Steep-Vaccine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$216

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-21 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% 25% $-1

Sports

39% — —

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$1.1K	567	567	+0	open	—	03-17 05:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$1.1K	564	564	+0	open	—	03-01 22:05
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.1K	530	530	+0	open	—	03-04 18:36
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.0K	524	524	+0	open	—	04-05 02:29
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$634	317	317	+0	open	—	02-10 10:45
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$614	307	307	+0	open	—	02-28 07:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$594	297	297	+0	open	—	03-14 13:49
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$592	297	297	+0	No	$-0	03-15 08:42
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$592	296	296	+0	open	—	03-20 10:17
Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$586	293	293	+0	open	—	03-12 08:30
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$568	284	284	+0	open	—	02-11 12:42
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$564	282	282	+0	open	—	02-09 22:56
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$562	281	281	+0	open	—	03-29 12:58
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$554	277	277	+0	open	—	02-12 07:16
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$542	272	272	+0	open	—	03-05 17:38
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$540	270	270	+0	open	—	04-07 11:52
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$522	261	261	+0	open	—	02-14 23:24
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$522	262	262	+0	open	—	03-29 21:41
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$520	261	261	+0	open	—	03-18 00:33
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$508	255	255	+0	No	$-0	03-30 06:15
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$508	255	255	+0	open	—	04-21 14:27
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$504	253	252	+0	open	—	04-05 22:15
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$474	237	237	+0	open	—	02-24 11:55
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$472	236	236	+0	open	—	03-28 23:19
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	02-13 23:09
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$458	229	229	+0	open	—	03-11 19:49
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$446	223	223	+0	open	—	03-06 05:18
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$436	218	218	+0	No	$-0	04-15 04:25
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$432	217	217	+0	open	—	03-16 22:57
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$424	212	212	+0	open	—	04-17 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 14:27:20	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x5e9209…
04-21 10:18:10	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x8a3419…
04-20 17:20:30	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x4e3b56…
04-20 03:25:22	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x38bd71…
04-19 14:41:06	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x570244…
04-18 22:02:40	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$174	0x672c81…
04-18 18:12:28	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$174	0xc38af7…
04-17 16:19:28	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0x30d2c7…
04-17 12:55:10	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0xdef3a4…
04-15 22:58:24	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x323b7d…
04-15 19:37:04	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x9fcee7…
04-15 04:25:18	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0xbeaa30…
04-14 22:17:48	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0x046ac1…
04-12 07:25:03	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xa2af96…
04-12 04:57:13	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xc322b3…
04-07 11:52:11	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0xf7102a…
04-07 06:48:45	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x220f4e…
04-05 22:15:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$252	0x9e9264…
04-05 16:57:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x4a3d03…
04-05 02:29:03	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0x608783…
04-04 19:29:27	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xae9d60…
04-01 03:27:09	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe9550b…
03-31 12:16:39	will silver si hit high 95 by end of march	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x3acf89…
03-30 18:50:31	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x71c68b…
03-30 06:15:18	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$254	0x50c854…
03-30 02:01:28	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$254	0x40c729…
03-29 21:41:24	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	262	100¢	$261	0x70d125…
03-29 17:17:44	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	262	100¢	$261	0x817602…
03-29 12:58:52	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0x1d99bf…
03-29 08:42:22	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0xe2575d…
03-29 04:27:30	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$252	0x849a76…
03-28 23:19:42	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x1661d4…
03-28 23:19:24	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0x5160d2…
03-28 19:01:08	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x7fb480…
03-20 10:17:51	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	296	100¢	$296	0x24b8ea…
03-19 21:08:29	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0x256ac1…
03-18 00:33:17	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	261	100¢	$260	0x71f6d7…
03-17 18:11:47	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x43307b…
03-17 05:23:33	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	259	100¢	$258	0x20b6dc…
03-16 22:57:29	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0x359df8…
03-16 22:57:11	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$216	0x7b085f…
03-16 16:29:19	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0x3bb311…
03-15 08:42:27	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$296	0x9e2efe…
03-15 02:23:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0xaa98bb…
03-14 13:49:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	297	100¢	$297	0xfdef36…
03-14 07:34:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$297	0xeb2e77…
03-14 01:21:21	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	309	100¢	$308	0x3cb807…
03-13 19:09:37	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	309	100¢	$308	0x757e76…
03-12 08:30:53	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$293	0xc081ab…
03-12 02:17:57	Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$293	0x2a15ec…
03-11 19:49:09	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x42fb84…
03-11 13:46:41	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x2dae24…
03-08 21:17:55	will bitcoin reach 73500 on march 8	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x382f4f…
03-07 11:31:35	bitcoin above 74k on march 7	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xcb16d1…
03-06 05:18:09	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0x7ae1df…
03-05 21:47:35	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0xc30eda…
03-05 17:38:17	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x29ca83…
03-05 17:38:01	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0xa97389…
03-05 10:21:33	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0x4cb710…
03-04 18:36:05	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x3d9b5d…
03-04 11:41:19	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x8f3e0a…
03-03 22:49:27	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x0d22b7…
03-03 13:40:49	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	31	21¢	$6	0x6873dd…
03-03 13:40:19	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x6b722e…
03-03 13:39:49	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0x9dc347…
03-03 13:39:27	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	309	100¢	$309	0x6eacb8…
03-02 23:15:23	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0xe800dd…
03-02 12:17:09	nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	Warriors	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0xee35c9…
03-02 12:16:35	nba den uta 2026 03 02	Jazz	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x32bbb7…
03-01 22:05:53	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	232	100¢	$231	0x0f8ec5…
03-01 18:03:25	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0xbc8fe9…
02-28 07:58:05	ethereum above 2100 on february 28	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe20bb6…
02-28 07:57:49	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	307	100¢	$307	0x141bf2…
02-27 22:54:19	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0x09578a…
02-26 13:32:28	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcee32f…
02-25 09:41:28	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$264	0x0e4430…
02-24 21:34:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	332	100¢	$332	0x3e8f5f…
02-24 11:55:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	332	100¢	$332	0xd82a97…
02-24 11:55:14	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0xaa271e…
02-22 17:12:14	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x4f6b32…
02-14 23:24:43	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0xc123e3…
02-14 10:17:01	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0x3022e6…
02-13 23:09:01	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xcd4d98…
02-13 05:20:27	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x28ceba…
02-12 07:16:03	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	277	100¢	$277	0x7426c7…
02-12 02:30:01	Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$277	0x7d6248…
02-11 12:42:55	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	284	100¢	$284	0x910594…
02-10 20:53:05	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x6f7a4f…
02-10 10:45:51	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	317	100¢	$317	0xe91486…
02-10 06:42:05	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	317	100¢	$317	0x540753…
02-09 22:56:31	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0x7f8ae6…
02-09 21:03:51	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0x8f72b5…
02-09 07:37:21	nba atl min 2026 02 09	Timberwolves	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x55364e…