Interesting-Parole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$743

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.6%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-07 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

68% 11% $-743

Politics

23% — —

Other

8% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	3	$2.6K	3,335	3,335	+0	open	—	03-18 13:01
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$868	577	569	+8	open	—	04-25 05:21
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$665	465	465	+0	open	—	05-18 04:49
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$654	455	455	+0	open	—	05-03 03:00
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$634	435	435	+0	open	—	04-29 01:27
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	3	$592	513	513	+0	open	—	05-20 02:31
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$500	1,136	0	+1,136	open	—	05-24 00:03
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	2	$423	0	988	-988	open	—	05-31 02:44
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 4pt5	2	$405	584	584	+0	open	—	06-06 02:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	4	$400	1,743	0	+1,743	open	—	04-11 02:02
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$354	600	600	+0	Cavaliers	$-246	05-12 01:48
nba por sas 2026 04 21	2	$343	289	284	+5	open	—	04-22 02:37
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$327	909	909	+0	open	—	05-21 02:57
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	1	$300	698	0	+698	open	—	05-28 14:50
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	1	$300	492	0	+492	open	—	05-15 23:35
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$277	227	227	+0	open	—	05-01 04:27
will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$251	614	614	+0	open	—	03-25 00:58
will iran strike uae again in march	2	$247	370	370	+0	open	—	04-04 23:13
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	1	$200	316	0	+316	open	—	04-09 06:29
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$200	400	0	+400	open	—	05-04 00:23
nba lal dal 2026 04 05	1	$200	328	0	+328	open	—	04-04 23:26
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	1	$200	526	0	+526	open	—	05-25 23:49
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	1	$200	488	0	+488	open	—	05-24 23:03
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	1	$200	370	0	+370	open	—	05-02 02:12
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$200	606	0	+606	open	—	05-18 04:52
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 7pt5	1	$200	323	0	+323	open	—	06-04 01:16
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	1	$200	351	0	+351	Spurs	+$151	05-09 02:47
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	1	$200	565	0	+565	open	—	05-26 01:47
btc updown 5m 1774663200	2	$176	370	366	+4	open	—	03-28 02:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$164	158	158	+0	open	—	04-22 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:48:33	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06	New York Yankees	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0x9c2096…
06-06 02:44:51	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	SELL	584	9¢	$55	0xc009d5…
06-06 00:18:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 4pt5	Spurs	BUY	584	60¢	$351	0xb19c8a…
06-04 01:16:00	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 7pt5	Spurs	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0x583ec2…
05-31 02:44:17	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Spurs	SELL	61	48¢	$29	0xcdaec9…
05-31 02:43:56	Spread: Spurs (-6.5)	Spurs	SELL	927	43¢	$394	0xb8fff7…
05-28 14:50:42	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0xbf8c32…
05-28 14:47:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x3918f2…
05-26 01:47:30	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	565	35¢	$200	0x59a1ae…
05-25 23:49:52	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x28a1b4…
05-24 23:03:35	Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	Spurs	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0x13d1cd…
05-24 00:03:59	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0xfeee52…
05-21 02:57:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	909	3¢	$27	0xd40deb…
05-20 02:31:52	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	SELL	513	76¢	$392	0xf408cc…
05-20 00:18:30	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xe9294e…
05-20 00:18:09	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x653413…
05-19 14:56:39	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	909	33¢	$300	0xff0dc0…
05-18 04:52:13	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x211bbb…
05-18 04:49:53	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	465	100¢	$465	0xc5d310…
05-18 00:17:42	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xdd4a93…
05-16 06:19:01	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xbcd7f9…
05-15 23:35:12	Spread: Spurs (-3.5)	Spurs	BUY	492	61¢	$300	0xf967da…
05-12 01:48:41	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	600	9¢	$54	0x1932f3…
05-12 00:59:57	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x82871c…
05-11 01:10:49	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x17fbcf…
05-10 02:40:45	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	323	1¢	$3	0xc3adba…
05-10 01:45:08	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xff525d…
05-09 02:47:11	Spread: Spurs (-4.5)	Spurs	BUY	351	57¢	$200	0x7a866e…
05-08 02:43:28	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x5db41f…
05-08 01:04:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x62a780…
05-06 23:39:23	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x9fbaf6…
05-06 00:21:48	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xcd112f…
05-04 23:54:00	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x1f4efc…
05-04 00:23:56	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xc211f3…
05-03 03:00:46	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	455	100¢	$454	0x4ef584…
05-03 00:20:16	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x3ae5a3…
05-02 02:12:34	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x11c821…
