Lasting-Thyme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,086

lifetime

Volume

$42.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-10 17:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

60% 35% $-75

Politics

35% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	43	$4.6K	3,876	3,851	+25	open	—	03-25 16:08
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	17	$1.2K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	03-22 05:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-22 05:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$868	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-02 13:44
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	5	$804	982	553	+430	open	—	05-23 03:35
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	8	$803	505	505	+0	open	—	06-07 07:05
cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	8	$708	594	594	+0	open	—	06-08 13:58
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$635	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	03-03 14:57
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	15	$613	570	570	+0	open	—	03-15 03:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$551	400	400	+0	open	—	03-14 02:34
lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10 game2	5	$534	502	502	+0	open	—	06-10 17:27
nvda close above 185 on march 9 2026	8	$523	300	300	+0	open	—	03-09 02:47
iran leadership change by march 31	7	$501	355	255	+100	open	—	03-25 16:34
lol fly tl2 2026 06 06 game1	4	$495	501	501	+0	open	—	06-06 15:50
nvda up or down on april 13 2026	9	$493	409	409	-0	open	—	04-12 09:35
lol fly tl2 2026 06 06 game3	2	$491	501	501	+0	open	—	06-06 15:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$486	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-21 09:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	14	$478	288	288	+0	open	—	03-23 11:12
cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$471	501	501	+0	open	—	06-08 01:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	5	$468	852	852	+0	open	—	03-20 06:44
cs2 mnte big5 2026 06 06	3	$459	502	502	+0	open	—	06-06 04:33
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	3	$456	300	300	+0	open	—	03-05 03:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$444	300	300	+0	open	—	03-18 04:43
cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 game1	4	$431	501	501	+0	open	—	06-08 05:59
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$424	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 04:20
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	4	$415	400	400	+0	open	—	04-14 06:32
cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	7	$394	505	505	+0	open	—	06-06 04:31
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	13	$394	300	300	+0	open	—	03-12 03:44
lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	7	$371	502	502	+0	open	—	06-08 14:31
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	8	$363	300	300	+0	open	—	03-21 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 17:27:07	lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10 game2	LOUD	SELL	336	52¢	$175	0x6f5480…
06-10 16:54:49	lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10 game2	LOUD	SELL	112	53¢	$59	0x95cac9…
06-10 16:53:25	lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10 game2	LOUD	SELL	54	53¢	$29	0x02a603…
06-10 12:12:28	lol los png1 2026 06 10	LOS	SELL	214	81¢	$173	0xec62bf…
06-10 09:35:13	lol hrts kcb 2026 06 10	Team Heretics Academy	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0xab9619…
06-10 09:02:10	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10 game handicap away 1pt5	HMBLE	SELL	198	42¢	$83	0x2fae2e…
06-10 09:01:06	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10 game handicap away 1pt5	HMBLE	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xc75804…
06-10 09:01:04	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10 game handicap away 1pt5	HMBLE	SELL	44	42¢	$18	0x31aa3f…
06-10 05:04:09	lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10 game2	LOUD	BUY	195	54¢	$106	0x314177…
06-10 05:04:09	lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10 game2	LOUD	BUY	307	54¢	$166	0x23171c…
06-10 04:32:45	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10 game handicap away 1pt5	HMBLE	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfd1b9a…
06-10 04:32:39	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10 game handicap away 1pt5	HMBLE	BUY	252	41¢	$103	0xbaed22…
06-10 04:32:33	lol ucam1 hmble 2026 06 10 game handicap away 1pt5	HMBLE	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3b9b1c…
06-10 03:18:58	lol hrts kcb 2026 06 10	Team Heretics Academy	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x182d3f…
06-10 03:18:57	lol hrts kcb 2026 06 10	Team Heretics Academy	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xcb80e2…
06-10 03:17:58	lol hrts kcb 2026 06 10	Team Heretics Academy	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x767b56…
06-10 03:17:57	lol hrts kcb 2026 06 10	Team Heretics Academy	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x34847d…
06-10 01:28:37	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x3b8d9e…
06-10 01:22:06	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0x6a5a68…
06-10 01:21:33	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xc5acf3…
06-10 01:21:18	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xc32ad3…
06-10 01:21:16	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xe74cbb…
06-10 01:21:04	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0xb9ee57…
06-10 01:15:25	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	Yes	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0x27a381…
06-10 01:14:40	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x4de0ad…
06-10 01:13:16	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x300ac4…
06-10 01:04:00	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x02f7b5…
06-10 01:02:58	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x542fec…
06-10 01:01:09	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x92e764…
06-10 01:00:37	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x88f19d…
06-09 22:48:12	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xe954ad…
06-09 22:47:48	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x9936d3…
06-09 22:46:18	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb4eae3…
06-09 22:33:58	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0xeaf74e…
06-09 22:29:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x7c32b2…
06-09 22:26:25	lol los png1 2026 06 10	LOS	BUY	214	81¢	$173	0x6233e1…
06-09 22:21:28	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x2c4361…
06-09 22:20:55	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x7ab286…
