Optimistic-Shallows — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$64

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-14 10:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 67% $-1

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-14 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	$-2	05-13 20:11
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$2	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-14 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-14 08:11
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 21:31
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 13:01
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 20:41
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 15:06
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 17:51
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-30 02:01
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 15:06
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 20:16
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-30 00:36
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 17:31
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-30 00:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 17:31
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-30 07:06
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 17:01
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-30 07:06
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-29 23:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-30 02:21
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-30 01:36
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 18:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-30 07:36
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 19:31
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 17:01
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 20:36
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-29 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x70b79c…
05-14 08:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x95902f…
05-14 03:21:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x1db73a…
05-13 20:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x276099…
05-13 20:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4442bf…
04-30 07:36:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0514a6…
04-30 07:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x06f659…
04-30 07:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xad520f…
04-30 07:06:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3ac077…
04-30 07:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe7e49b…
04-30 07:06:00	BNB Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb9637f…
04-30 02:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x072290…
04-30 02:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x074749…
04-30 02:01:06	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xdee394…
04-30 01:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x53fdbb…
04-30 01:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x244bf1…
04-30 00:46:08	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9f9faa…
04-30 00:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6917f3…
04-30 00:36:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd8fe8d…
04-30 00:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa3787e…
04-30 00:31:18	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2b10d5…
04-30 00:31:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd5545f…
04-30 00:26:06	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3f9fca…
04-29 23:26:08	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x34ec06…
04-29 23:26:06	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3fed08…
04-29 15:46:06	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc328cc…
04-29 15:31:18	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf369d6…
04-29 15:11:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x037eab…
04-27 21:57:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc443ed…
04-27 21:31:04	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x946cfe…
04-27 21:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf81ccd…
04-27 20:41:04	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x753bbb…
04-27 20:36:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa4d626…
04-27 20:16:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6ddfc9…
04-27 19:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4dbf38…
04-27 19:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0dc6db…
04-27 19:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x78851e…
04-27 19:01:04	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x30b7ec…
04-27 18:26:10	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x12f41d…
04-27 18:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x1df252…
04-27 18:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa3c0e6…
04-27 18:26:00	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5c37db…
04-27 18:11:04	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7fbf05…
04-27 17:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe599d6…
04-27 17:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x164645…
04-27 17:31:06	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2cd312…
04-27 17:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1482cd…
04-27 17:26:06	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe24a09…
04-27 17:01:08	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x481952…
04-27 17:01:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe26da0…
04-27 15:06:06	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4d81c0…
04-27 15:06:02	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x95e6bf…
04-27 13:01:04	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x57c51b…
04-26 14:46:04	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xea7802…
04-26 14:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1e93b6…
04-22 13:32:18	btc updown 5m 1776864600	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x87cf41…