Watchful-Basics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,017

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-26 02:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1776656700	2	$57	44	43	+2	open	—	04-20 03:53
eth updown 15m 1776675600	6	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	04-20 09:06
sol updown 15m 1776642300	2	$40	29	28	+1	open	—	04-19 23:59
btc updown 15m 1776656700	2	$37	27	26	+1	open	—	04-20 03:54
btc updown 15m 1776492000	3	$36	26	25	+1	open	—	04-18 06:11
btc updown 15m 1776516300	3	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	04-18 12:55
btc updown 15m 1776659400	1	$33	97	0	+97	open	—	04-20 04:33
btc updown 15m 1776652200	6	$31	22	21	+1	open	—	04-20 02:44
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$30	24	23	+1	open	—	05-23 12:26
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$30	23	22	+1	open	—	05-25 06:20
sol updown 15m 1776718800	2	$29	21	20	+1	open	—	04-20 21:06
btc updown 15m 1776654900	2	$27	21	21	+1	open	—	04-20 03:27
btc updown 15m 1776306600	2	$27	21	20	+1	open	—	04-16 02:36
sol updown 15m 1776654000	1	$24	59	0	+59	open	—	04-20 03:00
btc updown 15m 1776730500	3	$24	33	32	+1	open	—	04-21 00:27
xrp updown 15m 1776768300	2	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	04-21 10:50
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$23	19	18	+1	open	—	05-23 12:21
btc updown 15m 1776690000	2	$23	37	36	+1	open	—	04-20 13:07
btc updown 15m 1776675600	2	$23	16	15	+1	open	—	04-20 09:06
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$23	18	17	+1	open	—	05-24 15:54
eth updown 15m 1776730500	2	$23	31	30	+1	open	—	04-21 00:25
sol updown 15m 1776608100	2	$22	15	14	+0	open	—	04-19 14:23
xrp updown 15m 1776943800	4	$22	18	18	+1	open	—	04-23 11:38
eth updown 15m 1776547800	1	$21	62	0	+62	open	—	04-18 21:31
btc updown 15m 1776604500	3	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-19 13:19
btc updown 15m 1776672900	2	$19	14	13	+0	open	—	04-20 08:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$19	42	0	+42	open	—	05-26 02:15
sol updown 15m 1776742200	6	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	04-21 03:32
btc updown 15m 1776321000	3	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-16 06:43
btc updown 15m 1776316500	3	$17	12	11	+0	open	—	04-16 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 02:15:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	44¢	$19	0x0fe24b…
05-25 12:24:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x9fe6c4…
05-25 12:17:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xf63ead…
05-25 10:43:23	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0xc97dbd…
05-25 10:33:18	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x3fcaf3…
05-25 08:25:05	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x2b07ba…
05-25 07:18:29	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x4d25dd…
05-25 07:16:50	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x60d0fd…
05-25 06:20:46	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x5a615b…
05-25 06:15:21	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x3a865f…
05-25 01:10:58	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xb6894f…
05-25 01:00:49	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xbc41d2…
05-25 00:56:30	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0xef4d38…
05-25 00:56:19	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xbab85e…
05-25 00:56:17	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x04e0d6…
05-25 00:56:03	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x8a9627…
05-25 00:55:58	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x90ec96…
05-24 16:03:30	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x12488c…
05-24 15:54:19	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	80¢	$13	0x2963ae…
05-24 15:52:20	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0x9e73bf…
05-23 20:30:46	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x8d0cf6…
05-23 19:53:12	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x414bcf…
05-23 19:53:10	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	26¢	$10	0xd99a41…
05-23 12:26:01	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	80¢	$19	0x03e3b6…
05-23 12:21:47	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	80¢	$14	0xba20fc…
05-23 12:18:16	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x7dfea5…
05-23 12:15:24	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x3e9670…
05-23 09:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x6df6fd…
05-07 23:30:21	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x82d674…
05-06 23:58:13	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xbb85f8…
05-06 23:48:17	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfc14a3…
05-05 19:15:40	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xad9ea6…
05-05 19:05:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcd0cf0…
05-05 18:03:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xed1da8…
05-05 12:11:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x5e154d…
05-05 12:11:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x9b239f…
05-05 12:00:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x3b041a…
05-05 10:33:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x3e51e6…
05-05 08:13:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x0f696f…
05-05 08:09:14	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x30f031…
05-04 12:58:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xd71754…
05-04 12:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x284196…
05-04 09:21:08	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x23651d…
04-25 22:07:40	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd78131…
04-25 22:07:40	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x570800…
04-25 22:05:28	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x157521…
04-25 22:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xa558d8…
04-25 22:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xb64e08…
04-25 22:02:34	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x825787…
04-25 21:59:10	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xd2d234…
04-25 21:55:48	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xc17fc5…
04-25 21:55:40	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x2c1275…
04-25 21:54:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xbedecf…
04-25 21:50:44	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf2ca8b…
04-25 15:45:38	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x6ed474…
04-25 15:33:20	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0x277e3a…
04-25 15:25:16	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x196baa…
04-25 15:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x605a28…
04-25 15:21:42	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xabb14b…
04-25 15:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$3	0xe8bff9…
04-25 15:15:38	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xde9bbb…
04-25 15:15:38	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x400b72…
04-25 14:47:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xc295d4…
04-25 14:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x1fb024…
04-25 14:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x124066…
04-25 14:39:36	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x2c6ac1…
04-25 14:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x2c77dc…
04-25 14:30:38	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x068547…
04-25 14:30:36	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x09d3d5…
04-25 14:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xce1c74…
04-25 14:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa46067…
04-25 13:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xc080d0…
04-25 13:22:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc25f4c…
04-25 12:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xa8f8f8…
04-25 12:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1ebaad…
04-25 12:28:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x7242a5…
04-25 12:27:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9f8f4c…
04-25 11:51:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xc7f259…
04-25 11:51:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x8972c5…
04-25 11:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xed8b6f…
04-25 11:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdcd711…
04-25 11:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x398bca…
04-25 09:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x644382…
04-25 09:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x80fd17…
04-25 08:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x6f563c…
04-25 08:33:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x78152d…
04-25 08:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x440dce…
04-25 08:19:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xe854b9…
04-25 06:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe9080f…
04-25 06:45:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbe6a9b…
04-25 05:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xb6108d…
04-25 05:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1ca95c…
04-25 02:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe51e1c…
04-25 02:27:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xd53343…
04-25 02:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x992e00…
04-25 02:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x0f6129…
04-25 02:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe084a0…
04-25 02:03:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x955562…
04-24 23:39:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x7f9c74…
04-24 23:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb5598e…