05-02 01:16:50	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0xa62d9f…
05-02 01:16:32	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xb49cfa…
05-01 04:27:54	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x46abd3…
05-01 01:47:38	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x0b8b6b…
05-01 01:47:16	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x4f21a6…
04-30 09:05:20	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xc1a5e2…
04-30 03:56:26	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x3935b1…
04-30 01:16:58	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xcabe35…
04-29 01:27:00	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	435	100¢	$434	0x93b699…
04-29 01:06:28	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x0fd18f…
04-27 13:28:30	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	Yes	BUY	1,611	1¢	$20	0xd01ba8…
04-27 13:22:50	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x2da6a8…
04-27 13:22:26	Thunder vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xdebed4…
04-27 01:50:26	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x7c719e…
04-26 02:22:36	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x67d543…
04-25 05:21:42	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	SELL	569	100¢	$568	0xe52b47…
04-25 03:03:40	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0x2e8e07…
04-25 01:41:42	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xa00e94…
04-24 02:49:54	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xcfb994…
04-23 01:25:12	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Suns	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x352617…
04-22 02:37:42	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Trail Blazers	SELL	284	82¢	$233	0x40bec4…
04-22 02:32:36	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	76ers	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x2f3434…
04-22 01:42:10	nba por sas 2026 04 21	Trail Blazers	BUY	289	38¢	$110	0x5ddaa6…
04-22 01:02:22	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$36	0x0242d5…
04-22 00:50:46	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	76ers	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x9f61ff…
04-22 00:44:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	158	85¢	$134	0xcc3f4a…
04-21 10:15:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x30d747…
04-21 10:12:26	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	465	4¢	$20	0x22da24…
04-21 05:03:48	nba min den 2026 04 20	Timberwolves	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x35f0d5…
04-19 15:58:38	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x4f9b77…
04-19 03:20:40	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3,298	0¢	$10	0x542bff…
04-19 03:17:02	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Magic	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x90d58f…
04-19 03:16:40	nba phi bos 2026 04 19	76ers	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x454fb7…
04-19 03:09:02	nba hou lal 2026 04 18	Rockets	BUY	1,818	1¢	$20	0x19fb10…
04-12 14:43:43	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	690	3¢	$20	0x4eee4d…
04-11 02:04:11	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	595	3¢	$20	0x6d4dd6…
04-11 02:03:59	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x12fcd3…
04-11 02:02:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	429	23¢	$100	0x008cc9…
04-11 02:02:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x966575…
04-11 02:02:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xa2d573…
04-09 06:29:01	spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	Down	BUY	316	63¢	$200	0x05b089…
04-08 05:16:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	444	23¢	$100	0xa6465a…
04-04 23:31:45	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3,298	0¢	$10	0x015372…
04-04 23:28:41	nba det phi 2026 04 04	76ers	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xae6b2b…
04-04 23:27:07	nba phi sas 2026 04 06	Spurs	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x8c8a2c…
04-04 23:26:51	nba lal dal 2026 04 05	Lakers	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x125004…
04-04 23:17:13	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x156596…
04-04 23:13:07	will iran strike uae again in march	No	SELL	370	40¢	$147	0x2598c1…
04-01 08:12:31	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	640	16¢	$100	0xd6c069…
03-30 04:40:34	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x8a263b…
03-30 04:40:02	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x81fe6c…
03-28 02:04:15	btc updown 5m 1774663200	Down	SELL	366	21¢	$76	0x6fc7ce…
03-28 02:02:11	btc updown 5m 1774663200	Down	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xe58d1d…
03-25 00:59:27	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	365	14¢	$50	0xa3f199…
03-25 00:58:45	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	614	8¢	$51	0x62653e…
03-22 09:43:45	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	1,447	7¢	$100	0xd9d8c5…
03-21 09:24:13	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	614	33¢	$200	0x969424…
03-18 13:01:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	800	58¢	$464	0x4f2315…
03-17 01:30:19	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	2,535	65¢	$1,648	0xd3e20f…
03-16 13:44:01	btc updown 5m 1773668400	Up	BUY	287	27¢	$76	0xc5b73b…
03-16 13:23:37	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	538	19¢	$100	0x3aca13…
03-10 23:12:37	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x592a66…
03-09 23:04:51	will trump say million or billion or trillion 20 times during miami address	Yes	BUY	3,670	3¢	$100	0x200ee3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	59	$623.5K	3,681	06-09 09:47
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	55	$124.4K	1,456	06-10 00:35
Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef	50	$124.8K	1,380	06-05 02:07
Sophisticated-Bicycle 0xcf73…0215	50	$99.8K	1,453	06-06 00:25
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	49	$947.4K	3,691	06-06 02:48
Hospitable-Dame 0x2d6a…8add	49	$85.3K	1,175	06-06 00:24
Next-Exception 0x3e6d…2671	49	$4.70K	552	06-06 19:02
Glaring-Salt 0xfe78…0319	48	$3.59M	10,420	06-06 23:46