Sturdy-Counterforce-Bayou — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$219

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 20:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$23	19	18	+1	Up	+$7	05-12 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	6	$17	27	7	+19	Up	$-7	05-12 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$16	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$14	18	14	+5	Down	$-2	05-12 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	10	$13	15	15	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	10	$13	17	17	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$13	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$13	10	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-12 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$11	12	11	+1	Down	+$2	05-13 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	8	$8	94	20	+74	Down	$-1	05-12 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	5	$6	7	5	+2	Down	+$2	05-13 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$5	9	9	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-12 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 22:58
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	3	$3	5	2	+3	Down	$-1	05-13 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$3	51	1	+50	Down	$-1	05-13 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	3	$3	4	1	+3	Up	$-1	05-13 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-12 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-0	05-12 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-13 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	3	$2	3	2	+1	Up	$-1	05-13 09:59
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 21:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 20:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x5c01c1…
05-13 20:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa0f14b…
05-13 20:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc2b420…
05-13 20:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x65045f…
05-13 20:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xdc4d99…
05-13 20:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x261227…
05-13 20:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x577627…
05-13 20:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1b4ba0…
05-13 20:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x42faf6…
05-13 20:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x383e08…
05-13 20:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x4ab338…
05-13 20:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x386170…
05-13 20:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x50374b…
05-13 20:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x273959…
05-13 20:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3794bd…
05-13 20:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x704117…
05-13 20:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x98b7be…
05-13 19:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd8738a…
05-13 19:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8bccd3…
05-13 10:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2db131…
05-13 10:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x9ab9fc…
05-13 10:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9f8bf6…
05-13 10:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x7e0594…
05-13 10:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x754b65…
05-13 10:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6490ba…
05-13 10:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2b6acf…
05-13 10:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1881cf…
05-13 10:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0a56af…
05-13 10:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x817203…
05-13 10:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xef0474…
05-13 09:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x72d348…
05-13 09:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x05d455…
05-13 09:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x756468…
05-13 09:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x450a34…
05-13 09:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xd46746…
05-13 09:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x34061c…
05-13 09:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x8fb6f4…
05-13 09:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1c077f…
05-13 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8973b3…
05-13 09:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe3815c…
05-13 09:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa15235…
05-12 23:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x446166…
05-12 23:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x033baa…
05-12 23:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xaccaf2…
05-12 23:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x594074…
05-12 23:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x83468e…
05-12 23:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x7b09f3…
05-12 23:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9638a8…
05-12 23:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x925923…
05-12 23:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x29f46d…
05-12 23:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x54315d…
05-12 23:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x853446…
05-12 23:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x71e78e…
05-12 23:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xd0c293…
05-12 23:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7c8a9c…
05-12 23:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x20d08a…
05-12 23:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xae4142…
05-12 23:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2092d6…
05-12 22:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x329c37…
05-12 22:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x8f492d…
05-12 22:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xff10cf…
05-12 22:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xbb7954…
05-12 22:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x939072…
05-12 22:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7f247c…
05-12 22:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x68105d…
05-12 22:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x094d91…
05-12 22:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x54b5a8…
05-12 22:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4f7902…
05-12 22:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc9c9e4…
05-12 22:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x749c84…
05-12 22:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xb66c6c…
05-12 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xdde429…
05-12 22:48:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf6ce7d…
05-12 22:47:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x20c3bf…
05-12 22:46:49	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x82d483…
05-12 22:46:48	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x5c63f3…
05-12 22:46:06	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xca2f60…
05-12 22:45:50	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe69c52…
05-12 22:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfa7703…
05-12 22:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfce47b…
05-12 22:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x69aa9a…
05-12 22:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xa10927…
05-12 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xf5b10b…
05-12 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x99e722…
05-12 21:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd21740…
05-12 21:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x4d032b…
05-12 21:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x440e5c…
05-12 21:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7514fa…
05-12 21:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x94e023…
05-12 21:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x87289b…
05-12 21:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x662fdc…
05-12 21:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0ab2e9…
05-12 21:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf7d21c…
05-12 21:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	58¢	$1	0x19802d…
05-12 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x91642f…
05-12 21:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x68e542…
05-12 21:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7eea8f…
05-12 21:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x53ce3b…
05-12 21:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xc6c24c…
05-12 21:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xb4ca20…