Lasting-Thyme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,449

lifetime

Volume

$48.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-04 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

54% 35% $-75

Politics

33% — —

Sports

7% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	43	$4.6K	3,876	3,851	+25	open	—	03-25 16:08
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	17	$1.2K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	03-22 05:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-22 05:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$868	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-02 13:44
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	5	$804	982	553	+430	open	—	05-23 03:35
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	8	$803	505	505	+0	open	—	06-07 07:05
cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	8	$708	594	594	+0	open	—	06-08 13:58
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$635	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	03-03 14:57
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	15	$613	570	570	+0	open	—	03-15 03:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$551	400	400	+0	open	—	03-14 02:34
lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10 game2	5	$534	502	502	+0	open	—	06-10 17:27
nvda close above 185 on march 9 2026	8	$523	300	300	+0	open	—	03-09 02:47
iran leadership change by march 31	7	$501	355	255	+100	open	—	03-25 16:34
lol fly tl2 2026 06 06 game1	4	$495	501	501	+0	open	—	06-06 15:50
nvda up or down on april 13 2026	9	$493	409	409	-0	open	—	04-12 09:35
lol fly tl2 2026 06 06 game3	2	$491	501	501	+0	open	—	06-06 15:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$486	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-21 09:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	14	$478	288	288	+0	open	—	03-23 11:12
cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$471	501	501	+0	open	—	06-08 01:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	5	$468	852	852	+0	open	—	03-20 06:44
cs2 mnte big5 2026 06 06	3	$459	502	502	+0	open	—	06-06 04:33
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	3	$456	300	300	+0	open	—	03-05 03:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$444	300	300	+0	open	—	03-18 04:43
cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 game1	4	$431	501	501	+0	open	—	06-08 05:59
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$424	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 04:20
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	4	$415	400	400	+0	open	—	04-14 06:32
cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	7	$394	505	505	+0	open	—	06-06 04:31
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	13	$394	300	300	+0	open	—	03-12 03:44
lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	7	$371	502	502	+0	open	—	06-08 14:31
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	8	$363	300	300	+0	open	—	03-21 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 08:00:35	will cj abrams hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646873	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xeaddbd…
07-03 14:47:49	will cj abrams hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646873	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb28046…
07-03 14:31:32	will shohei ohtani hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646858	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x2ad02c…
07-03 14:31:01	will shohei ohtani hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 mlb regular season 20260702210646858	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0xcd801b…
07-03 13:56:28	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x956c6b…
07-03 11:57:32	will the announcers say ronaldo during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032829	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x8e3394…
07-03 11:55:58	will the announcers say first time during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402818	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xb5f6e9…
07-03 11:55:02	bitcoin up or down on july 3 2026	Up	SELL	35	81¢	$28	0x1ed111…
07-03 09:56:11	will the announcers say pyramid during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032815	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xf3f370…
07-03 09:32:37	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032809	No	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xf27bfc…
07-03 09:30:49	will the announcers say golden boot during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032824	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xdd8c6b…
07-03 09:28:23	will the announcers say golden boot during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032824	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x302ba0…
07-03 09:26:34	will the announcers say messi during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402829	No	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xade4e5…
07-03 09:26:04	will the announcers say messi during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402829	No	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x4d3c14…
07-03 09:25:29	will the announcers say var during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402814	No	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xc9402f…
07-03 09:24:07	will the announcers say var during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402814	No	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x15b2c8…
07-03 09:21:47	will the announcers say history during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032821	No	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0xe2227e…
07-03 09:20:56	will the announcers say history during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032821	No	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xb5200e…
07-03 09:16:41	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x09c317…
07-03 09:16:17	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032810	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x44a79c…
07-03 09:16:14	will the announcers say pyramid during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032815	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x929cbf…
07-03 09:15:47	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032810	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x8ecf3d…
07-03 09:14:14	will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402809	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x97fcae…
07-03 09:14:02	will the announcers say messi during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032828	No	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xd9d73d…
07-03 09:13:52	will the announcers say free kick 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402809	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xb341a4…
07-03 09:13:47	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402806	No	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0xf7aae2…
07-03 09:12:59	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402806	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xcfb692…
07-03 09:00:50	will the announcers say first time during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402818	Yes	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x009098…
07-03 08:59:08	will the announcers say ronaldo during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032829	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7f5589…
07-03 08:58:20	will the announcers say crossbar during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402823	No	SELL	70	68¢	$48	0xf7321e…
07-03 08:56:37	will the announcers say crossbar during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402823	No	BUY	70	72¢	$50	0x6b4900…
07-03 08:55:49	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402807	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x3226be…
07-03 08:54:38	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402807	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x9b0ded…
