Lasting-Thyme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,014

lifetime

Volume

$54.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

53% 35% $-75

Politics

30% — —

Sports

12% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	43	$4.6K	3,876	3,851	+25	open	—	03-25 16:08
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	17	$1.2K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	03-22 05:44
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-22 05:16
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$868	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-02 13:44
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In	5	$804	982	553	+430	open	—	05-23 03:35
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game1	8	$803	505	505	+0	open	—	06-07 07:05
cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	8	$708	594	594	+0	open	—	06-08 13:58
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$635	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	03-03 14:57
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	15	$613	570	570	+0	open	—	03-15 03:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	13	$551	400	400	+0	open	—	03-14 02:34
lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10 game2	5	$534	502	502	+0	open	—	06-10 17:27
nvda close above 185 on march 9 2026	8	$523	300	300	+0	open	—	03-09 02:47
iran leadership change by march 31	7	$501	355	255	+100	open	—	03-25 16:34
lol fly tl2 2026 06 06 game1	4	$495	501	501	+0	open	—	06-06 15:50
nvda up or down on april 13 2026	9	$493	409	409	-0	open	—	04-12 09:35
lol fly tl2 2026 06 06 game3	2	$491	501	501	+0	open	—	06-06 15:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$486	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-21 09:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	14	$478	288	288	+0	open	—	03-23 11:12
cs2 m80 lgc 2026 06 08 map handicap home 1pt5	3	$471	501	501	+0	open	—	06-08 01:30
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	5	$468	852	852	+0	open	—	03-20 06:44
cs2 mnte big5 2026 06 06	3	$459	502	502	+0	open	—	06-06 04:33
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	3	$456	300	300	+0	open	—	03-05 03:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$444	300	300	+0	open	—	03-18 04:43
cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 game1	4	$431	501	501	+0	open	—	06-08 05:59
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$424	250	250	+0	open	—	03-11 04:20
spx opens up or down on april 14 2026	4	$415	400	400	+0	open	—	04-14 06:32
cs2 ruby1 100t 2026 06 06	7	$394	505	505	+0	open	—	06-06 04:31
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	13	$394	300	300	+0	open	—	03-12 03:44
lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1	7	$371	502	502	+0	open	—	06-08 14:31
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	8	$363	300	300	+0	open	—	03-21 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 04:59:45	will mrbeast say feastables during his next youtube video 20260702154826881	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x4d455e…
07-24 03:39:42	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260702154826874	Yes	SELL	52	14¢	$7	0x1bb028…
07-23 15:40:06	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	Yes	SELL	83	91¢	$76	0xe14684…
07-23 15:39:18	will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x4fa70d…
07-23 15:38:37	will mrbeast say subscriber during his next youtube video 20260702154826883	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x311a05…
07-23 15:38:16	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723131	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x8e52a2…
07-23 15:37:57	will mrbeast say sword during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829402	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0xa0d8d0…
07-23 15:37:30	will mrbeast say hottest during his next youtube video 20260702154826885	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xcca407…
07-23 15:37:12	will mrbeast say prize during his next youtube video 20260702154826877	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xb909ed…
07-23 15:36:40	will anyone say power 5 times during big brother e8 20260720170215702	Yes	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x813872…
07-23 15:36:22	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xbbf0c1…
07-23 15:35:39	will intel say data center 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650074	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa950ac…
07-23 15:35:13	will intel say node ramp during earnings call 20260717163650082	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x631fe8…
07-23 15:34:45	will jon bernthal or tom holland say scoville on hot ones 20260721145535514	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x0a0ef9…
07-23 11:31:51	will dow say demand 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814083	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x0c43f0…
07-23 11:00:24	will jon bernthal or tom holland say spider or spider man 5 times on hot ones 20260721145535500	Yes	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0xbf4f17…
07-23 10:58:22	will jon bernthal or tom holland say spider or spider man 5 times on hot ones 20260721145535500	Yes	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x299485…
