Nippy-Cloudburst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$314

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-14 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

84% 54% +$0

Crypto

11% 50% $-15

Politics

4% 0% $-10

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Avalanche vs. Wild	2	$32	22	22	+0	Wild	+$12	05-10 04:03
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$32	22	22	+0	Canadiens	+$12	05-09 01:51
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$30	20	20	+0	Golden Knights	+$10	05-09 04:26
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$28	19	19	+0	Canadiens	+$9	05-11 02:30
Avalanche vs. Wild	2	$28	18	18	+0	Avalanche	+$8	05-12 03:24
Wild vs. Avalanche	2	$25	15	15	+0	Avalanche	+$5	05-14 04:16
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	05-14 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$15	73	0	+73	Down	$-15	05-13 21:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	$-10	05-09 04:53
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$10	16	0	+16	Golden Knights	+$6	05-12 21:18
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$10	17	0	+17	Sabres	$-10	05-12 21:18
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	1	$10	19	0	+19	Ducks	$-10	05-10 04:13
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$10	56	0	+56	Thunder	$-10	05-11 17:26
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	1	$10	27	0	+27	Hurricanes	$-10	05-08 04:40
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$10	26	0	+26	Cavaliers	$-10	05-09 04:31
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$10	42	0	+42	Thunder	$-10	05-09 04:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2	167	167	+0	open	—	05-14 21:31
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	05-12 03:34
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	143	0	+143	open	—	05-12 03:34
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	05-12 03:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 21:33:06	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x91a296…
05-14 21:32:03	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x813573…
05-14 21:31:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x948846…
05-14 04:16:06	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xeb9e25…
05-13 21:20:43	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7a2bd1…
05-13 21:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x61bdcb…
05-13 21:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1ab8d7…
05-13 21:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x26b5c4…
05-12 21:18:36	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3e3605…
05-12 21:18:25	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x288000…
05-12 03:36:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x5fe17b…
05-12 03:35:00	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x5d9d07…
05-12 03:34:48	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2a77e3…
05-12 03:34:37	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x847db7…
05-12 03:24:39	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf14c52…
05-11 17:26:23	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xeecf1c…
05-11 17:26:04	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xef6b67…
05-11 02:30:58	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xe960d8…
05-10 04:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdb49de…
05-10 04:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdf7870…
05-10 04:13:51	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x11a2ec…
05-10 04:13:44	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x124037…
05-10 04:03:24	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd647bc…
05-09 04:53:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x137613…
05-09 04:31:29	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x99ba97…
05-09 04:30:54	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xb31f08…
05-09 04:26:54	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x676e83…
05-09 01:51:16	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6cfa34…
05-08 04:40:22	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x6f6620…
05-08 04:40:12	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xec96c0…
05-08 04:40:01	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x75edc2…
05-08 04:39:38	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x66596e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	20	$75.9K	996	05-15 01:13
Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8	17	$1.82K	406	05-15 01:22
(anonymous) 0xccc4…77ca	17	$1.55K	331	05-13 04:40
Ironclad-Will 0xc6fa…51e5	16	$5.51K	321	05-15 01:17
Drab-Heaven 0xaff3…6ecc	15	$94.3K	641	05-15 00:43
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	15	$6.87K	216	05-14 22:41
(anonymous) 0x4247…91c4	15	$2.86K	299	05-14 23:43
Private-Horde 0x059d…10e3	15	$1.02K	18	05-14 23:22