Variable-Bid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$299

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$8.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-31 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% +$299

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776317700	9	$230	400	+400	open	—	04-16 05:37
btc updown 5m 1776288300	9	$172	200	+200	open	—	04-15 21:28
btc updown 5m 1776315900	7	$155	300	+300	open	—	04-16 05:06
btc updown 5m 1776291300	15	$152	300	+300	open	—	04-15 22:15
btc updown 5m 1776317400	10	$145	300	+300	open	—	04-16 05:31
btc updown 5m 1785516000	1	$144	400	+400	open	—	07-31 16:40
btc updown 5m 1776291900	9	$134	300	+300	open	—	04-15 22:28
btc updown 5m 1776317100	4	$127	300	+300	open	—	04-16 05:26
btc updown 5m 1776289800	4	$125	300	+300	open	—	04-15 21:50
btc updown 5m 1776318900	2	$98	200	+200	open	—	04-16 05:54
btc updown 5m 1776320100	1	$98	200	+200	open	—	04-16 06:11
btc updown 5m 1776318600	5	$98	200	+200	open	—	04-16 05:50
btc updown 5m 1776320400	2	$98	200	+200	open	—	04-16 06:19
btc updown 5m 1776319200	4	$98	200	+200	open	—	04-16 05:59
btc updown 5m 1776292200	1	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-15 22:30
btc updown 5m 1776319800	1	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 06:09
btc updown 5m 1776324000	1	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 07:20
btc updown 5m 1776321600	3	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 06:38
btc updown 5m 1776326100	5	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 07:50
btc updown 5m 1776290700	1	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-15 22:04
btc updown 5m 1776324900	1	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 07:31
btc updown 5m 1776323400	2	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 07:07
btc updown 5m 1776325200	1	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 07:39
btc updown 5m 1776290100	1	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-15 21:51
btc updown 5m 1776318000	1	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 05:40
btc updown 5m 1776321000	3	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 06:29
btc updown 5m 1776324300	2	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 07:25
btc updown 5m 1776316500	6	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 05:16
btc updown 5m 1776316200	4	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 05:10
btc updown 5m 1776322500	7	$96	200	+200	open	—	04-16 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 17:18:51	btc updown 5m 1785518400	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xa6d957…
07-31 17:16:56	btc updown 5m 1785518100	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x5d767a…
07-31 16:58:29	btc updown 5m 1785516900	Down	BUY	400	8¢	$34	0xd800da…
07-31 16:40:50	btc updown 5m 1785516000	Down	BUY	400	36¢	$144	0x4cf0cc…
07-31 15:21:35	btc updown 5m 1785511800	Up	BUY	148	51¢	$75	0xad28a4…
07-31 15:21:09	btc updown 5m 1785511500	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x47170b…
07-09 18:39:34	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x2335a8…
05-07 08:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	68	34¢	$23	0xcad356…
05-07 08:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xa2c95c…
05-07 08:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x221959…
05-06 03:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7ca7c4…
05-06 03:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	48	49¢	$23	0x585954…
05-06 03:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x57709c…
05-06 03:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x426d56…
05-06 03:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x088fb5…
05-06 03:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	78	44¢	$34	0x557e51…
05-05 21:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x29ed61…
05-05 21:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x96ad62…
05-05 21:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x80fbae…
05-05 21:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xd29c57…
05-05 21:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x94b24e…
05-05 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0xfa1402…
05-05 21:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x39523c…
05-05 21:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3a72a3…
05-05 21:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	34	49¢	$16	0x9f65b9…
05-05 21:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x2f9c07…
05-05 21:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc433d9…
05-05 21:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x274b23…
05-05 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf30106…
05-05 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x729ce8…
05-05 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x31442d…
05-05 21:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c8b75…
05-05 21:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa3728f…
05-05 21:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb3c48c…
05-05 21:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc88031…
05-05 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x3aac4e…
05-05 21:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xf9d979…
05-05 21:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xa53942…
05-05 21:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbc9153…
05-05 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xe0af8d…
05-05 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe0323f…
05-05 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xdde7fe…
05-05 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x807c5b…
05-05 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x648136…
05-05 21:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x552f48…
05-05 21:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xd0bb8b…
05-05 21:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xfdc934…
05-05 21:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3c4bd1…
05-05 21:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x530504…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	86	49¢	$42	0xccd2a8…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x311e5a…
05-05 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x847e6d…
05-05 20:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0xefffbc…
05-05 20:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb0b913…
05-05 20:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0xcba177…
05-05 20:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xcfe8c6…
05-05 20:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd5d4b3…
05-05 20:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xe29380…
05-05 20:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f48c0…
05-05 20:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	49¢	$35	0x815f6f…
05-05 20:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xde2d7b…
05-05 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x786bfb…
05-05 20:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	49¢	$9	0x15e658…
05-05 20:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x9dd341…
05-05 20:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x1704bf…
05-05 20:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x7e651f…
05-05 20:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	64	49¢	$31	0xf047b4…
05-05 20:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6e1a64…
05-05 20:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbdf0b6…
05-05 20:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4ae2f5…
05-05 20:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa332d7…
05-05 20:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xd06bf5…
05-05 20:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	89	49¢	$44	0x8cc4fa…
05-05 20:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x2d5a6e…
05-05 20:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x50accb…
05-05 20:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$11	0x21c6d6…
05-05 20:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x61396c…
05-05 20:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x031d5d…
05-05 20:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x8dd45b…
05-05 20:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x65995f…
05-05 20:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xddeb56…
05-05 20:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x60ec4c…
05-05 20:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9bc2d2…
05-05 20:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0xb64ff0…
05-05 20:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	49¢	$18	0x7685f9…
05-05 20:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	49¢	$31	0x1c97f7…
05-05 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0xeca28a…
05-05 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xb231cf…
05-05 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x78d60c…
05-05 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x14dafc…
05-05 20:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x001614…
05-05 20:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	78	49¢	$38	0xd198a2…
05-05 20:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x39b868…
05-05 20:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xec829d…
05-05 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x81b98c…
05-05 19:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0xd70275…
05-05 19:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x66da79…
05-05 19:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd0d1f…
05-05 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x00e37c…
05-05 19:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xca4fd2…