07-23 10:45:42	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	No	SELL	35	47¢	$16	0xcd36bd…
07-23 10:45:15	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	No	SELL	103	13¢	$13	0xbaeced…
07-23 10:42:37	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	No	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x8d93b7…
07-23 10:37:27	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	No	BUY	101	17¢	$17	0x550662…
07-23 10:21:13	will anyone say power 5 times during big brother e8 20260720170215702	No	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0xeefa2c…
07-23 10:20:39	will anyone say power 5 times during big brother e8 20260720170215702	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x7d79f3…
07-23 10:20:22	will anyone say power 5 times during big brother e8 20260720170215702	No	BUY	21	26¢	$6	0xeae8b6…
07-23 10:06:57	will anyone say energy during big brother e8 20260720170215712	No	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xea8603…
07-23 10:03:36	will anyone say energy during big brother e8 20260720170215712	No	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xd71ade…
07-23 10:03:34	will anyone say energy during big brother e8 20260720170215712	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x8687da…
07-23 10:01:31	will mrbeast say red line during his next youtube video 20260702154826879	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x7f9968…
07-23 10:01:12	will mrbeast say prize during his next youtube video 20260702154826877	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xefab41…
07-23 09:59:51	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xe591ba…
07-23 09:56:28	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfc2a56…
07-23 09:37:40	will dow say demand 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814083	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x68b0db…
07-23 09:30:28	will anyone say power 5 times during big brother e8 20260720170215702	No	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x4925eb…
07-23 09:21:09	will intel say lab during earnings call 20260717163650081	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x2daa12…
07-23 09:03:16	will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x303547…
07-23 08:54:42	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0xe85d66…
07-23 08:35:15	will mrbeast say subscriber during his next youtube video 20260702154826883	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xcb9821…
07-23 08:33:42	will jon bernthal or tom holland say spider or spider man 5 times on hot ones 20260721145535500	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x790e64…
07-23 08:10:55	will jon bernthal or tom holland say scoville on hot ones 20260721145535514	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x59d05f…
07-23 08:09:45	will jon bernthal or tom holland say brother on hot ones 20260721145535517	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xcd9726…
07-23 08:07:31	will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0x3c7085…
07-23 08:00:58	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xd532b0…
07-23 07:31:16	will mrbeast say sword during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152829402	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x44d9b3…
07-23 07:25:31	will jon bernthal or tom holland say soccer on hot ones 20260721145535507	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x7cfe7d…
07-23 07:25:12	will jon bernthal or tom holland say soccer on hot ones 20260721145535507	No	SELL	45	71¢	$32	0x51c3a5…
07-23 07:24:39	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xf3bc59…
07-23 07:24:19	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	No	SELL	35	73¢	$26	0xe54a27…
07-23 07:11:55	will mrbeast say prize during his next youtube video 20260702154826877	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x0652a5…
07-23 07:11:37	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdffaf7…
07-23 07:11:34	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xdd2471…
07-23 07:11:34	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xd98187…
07-23 07:11:34	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	No	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x85cffe…
07-23 07:11:34	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x1c0546…
07-23 07:10:19	will jon bernthal or tom holland say soccer on hot ones 20260721145535507	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x7b841e…
07-23 07:10:18	will jon bernthal or tom holland say soccer on hot ones 20260721145535507	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe82963…
07-23 07:10:16	will jon bernthal or tom holland say soccer on hot ones 20260721145535507	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xb7efdc…
07-23 07:10:16	will jon bernthal or tom holland say soccer on hot ones 20260721145535507	No	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0x718d31…
07-23 07:07:19	will intel say iran during earnings call 20260717163650084	No	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x83610d…
07-23 07:06:25	will mrbeast say prize during his next youtube video 20260702154826877	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x7f7a47…
07-23 07:05:06	will intel say lab during earnings call 20260717163650081	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x64fdb8…
