United-Credential — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

230

Trades

860

lifetime

Volume

$6.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-14 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 64% $-82

Politics

15% 75% +$31

Other

9% 77% +$6

Sports

5% 86% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 280 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	21	$833	791	751	+40	Yes	+$30	05-08 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	8	$237	160	120	+40	Up	+$41	05-12 21:44
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	8	$236	180	180	+0	open	—	05-11 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	15	$185	120	120	+0	Down	+$30	05-09 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	7	$163	110	110	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 05:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$101	70	70	+0	open	—	05-07 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	6	$90	200	0	+200	Up	+$10	05-12 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	7	$82	70	70	+0	Down	+$15	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$82	60	30	+30	Up	$-23	05-06 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	7	$81	60	60	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 19:09
76ers vs. Knicks	4	$76	50	40	+10	Knicks	+$7	05-07 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	9	$76	90	90	+0	Up	+$13	05-09 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	8	$76	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	05-09 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$75	155	0	+155	Down	+$10	05-12 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$75	110	50	+60	Up	+$9	05-05 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	10	$71	140	0	+140	Down	$-1	05-09 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	7	$64	40	40	+0	Down	+$9	05-09 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	8	$60	80	50	+30	Down	$-10	05-09 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	8	$60	65	20	+45	Down	+$6	05-07 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$57	90	0	+90	Down	$-57	05-12 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$57	40	30	+10	Up	+$2	05-09 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$53	50	50	+0	Up	+$32	05-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$53	30	30	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 22:19
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	16	$51	100	100	+0	Cavaliers	+$12	05-09 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	6	$50	40	35	+5	Up	+$5	05-09 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$49	70	55	+15	Down	+$1	05-09 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	7	$44	80	20	+60	Up	+$7	05-05 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	7	$44	60	40	+20	Up	+$4	05-09 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	12	$43	100	0	+100	Up	$-3	05-12 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	7	$43	25	25	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:39:01	Will Trump post "Brazil" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xafe2db…
05-14 08:53:50	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x0e1479…
05-14 04:37:13	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x769fab…
05-14 03:22:40	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x0361a1…
05-14 03:03:06	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4e560a…
05-14 01:17:54	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xa84b2a…
05-14 01:17:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x5723a4…
05-14 00:58:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x59dffe…
05-13 23:52:24	Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x1a8e87…
05-13 20:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa4409c…
05-13 20:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xac96a3…
05-13 20:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x855e7d…
05-13 20:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd14570…
05-13 20:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xc9a6f0…
05-13 10:47:34	Will King Charles say "War" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x4ff922…
05-13 10:47:25	Will King Charles say "Mother" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xdcdd9d…
05-13 10:38:54	Will King Charles's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xde6bb3…
05-13 10:34:58	Will King Charles's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x95e635…
05-12 23:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x8789a4…
05-12 23:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x526ec8…
05-12 23:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xacadac…
05-12 23:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa7e36c…
05-12 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa6d475…
05-12 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8c2e12…
05-12 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x5dd184…
05-12 23:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8bd216…
05-12 23:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbe33c0…
05-12 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfd9c58…
05-12 23:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x701ee5…
05-12 23:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa5086b…
05-12 22:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x58ef0d…
05-12 22:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe5a3ff…
05-12 22:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x0279c2…
05-12 22:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf50512…
05-12 22:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x2b35ca…
05-12 22:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xed43d6…
05-12 22:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8f9d37…
05-12 22:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7f1479…
05-12 22:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x379cfe…
05-12 22:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xa6a7a2…
05-12 22:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x63c0c3…
05-12 22:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe7b76e…
05-12 22:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x19dca9…
05-12 22:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xae93bf…
05-12 22:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x699324…
05-12 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc90e40…
05-12 22:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdc6470…
05-12 22:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xeed37a…
05-12 22:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x04cf33…
05-12 22:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x7efae0…
05-12 22:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcbf90f…
05-12 22:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb6ce79…
05-12 22:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x42f7fd…
05-12 22:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xaf6f73…
05-12 22:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa014ec…
05-12 22:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xeb0df9…
05-12 22:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x500e60…
05-12 22:11:09	Will King Charles say "House / Housing" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2114ff…
05-12 22:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xad85d8…
05-12 22:02:24	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x4d518d…
05-12 22:02:05	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x7dc996…
05-12 22:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xde5201…
05-12 22:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xc18148…
05-12 21:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4a1968…
05-12 21:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x15ec90…
05-12 21:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4edce5…
05-12 21:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x171d27…
05-12 21:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xe10059…
05-12 21:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xffd867…
05-12 21:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x2ac7ca…
05-12 21:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa05dea…
05-12 21:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xfeb9fd…
05-12 21:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x56fd35…
05-12 21:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x30ae24…
05-12 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x193d2e…
05-12 21:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x44e862…
05-12 21:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x6e99b5…
05-12 21:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xfc5afc…
05-12 21:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7ca002…
05-12 21:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x4e551b…
05-12 21:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x008088…
05-12 21:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x441278…
05-12 21:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xff4199…
05-12 21:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x2cc82e…
05-12 21:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x8f48b9…
05-12 21:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xf2198c…
05-12 21:20:05	Will King Charles say "House / Housing" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x122c4f…
05-12 21:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xa2a3ca…
05-12 21:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2a0978…
05-12 21:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x12b5f8…
05-12 20:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x04e7c8…
05-12 20:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x32e0a9…
05-12 20:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbda084…
05-12 20:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe4075e…
05-12 20:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x135661…
05-12 20:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xdb804d…
05-12 20:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	86	45¢	$39	0x1a4c2b…
05-12 20:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x7a5dbc…
05-12 20:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x889041…
05-12 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	45¢	$18	0xff55ad…