Steel-Mattock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$383

Open exposure

$641

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-08 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 0% $-30

Politics

35% — —

Crypto

8% 100% +$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+678	$640	95¢	$641	+$1	06-08 16:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$1.5K	845	845	+0	open	—	03-27 12:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$862	471	471	+0	open	—	05-11 21:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$640	678	0	+678	open	—	06-08 16:47
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	3	$612	422	422	+0	open	—	03-16 18:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$500	610	0	+610	open	—	05-11 13:51
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$400	438	0	+438	Yes	+$38	05-04 23:02
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$380	585	0	+585	open	—	03-23 02:02
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	1	$30	491	0	+491	Yes	$-30	05-06 14:57
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-25 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 16:47:00	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	678	94¢	$640	0x914195…
05-11 21:21:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	471	98¢	$462	0x99ab35…
05-11 13:51:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x03d437…
05-06 14:57:46	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	491	6¢	$30	0x42fa17…
05-06 14:53:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	471	85¢	$400	0x943be5…
05-04 23:02:38	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	438	91¢	$400	0x35b204…
03-27 12:52:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	845	99¢	$839	0x93e718…
03-25 21:05:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x829bbe…
03-23 02:02:47	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	585	65¢	$380	0x513641…
03-16 18:38:43	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	SELL	422	76¢	$321	0x858c16…
03-11 22:32:21	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	359	70¢	$250	0xe8f9fe…
03-11 22:31:43	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	63	66¢	$41	0x9ceba4…
03-05 03:49:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	845	84¢	$710	0x1c50c5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	8	$7.02M	10,028	06-04 03:36
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	8	$5.95K	495	05-29 22:06
Natural-Vacation 0xa8c6…44e8	7	$252.6K	853	06-02 10:03
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	7	$145.1K	2,362	06-01 00:34
Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c	7	$68.2K	903	05-29 17:08
Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b	7	$19.9K	341	05-06 19:40
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	7	$16.1K	263	06-05 19:54
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	7	$12.6K	349	06-02 21:44