Direct-Spec — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-12 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 67% +$20

Other

3% 0% $-30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$249	210	210	+0	open	—	05-02 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$246	190	190	+0	open	—	05-02 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$170	115	94	+21	open	—	05-02 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$100	197	0	+197	open	—	05-02 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$100	121	70	+51	open	—	05-02 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$78	84	59	+25	open	—	05-02 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$59	44	44	+0	open	—	05-02 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$57	538	38	+500	open	—	05-02 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$56	37	37	+0	Down	+$8	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$56	240	240	+0	open	—	05-02 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$43	28	28	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 04:52
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	1	$30	529	0	+529	Yes	$-30	05-06 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	open	—	05-02 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$25	216	0	+216	open	—	05-02 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	05-02 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$5	39	0	+39	open	—	05-02 13:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$4	667	0	+667	open	—	05-12 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-06 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 12:24:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$4	0xb411c6…
05-06 05:01:24	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	529	6¢	$30	0x86d976…
05-06 04:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	86¢	$32	0xedf2ef…
05-06 04:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	65¢	$24	0xd387a6…
05-06 04:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x475027…
05-06 04:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd91d56…
05-06 04:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xae9c4e…
05-02 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x319719…
05-02 13:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0xa58efb…
05-02 13:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xda6973…
05-02 13:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xf11114…
05-02 13:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xfd91fe…
05-02 13:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x588e8c…
05-02 13:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	38	67¢	$25	0x8c44e2…
05-02 13:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	71¢	$27	0x77c672…
05-02 12:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xd6da6e…
05-02 12:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd3ff3c…
05-02 12:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	70	78¢	$55	0x7832ac…
05-02 12:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xc219cc…
05-02 12:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x0c3951…
05-02 12:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	59	74¢	$44	0xea7dde…
05-02 12:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x5528c3…
05-02 12:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x1d23c1…
05-02 12:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	101	2¢	$2	0x257465…
05-02 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	101	6¢	$6	0x5fca53…
05-02 12:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	139	9¢	$13	0xd1604d…
05-02 12:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x85585c…
05-02 12:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xe8e8ec…
05-02 12:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xdc8eb9…
05-02 12:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	94	95¢	$89	0xa019ec…
05-02 12:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	94	85¢	$80	0x11300f…
05-02 12:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x13b57d…
05-02 12:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	190	77¢	$146	0xf75981…
05-02 12:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xf64b1f…
05-02 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	56	31¢	$17	0xa5208e…
05-02 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xeb4c06…
05-02 12:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	155	82¢	$127	0x7175f8…
05-02 12:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	155	65¢	$100	0x05d0e7…