-29 12:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x103c93…
04-29 12:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x256496…
04-29 12:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x394540…
04-29 12:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3a86f3…
04-29 12:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	42¢	$6	0x1a24cf…
04-29 12:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8ed393…
04-29 12:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf5f053…
04-29 12:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfb392a…
04-29 12:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe472a3…
04-29 12:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7c664a…
04-29 12:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x790e6d…
04-29 12:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x465763…
04-29 12:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x1bbad1…
04-29 12:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x60ac96…
04-29 12:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x2ce8c5…
04-29 12:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd69333…
04-29 12:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xd6de7b…
04-29 12:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2ae3cf…
04-29 12:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x26549a…
04-29 12:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x337da3…
04-29 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x76c41c…
04-29 12:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xf2a96b…
04-29 12:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdc31d9…
04-28 07:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x6da1b3…
04-28 07:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaa6b53…
04-28 07:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf14577…
04-28 07:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x33009d…
04-28 07:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x2d7612…
04-28 07:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe13fd2…
04-28 07:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x121e37…
04-28 07:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5f14b5…
04-28 07:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x612dbf…
04-28 07:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x19fb29…
04-28 07:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xca6978…
04-28 07:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x214b47…
04-28 07:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xaa560b…
04-28 07:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x748d3b…
04-28 06:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x3e8163…
04-28 06:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0b2c66…
04-28 06:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x7696f9…
04-28 06:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x77d55c…
04-28 06:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x4c81a4…
04-28 06:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x048db8…
04-28 06:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x79aac5…
04-28 06:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd7d418…
04-28 06:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x8819fb…
04-28 06:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7dff8d…
04-27 17:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xbfa9d2…
04-27 17:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf572d5…
04-27 17:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x085512…
04-27 17:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x7aa2d1…
04-27 17:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x46aa27…
04-27 17:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x8b97af…
04-27 17:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x20fd78…
04-27 17:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x5fa07a…
04-27 17:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb3edf7…
04-27 17:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x54a64e…
04-27 17:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xcc4538…
04-27 17:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xca8e79…
04-27 17:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xa0226b…
04-27 17:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x14dee8…