07-23 07:04:01	will dow say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814082	Yes	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0xb1295b…
07-23 07:03:25	will dow say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814082	Yes	BUY	101	2¢	$2	0x925c9f…
07-23 07:03:00	will intel say iran during earnings call 20260717163650084	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6aa96d…
07-23 07:02:57	will intel say node ramp during earnings call 20260717163650082	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf45620…
07-23 07:02:54	will intel say lab during earnings call 20260717163650081	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd526ef…
07-23 07:02:48	will intel say tool during earnings call 20260717163650076	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x1bd372…
07-23 06:38:42	will dow say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163814081	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xa77f3b…
07-23 06:31:34	will mrbeast say hundred or thousand or million 10 times during his next gaming youtube video 20260713152723131	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x195679…
07-23 06:27:19	will mrbeast say apple during his next youtube video 20260702154826884	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x6f94b9…
07-23 06:24:28	will mrbeast say apple during his next youtube video 20260702154826884	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5f66fc…
07-23 06:22:01	will intel say china during earnings call 20260717163650085	No	SELL	52	77¢	$40	0x7ad01b…
07-23 06:19:25	will intel say china during earnings call 20260717163650085	No	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0x9cc653…
07-23 05:55:34	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x9303bc…
07-23 05:32:16	will dow say infrastructure during earnings call 20260717163814093	No	SELL	52	3¢	$2	0x30296e…
07-23 05:31:16	will mrbeast say america during his next youtube video 20260702154826887	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0xe3ed05…
07-23 05:30:42	will mrbeast say red line during his next youtube video 20260702154826879	Yes	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0x268d5f…
07-23 05:20:36	will mrbeast say hottest during his next youtube video 20260702154826885	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x4e85ff…
07-23 05:10:39	will mrbeast say red line during his next youtube video 20260702154826879	Yes	BUY	51	7¢	$4	0x32c8f9…
07-23 05:07:01	will dow say infrastructure during earnings call 20260717163814093	No	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x5da35d…
07-23 05:02:31	will mrbeast say chandler during his next youtube video 20260702154826874	Yes	BUY	52	18¢	$9	0x02ee20…
07-23 04:56:18	will jon bernthal or tom holland say ice cream on hot ones 20260721145535516	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc15b01…
07-23 04:56:00	will jon bernthal or tom holland say wedding on hot ones 20260721145535506	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3573ac…
07-23 04:55:58	will intel say lab during earnings call 20260717163650081	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xd17732…
07-23 04:55:58	will intel say data center 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650074	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x434b59…
07-23 04:53:51	will mrbeast say america during his next youtube video 20260702154826887	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0x34af50…
07-23 04:51:12	will dow say win during earnings call 20260717163814097	No	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x8c7191…
07-23 04:50:51	will dow say win during earnings call 20260717163814097	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0xd1373f…
07-23 04:49:09	will dow say win during earnings call 20260717163814097	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcacc02…
07-23 04:49:09	will dow say win during earnings call 20260717163814097	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x17eeeb…
07-23 04:48:48	will dow say win during earnings call 20260717163814097	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf3678c…
07-23 04:48:42	will dow say win during earnings call 20260717163814097	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6513c5…
07-23 04:48:27	will dow say win during earnings call 20260717163814097	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x934c9a…
07-23 04:47:51	will dow say win during earnings call 20260717163814097	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x06efef…
07-23 04:41:34	will jon bernthal or tom holland say ice cream on hot ones 20260721145535516	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x006337…
07-23 04:41:33	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x19bc24…
07-23 04:41:33	will intel say lab during earnings call 20260717163650081	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x0bc916…
07-23 04:27:13	will intel say government during earnings call 20260717163650079	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x35cd79…
07-23 04:26:36	will intel say government during earnings call 20260717163650079	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xb18fb5…
07-23 04:05:51	will dow say iran during earnings call 20260717163814089	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x129120…
07-23 04:05:22	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xa3c24c…