06-09 22:03:22	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x12adaf…
06-09 22:02:21	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x08ba73…
06-09 22:02:04	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xb08c10…
06-09 22:01:40	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x41f555…
06-09 21:16:33	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x75fc5c…
06-09 21:15:45	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xcb5572…
06-09 21:14:30	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x631690…
06-08 15:17:52	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 game1 round handicap lgc 3pt5	M80	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0xc8f6f0…
06-08 14:31:15	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	Leviatan Esports	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0xf781b1…
06-08 14:22:52	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	Leviatan Esports	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x670ec1…
06-08 13:58:06	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Monte	SELL	350	60¢	$210	0x8fa262…
06-08 13:55:37	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Monte	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xee2183…
06-08 13:51:55	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	Leviatan Esports	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x0e471f…
06-08 13:51:09	lol red fxw7 2026 06 08	Fluxo W7M	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0x67d414…
06-08 13:49:15	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Monte	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x392e13…
06-08 13:44:51	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	Leviatan Esports	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x55feea…
06-08 13:43:16	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Monte	SELL	130	60¢	$78	0xbd513c…
06-08 13:43:06	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	Leviatan Esports	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xc86edc…
06-08 13:41:37	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	Leviatan Esports	SELL	360	37¢	$133	0xf6a74f…
06-08 13:35:37	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Monte	BUY	502	60¢	$301	0x3de4fc…
06-08 13:35:28	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	Leviatan Esports	BUY	502	37¢	$186	0x85446c…
06-08 13:07:25	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	51	24¢	$12	0xee9131…
06-08 12:15:07	lol red fxw7 2026 06 08	Fluxo W7M	SELL	41	26¢	$11	0xfa4189…
06-08 12:13:58	lol red fxw7 2026 06 08	Fluxo W7M	BUY	71	26¢	$18	0x73912f…
06-08 10:21:01	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 game1 round handicap lgc 3pt5	M80	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x8359da…
06-08 09:38:07	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x711934…
06-08 05:59:31	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 game1	TYLOO	SELL	370	42¢	$155	0x947868…
06-08 05:40:00	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 game1	TYLOO	SELL	121	42¢	$51	0xee3d7a…
06-08 03:24:28	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 game1	TYLOO	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xcc31c7…
06-08 03:22:12	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 game1	TYLOO	BUY	501	44¢	$220	0x6e9326…
06-08 02:23:49	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Monte	SELL	42	58¢	$25	0xbc9ac1…
06-08 02:06:16	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08 map handicap away 1pt5	G2	SELL	139	45¢	$62	0x84175a…
06-08 01:32:18	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Monte	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x37ba9f…
06-08 01:30:55	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Legacy	SELL	396	47¢	$186	0x946c96…
06-08 01:20:57	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Legacy	SELL	105	47¢	$49	0x68b7c1…
06-08 01:19:37	cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Legacy	BUY	501	47¢	$235	0x183d83…
06-08 01:05:18	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08 map handicap away 1pt5	G2	BUY	139	46¢	$64	0x2f7e9b…
06-08 01:01:33	cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	Monte	BUY	92	56¢	$52	0x6e729a…
06-07 12:52:55	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x235981…
06-07 07:05:13	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	Spirit	SELL	413	80¢	$330	0x572b44…
06-07 06:46:48	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	Spirit	SELL	71	80¢	$57	0x6f10db…
06-07 06:46:40	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	Spirit	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x1d136f…
06-07 06:46:18	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	Spirit	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9fcae9…
06-07 06:46:15	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	Spirit	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x70a9dc…
06-07 06:46:13	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	Spirit	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0xe365f2…
06-07 06:14:34	lol lll vks 2026 06 07	Vivo Keyd Stars	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x86cee0…
06-07 06:14:01	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xc45273…
06-07 06:11:12	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	Spirit	BUY	55	79¢	$43	0x72f21e…
06-07 06:11:10	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	Spirit	BUY	450	79¢	$356	0x89eacb…
06-07 06:10:42	will spy dip to 710 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	150	42¢	$63	0xa5b8b9…
06-07 04:08:00	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x47a187…
06-07 04:01:24	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x7ad5cb…
06-07 03:30:51	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xbcad6e…
06-07 01:53:07	lol g2 kc 2026 06 07 game1	G2 Esports	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x318fb3…
06-07 01:07:52	lol lll vks 2026 06 07	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x097a53…
06-07 00:49:48	cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07 map handicap home 1pt5	paiN	SELL	239	26¢	$62	0x2bf8f5…
06-07 00:31:10	cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07 map handicap home 1pt5	paiN	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x72056c…
06-07 00:30:55	cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07 map handicap home 1pt5	paiN	BUY	220	25¢	$55	0x85175c…
06-07 00:11:24	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	9z	SELL	505	32¢	$162	0x64bdc1…
06-07 00:01:42	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	9z	BUY	505	34¢	$172	0x1859d4…
06-06 23:20:12	will gamerlegion qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	101	9¢	$9	0xe20935…
06-06 16:43:58	will gamerlegion qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	101	26¢	$26	0x5fc452…