Tired-Synod — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$234

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-07 13:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-1

Crypto

27% — —

Politics

22% 100% +$9

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-57	$-2	2¢	$-1	+$1	07-01 15:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	2	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	05-30 13:37
lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	4	$17	36	31	+5	open	—	06-14 11:02
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-01 04:44
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$15	15	15	+0	Yes	+$9	05-04 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-26 09:16
btc updown 5m 1780829400	2	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	06-07 10:52
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	3	$6	83	33	+50	open	—	05-30 15:44
btc updown 5m 1780829100	2	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	06-07 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	2	$5	37	35	+2	open	—	04-27 23:10
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-30 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	05-18 13:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-01 01:27
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	05-30 07:27
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	07-07 13:22
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	03-07 17:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$4	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 07:29
btc updown 5m 1780843200	4	$4	145	0	+145	open	—	06-07 14:43
btc updown 5m 1772201100	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-27 14:10
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	02-08 13:07
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	05-03 11:38
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	03-09 00:49
btc updown 5m 1780822500	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	06-07 08:55
lol shg tsw 2026 02 14 game3	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	02-14 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	1	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	04-26 09:18
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	06-06 12:23
btc updown 5m 1780761600	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	06-06 16:01
btc updown 5m 1771164300	3	$2	3	2	+2	open	—	02-15 14:09
lol jdg wb 2026 03 07	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	03-07 01:56
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	2	$2	130	0	+130	open	—	05-30 16:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$2	0	57	-57	open	—	07-01 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 13:22:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0x7acec5…
07-07 00:27:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x099369…
07-04 09:00:10	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game4 first blood	T1	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x90caab…
07-04 08:28:01	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game3	T1	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xeb0d0d…
07-01 15:39:52	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x064d33…
06-14 11:02:22	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0c13b4…
06-14 10:10:18	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	Gen.G	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xb87f21…
06-14 09:07:55	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	T1	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0xce0fdc…
06-14 07:08:06	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	T1	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x42e6b0…
06-07 14:46:40	btc updown 5m 1780843500	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3838ad…
06-07 14:43:21	btc updown 5m 1780843200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0331cd…
06-07 14:42:04	btc updown 5m 1780843200	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x82b748…
06-07 14:41:39	btc updown 5m 1780843200	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf6eeaa…
06-07 14:41:15	btc updown 5m 1780843200	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4d67a0…
06-07 14:38:55	btc updown 5m 1780842900	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x287285…
06-07 10:52:34	btc updown 5m 1780829400	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x1c2ac4…
06-07 10:51:13	btc updown 5m 1780829400	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x01c298…
06-07 10:49:28	btc updown 5m 1780829100	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xb1910b…
06-07 10:48:45	btc updown 5m 1780829100	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x72fdce…
06-07 09:38:30	btc updown 5m 1780824900	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8d9ee5…
06-07 09:31:06	btc updown 5m 1780824600	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb25013…
06-07 08:55:45	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x60814b…
06-06 16:01:36	btc updown 5m 1780761600	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xf22708…
06-06 16:00:21	btc updown 5m 1780761600	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x393fa2…
06-06 15:57:39	btc updown 5m 1780761300	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa57fff…
06-06 12:47:45	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game4	JD Gaming	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1d638e…
06-06 12:23:46	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	JD Gaming	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x25d0f7…
05-30 16:27:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6ff598…
05-30 16:19:41	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd50e25…
05-30 15:44:20	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x048f97…
05-30 15:37:29	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0x5c7db1…
05-30 15:35:33	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbaaab2…
05-30 13:37:17	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0xe5eb50…
05-30 13:30:42	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8a49ff…
05-30 13:27:29	First Blood in Game 4?	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xba3ccc…
05-30 08:06:43	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd50198…
05-30 07:27:46	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5f41d3…
05-18 14:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc4d025…
05-18 14:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6e1333…
05-18 14:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7d7e42…
05-18 14:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4fa856…
05-18 14:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xac4b7a…
05-18 14:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb871d8…
05-18 13:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x36488d…
05-18 13:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7ab762…
05-18 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x94cf1b…
05-18 13:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0ca60d…
05-10 08:49:06	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xca3ef6…
05-04 14:33:04	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0xae59cf…
05-03 11:38:18	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x5a07dc…
04-27 23:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	SELL	35	11¢	$4	0x0a30e5…
04-27 09:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0xe31bfd…
04-26 09:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x0c301c…
04-26 09:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5209f3…
04-01 01:27:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x964350…
03-09 00:49:19	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x77d9c6…
03-08 00:27:45	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 13 953	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf66b0a…
03-08 00:27:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x21b269…
03-07 17:10:51	lol blg jdg 2026 03 08	JD Gaming	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xf27956…
03-07 01:56:29	lol jdg wb 2026 03 07	JD Gaming	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8fbd7c…
03-05 15:01:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3821dd…
03-04 12:43:31	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x41a751…
03-01 08:40:23	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x384305…
03-01 04:44:35	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xf2d34f…
03-01 00:37:07	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x1d6e39…
02-28 07:29:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xcbf5da…
02-28 07:15:31	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcd2af2…
02-28 07:11:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x5755c2…
02-28 06:58:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xae3986…
02-27 14:10:31	btc updown 5m 1772201100	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9b9b12…
02-27 14:09:19	btc updown 5m 1772201100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf5c2e6…
02-27 12:40:53	btc updown 5m 1772196000	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x96f5bd…
02-25 15:24:22	btc updown 5m 1772032800	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x359626…
02-25 15:19:24	btc updown 5m 1772032800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0ec426…
02-25 06:05:06	btc updown 5m 1771999500	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa2a46d…
02-23 16:00:56	btc updown 5m 1771862400	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb5b9e6…
02-23 16:00:00	btc updown 5m 1771862100	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x857bb4…
02-15 16:40:31	btc updown 5m 1771173600	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9355fa…
02-15 14:09:11	btc updown 5m 1771164300	Down	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x8d2edf…
02-15 14:08:01	btc updown 5m 1771164300	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9014b1…
02-15 14:06:11	btc updown 5m 1771164300	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe5cdad…
02-15 14:04:53	btc updown 5m 1771164000	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x3ab4ab…
02-15 14:03:13	btc updown 5m 1771164000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x382b11…
02-15 13:26:55	btc updown 5m 1771161900	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4e312e…
02-15 13:05:39	btc updown 5m 1771160700	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xafc400…
02-15 12:56:19	btc updown 5m 1771160100	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x257598…
02-15 12:54:45	btc updown 5m 1771160100	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8e90cb…
02-15 12:40:43	btc updown 5m 1771159200	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x680a5c…
02-14 14:35:35	btc updown 15m 1771079400	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x058f1c…
02-14 14:34:53	btc updown 15m 1771079400	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x80bf7f…
02-14 14:15:19	btc updown 15m 1771078500	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5bcc5c…
02-14 07:38:59	lol shg tsw 2026 02 14 game3	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x78d8fa…
02-12 12:54:57	spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x72c509…
02-08 13:07:31	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x8e77dc…
02-08 08:47:37	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x70ab6b…
02-08 04:30:51	btc updown 15m 1770525000	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4e8539…
02-08 04:10:45	btc updown 15m 1770523200	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfc2b80…