07-03 08:46:31	will the announcers say history during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032821	Yes	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xcebaa9…
07-03 08:46:07	will the announcers say pharaoh during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032816	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x10e967…
07-03 08:45:19	will the announcers say pharaoh during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032816	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xf504f3…
07-03 08:42:41	will the announcers say history during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032821	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xea803e…
07-03 08:42:37	will the announcers say swarm or swarming during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032817	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0xdd504d…
07-03 08:41:58	will the announcers say swarm or swarming during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032817	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x2baea1…
07-03 08:40:10	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032809	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd29a59…
07-03 08:38:41	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032811	No	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x7d9155…
07-03 08:37:43	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032811	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x69ae65…
07-03 08:37:19	will the announcers say fan 5 times during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032811	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x123404…
07-03 08:22:25	will the announcers say golden goal during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032818	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$13	0xdd3ecd…
07-03 08:22:01	will the announcers say cleat during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032819	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x83f21d…
07-03 08:20:59	will the announcers say cleat during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032819	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xfa6c73…
07-03 08:20:47	will the announcers say golden goal during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032818	Yes	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xba44c5…
07-03 08:18:13	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x5488bc…
07-03 08:17:53	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0xf874a3…
07-03 08:17:05	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x0bfe28…
07-03 08:17:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0xf10276…
07-03 08:17:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc09ca3…
07-03 08:17:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6e101e…
07-03 08:17:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x69d92b…
07-03 08:17:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5bd17a…
07-03 08:17:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the australia vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260702193032826	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x22cfe0…
07-03 06:21:28	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402806	No	SELL	75	16¢	$12	0x5197e5…
07-03 06:20:56	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402806	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x81d339…
07-03 05:35:37	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the colombia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260702193402806	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xe5bf42…
07-03 04:02:16	bitcoin up or down on july 3 2026	Up	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x368551…
06-28 04:44:38	untitled market 1 20260625224941800	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd661b9…
06-28 04:17:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x743b02…
06-27 11:37:46	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	46	38¢	$17	0x397a75…
06-27 11:29:20	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0x70f214…
06-27 11:27:55	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xf75d95…
06-27 11:27:16	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x3c0713…
06-27 07:55:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8b5b38…
06-27 07:11:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x70ad26…
06-27 07:00:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x34803c…
06-27 06:55:53	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0xac8f59…
06-27 06:31:38	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbf8419…
06-27 05:54:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x9f9a5d…
06-27 05:17:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x2c436f…
06-27 05:05:40	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0xc2debe…
06-27 04:51:14	iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xcd13d5…
06-27 04:35:37	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x296937…
06-27 04:07:34	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	SELL	97	27¢	$26	0x124b13…
06-27 04:06:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	132	17¢	$22	0x99ccdf…
06-27 04:06:11	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	90	17¢	$15	0x761169…
06-27 03:36:34	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in july 20260626154217429	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x7ed9ee…
06-27 02:55:40	untitled market 1 20260625224941800	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2efdcd…
06-27 02:54:28	untitled market 1 20260625224941800	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x9ba7d8…
06-27 02:53:23	untitled market 1 20260625224941800	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$1	0x87a8f2…
06-27 02:51:05	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0xba6ae2…
06-27 02:39:31	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in july 20260626154217429	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0xcc9d8f…
06-27 02:39:04	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol in july 20260626154217429	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x8fa035…
06-27 02:28:23	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	SELL	97	28¢	$27	0x125524…
06-27 02:27:53	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x88accd…
06-27 02:19:40	iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x240a04…
06-27 01:13:10	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2c1fe7…
06-27 01:11:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0xea81ef…
06-27 01:11:34	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	89	19¢	$17	0x973445…
06-26 07:58:10	will the announcers say assist during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700896	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x678053…
06-26 07:16:41	will malte gustafsson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347240	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0xe94d72…
06-26 07:14:22	will the announcers say assist during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700896	No	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x036051…
06-26 07:12:50	will the announcers say captain during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259134	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x48bb35…
06-26 07:12:22	will the announcers say qatar during the new zealand vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260625155700890	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x59e140…
06-26 07:11:59	will ivar stenberg be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347230	No	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x8cb0db…
06-26 06:50:05	will the announcers say ronaldo 20 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716807	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xb91da5…
06-26 06:41:32	will the announcers say ronaldo 20 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716807	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xf4c823…