Limited-Chestnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-19 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 100% +$0

Other

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No		+3	$3	99¢	$3	$-0	06-18 19:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$156	156	+156	open	—	04-07 07:12
bitcoin above 64k on march 18	1	$154	154	+154	open	—	03-17 12:08
bitcoin above 56k on march 3	1	$153	153	+153	open	—	03-03 12:03
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$153	153	+153	open	—	04-08 07:26
ethereum above 1600 on march 14	1	$152	152	+152	open	—	03-13 09:55
will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 10	1	$152	152	+152	open	—	03-09 10:51
ethereum above 1700 on april 13	1	$151	151	+151	open	—	04-12 10:54
ethereum above 2600 on march 20	1	$151	151	+151	open	—	03-19 15:32
bitcoin above 76k on april 3	1	$151	151	+151	open	—	04-02 06:04
bitcoin above 78k on march 16	1	$151	151	+151	open	—	03-15 11:57
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 12	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	03-11 17:07
bitcoin above 84k on april 21	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	04-20 12:53
ethereum above 1600 on march 8	1	$148	149	+149	open	—	03-07 16:57
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	1	$148	148	+148	open	—	03-21 13:42
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	1	$148	148	+148	open	—	04-18 11:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$147	147	+147	No	+$0	05-04 14:23
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	1	$145	146	+146	open	—	03-23 14:44
bitcoin above 82k on january 11	1	$145	145	+145	open	—	01-09 20:37
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 31	1	$145	145	+145	open	—	03-29 21:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?	1	$144	144	+144	open	—	04-26 18:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	1	$144	144	+144	Yes	+$0	05-07 16:36
bitcoin above 76k on february 18	1	$144	144	+144	open	—	02-17 00:56
bitcoin above 76k on february 12	1	$143	143	+143	open	—	02-11 07:54
ethereum above 2500 on march 29	1	$143	143	+143	open	—	03-27 19:53
ethereum above 2300 on march 1	1	$143	143	+143	open	—	02-28 14:15
bitcoin above 76k on february 27	1	$143	143	+143	open	—	02-25 01:06
ethereum above 2000 on april 23	1	$142	142	+142	open	—	04-22 11:33
bitcoin above 78k on february 21	1	$142	142	+142	open	—	02-19 13:28
bitcoin above 80k on january 9	1	$142	142	+142	open	—	01-07 19:43
ethereum above 2500 on january 4	1	$141	142	+142	open	—	01-02 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 18:20:35	bitcoin above 70k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8e5714…
06-18 19:59:37	will solana reach 90 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x666371…
06-18 19:56:22	Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9a899f…
06-18 19:54:13	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xaf96d2…
06-07 10:32:24	bitcoin above 72k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xfb8477…
06-03 05:25:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x7abb1d…
05-20 02:15:39	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x2a2074…
05-20 02:13:12	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x412d21…
05-07 16:36:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x0aa1b1…
05-04 14:23:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xb0dd99…
05-03 19:08:10	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $248 in May?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x508a3f…
05-03 19:05:26	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x302537…
04-26 18:52:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xa19800…
04-23 03:42:54	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfd380f…
04-23 03:41:26	Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$3	0xcfc025…
04-22 11:33:24	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0xc499a2…
04-20 12:53:14	bitcoin above 84k on april 21	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x10d649…
04-18 11:06:48	bitcoin above 80k on april 18	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0xbc3ea1…
04-13 23:27:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xda2393…
04-13 23:26:15	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x02ba54…
04-12 10:54:35	ethereum above 1700 on april 13	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x37769e…
04-08 07:26:33	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x9efef2…
04-07 07:12:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xf84986…
04-02 06:04:17	bitcoin above 76k on april 3	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xb473aa…
03-29 21:09:14	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 31	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xb4911b…
03-27 19:53:05	ethereum above 2500 on march 29	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x9b2dec…
03-23 14:44:39	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 25	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0x513f0c…
03-21 13:42:33	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x1c8e30…
03-21 09:01:19	will sp 500 spx hit 5000 low in march 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc2bf93…
03-21 08:55:23	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb4ca97…
03-19 15:32:15	ethereum above 2600 on march 20	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x1019c3…
03-17 12:08:47	bitcoin above 64k on march 18	Yes	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xa97e85…
03-15 11:57:39	bitcoin above 78k on march 16	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xfe9886…
03-13 09:55:51	ethereum above 1600 on march 14	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x9a1d1c…
03-11 17:07:35	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 12	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x481635…
03-09 10:51:39	will the price of ethereum be less than 1500 on march 10	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x745481…
03-07 16:57:35	ethereum above 1600 on march 8	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$148	0x5b0364…
03-03 12:03:59	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x0561af…
02-28 14:15:33	ethereum above 2300 on march 1	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x6ef3cd…
02-25 01:06:48	bitcoin above 76k on february 27	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x5b8b2d…
02-22 12:45:42	bitcoin above 76k on february 24	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x0225b1…
02-19 13:28:36	bitcoin above 78k on february 21	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x203b2c…
02-17 00:56:15	bitcoin above 76k on february 18	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x89ec83…
02-15 02:43:07	ethereum above 2600 on february 16	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x974958…
02-13 00:40:55	ethereum above 2600 on february 14	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xb22414…
02-11 07:54:43	bitcoin above 76k on february 12	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0x5f098a…
02-10 00:21:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 10	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xc15934…
02-07 01:31:25	ethereum above 2700 on february 8	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xa3e175…
02-04 21:20:13	bitcoin above 94k on february 6	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf4eedb…
02-02 10:45:28	will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on february 3	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x53cfbb…
01-31 12:50:18	bitcoin above 92k on february 1	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x6b4c79…
01-29 05:07:38	bitcoin above 80k on january 30	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xa1ef19…
01-27 09:49:57	bitcoin above 96k on january 28	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x328b25…
01-24 12:50:40	ethereum above 3600 on january 26	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x849427…
01-21 11:52:58	ethereum above 3700 on january 23	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xd3dc31…
01-20 08:42:36	Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x348007…
01-18 11:08:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 20	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x0f3f61…
01-15 02:31:30	will the price of ethereum be less than 2600 on january 17	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xea97de…
01-13 20:34:08	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x36e3e3…
01-12 08:09:26	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x63da51…
01-09 20:37:58	bitcoin above 82k on january 11	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x53f5db…
01-07 19:43:55	bitcoin above 80k on january 9	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x052afa…
01-05 21:54:11	bitcoin above 84k on january 7	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x43abc6…
01-02 22:34:05	ethereum above 2500 on january 4	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0xa388dd…
01-02 00:21:51	bitcoin above 82k on january 2	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x33abd6…